Student Managed Fund MBA Performance Report December 1, 2006.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
1 Undergraduate Student Managed Fund Fall 2013 Report December 5, 2013.
Advertisements

Accenture Plc (ACN) Analysts: Chris Landqvist, Justin Pippitt, Kelli Coldiron & Wei Pi.
The cost of capital (aka hurdle rate) and NPV analysis.
1 1 Ch17, 18, 19 – MBA 566 Security Valuation and Analysis Macroeconomic and Industry Analysis/Fundamental Analysis Equity Valuation Ratio analysis.
Exxon Mobil. - Petroleum Industry structure: - 5 sectors of operations (Upstream, downstream, marine, pipeline, and service/supply) - Extremely high barriers.
Chapter 9 An Introduction to Security Valuation. 2 The Investment Decision Process Determine the required rate of return Evaluate the investment to determine.
Copyright ©2004 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Stock Analysis and Valuation.
Managerial Finance Rachel Balik, Anya Bishop, & Mai Saengkio.
Estimating the Discount Rate
UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund April 22nd, 2005 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan.
UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund March 11, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timothy BlaisPatrick MastanEmeka Okafor Kristen CandellaDaniel McCarthyTodd.
Stock Valuation And Risk
Pengantar Penilaian Efek (Introduction to Security Valuation) Pertemuan 3-4.
PERC 2007: Equity Research Overview and Discussion Karl C. Mergenthaler JPMorgan Chase.
MGMT 315: Financial Valuation Project Ashli Edwards, Xiang Li, and Katerina Goudouros.
MBA SIM Fund Board Presentation April 30, Student Managers Spencer Rands W.P. Carey MBA Finance & Real Estate Class of 2010 Eric Dalbom.
Presentation by: Bryan Durand Josh Amoss Suri Thummala Steve Beuchaw Matthew Malouin Global Asset Allocation February 28, 2005.
Long/Short Sector-based Trading Strategy Emergent Asset Management, LLC Konstantin Savov Scott Smith Pin-Yew Wong Vaswar Mitra Vinaya Jain February 27,
Financial Markets and Institutions 6th Edition
Investments, 8 th edition Bodie, Kane and Marcus Slides by Susan Hine McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights.
Lecture No. 50 Chapter 15 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th edition, © 2010.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2005 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter Macroeconomic and Industry Analysis.
Security Analysis. Learning Goals Analyzing shares based on Economic, Industry and Fundamental of the company Analyzing shares to determine WHAT shares.
© 2016 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license.
Student Managed Fund Undergraduate Portfolio April 24, 2003 Scott Bores Eric Burns Kevin Conlon Ellen Huebner Andreas Miliotis Lisa Lin Javed Singha Lucas.
Historical Performance Analysis Analysts:. 3-Year Compound Average Growth Rates.
Interim Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2004 March 11, 2004.
Intro to Financial Management Risk and Return. Review Homework What is “the time value of money?” How do you calculate and what do these ratios mean?
Chapter 13 CAPM and APT Investments
Fundamental Analysis Approach to Fundamental Analysis: –Domestic and global economic analysis –Industry analysis –Company analysis Why use the top-down.
CHAPTER 17 Investments Macroeconomic and Industry Analysis Slides by Richard D. Johnson Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights.
Consumer Staples Company Presentation Des Dudaney Erica Elsasser Neil Hertenstein Mun Yi Se Tho May 18 th, 2010.
UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan.
Investment Strategy Utilizing Economic Indicators Kenneth M. Lavin, DPM, MSF, Economic Consultant for the 360 Huntington Fund.
UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund November 14, 2003 Undergraduate Portfolio Timothy BlaisPatrick MastanEmeka Okafor Kristen CandellaDaniel.
1 Undergraduate Student Managed Fund Spring 2014 Presentation March 6, 2014.
STAPLES COMPANY VALUATION JACKIE PHAN LATRISHA SEARCY ANNA DAI.
Cost of Capital Professor Ronald Miolla. Agenda 1) What is Cost of Capital? 2) How to compute Cost of Capital. 3) Cost of debt. 4) Cost of equity.
Chapter 10 Questions and Answers Q1. Pennsylvania Clean Coal Company (“PCCC”) generates electricity for both industrial customers as well as consumer households.
MBA Student Managed Fund Class of 2005 University of Connecticut School of Business.
MBA Student Managed Fund Presentation to the University of Connecticut Foundation April 24, 2003.
Information Technology Finance 724/824 SIM Class Christopher Moran Suresh Ramasubramanian Sean Ramsey.
Prudential Balanced Fund (PRUBF1) November 2011 Fixed information Licensed Date: 5 October 2006 Listing date: 4 December 2006 Base Currency: VND Tenure:
1 Security Valuation and Analysis Macroeconomic/Industry Analysis Security valuation Ratio analysis MBA566: chapter
J. K. Dietrich - GSBA 548 – MBA.PM Spring 2007 Measure of Risk and Risk- Adjusted Returns April 16, 2007 (LA) or April 10, 2007 (OCC)
1 FIN 408 International Investment Factors affecting Risk and Return Size and Number of International Open-end Funds Global market Correlations Correlation.
Financials David Kaplan, Nikhil Ketkar, Jonathan Khoury, Steve Kuljko.
Interim Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2004 November 14, 2003.
Portfolio Managers: Honglu Liu Min Min Chen Rafi Qi He Presented April 17, /14/2015.
Charlie Penicook and Zuowei Xu November 19, 2013.
1 Economic/Market Outlook late 2007—early 2008 Penn Mutual November 6 th, 2007.
Chapter 12 Estimating the Cost of Capital. Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved The Equity Cost of Capital The Capital.
Industry Analysis Shahadat Hosan Faculty, MBA Program Stamford University Bangladesh 15 June 2011.
3- 1 Outline 3: Risk, Return, and Cost of Capital 3.1 Rates of Return 3.2 Measuring Risk 3.3 Risk & Diversification 3.4 Measuring Market Risk 3.5 Portfolio.
Student Managed Fund MBA Performance Report March 8, 2007.
Kaitlyn Emerick Keiarra Ragland Victoria Saber. Agenda:  Company Introduction  Overview Analysis  Analysis of Firm Riskiness  Financial Statement.
University of Connecticut MBA SMF Presentation December 9th 2015 Akhil Sood, Akhilesh Kumar, Alex Sadowski Christopher Norris, Edward Laclaustra, Jason.
Estimating the Value of ACME 1. Steps in a valuation Estimate cost of capital (WACC) – Debt – Equity Project financial statements and FCF Calculate horizon.
The Big Picture David Irwin, Equity PM EAMG. Agenda Investment philosophy/style Market update Par fund 2.
BUS 401 Week 4 Quiz Check this A+ tutorial guideline at NEW/BUS-401-Week-4-Quiz 1.) Investors will make an investment.
Estimating the Value of ACME
Historical Performance Analysis
13 Equity Valuation Bodie, Kane, and Marcus
Review Fundamental analysis is about determining the value of an asset. The value of an asset is a function of its future dividends or cash flows. Dividends,
RETURN CONCEPTS Dr. David Krause AIM Program Marquette University.
Cost of capital (Chapter 9)
Verizon Communications Inc.
Estimating the Value of ACME
CHAPTER 13 Equity Valuation.
Corporate Financial Theory
Presentation transcript:

Student Managed Fund MBA Performance Report December 1, 2006

MBA Managers Mike Amodeo Devika Chirayilparambu Matt Cordeiro Vasilios Diakogeorgiou Samara Hollander Daniela Ionescu Adam Macko Puru Patnekar John Salemi Amanda Wallace

Agenda Investment Philosophy Investment Process Economic Outlook Portfolio Strategy Portfolio Summary Portfolio Performance Future Considerations Q & A

Investment Philosophy Fundamental bottom-up approach Companies with a market cap of at least $1 Billion Invest across a diversified group of sectors Trade at a minimum 15% perceived discount to intrinsic value Exhibit strong growth potential within industry Benchmark – outperform the S&P 500 index by 5% annualized

Investing Process Stock Selection FundamentalAnalysis Valuation Sell Discipline

Stock Selection Screeners: Yahoo! Finance MSN Money Reuters MagicFormulaInvesting.com Screen inputs: High Sales/Earnings Growth High Gross/Operating/Net Margins High ROE, ROA, ROIC Low P/E, PEG

Fundamental Analysis Goal: To identify high quality firms Value drivers Gross and operating margins Revenue and earnings ramp-up Capital spending efficiency R&D intensity Free cash flow growth Industry metrics Retailers – same store sales Banks – net interest margin

Valuation Analysis Projecting future free cash flow –Method A – use analyst estimates (S&P, Value Line or Yahoo! Finance) –Method B – historic growth rate of cash flows Discount Rate – WACC –Cost of Debt – Weighted average yield to maturity –Cost of Equity – CAPM Risk free rate – 10 year treasury bond Average Return – 10.4% (Ibbotson’s Yearbook 2005) Beta – based on analyst estimates or regression models (or both)

Sell Discipline Stop loss –15% stop loss on all positions –Prevent market volatility from stopping out positions –Protect down-side risk Re-evaluation of positions –More than 15% gain –More than 10% loss –Change in business model or expectations

Macroeconomic Overview NEUTRAL ComponentSMF Outlook Monetary Policy –Discount Rate stable at 5.25% Fiscal Policy –Likely tax rate increases –Increased possibility of trade barriers Economic Growth –Slowing GDP Corporate Earnings –Decelerating into 2007 Inflation –Unemployment increasing slightly –Core CPI at 2.5% over next 6-12 months Market Valuation –Current S&P 500 P/E of approximately 17 ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Overall SMF Macroeconomic Outlook NEUTRAL NEGATIVE POSITIVE NEUTRAL/NEGATIVE NEGATIVE

Asset Allocation Strategy Top-Down Sector Analysis (25%) SMF Portfolio (75%) Bottom-Up Fundamental Analysis

Sector Overview Consumer – Staples –Pepsi (PEP) –Altria Group (MO) –Hormel Foods (HRL) Consumer – Discretionary –American Eagle Outfitters (AEOS) Energy –Occidental Petroleum (OXY) –Peabody Energy (BTU) Financials –Bank of America (BAC) Healthcare –Laboratory Holdings (LH) Industrials –General Dynamics (GD) Information Technology –Oracle Corp (ORCL) Materials –Sherwin-Williams (SHW) Telecommunications –Harris Corp (HRS) Utilities

SMF Current Allocation

Holdings Allocation & Management Total Invested in Equities$556, % Cash$62, % Spyder$450, % Value of Portfolio * As of 11/25/2006 $1,069,503

Portfolio Statistics Positions – 12 Average Holding – $46,392 S&P 500 MBA Portfolio September 25, 20061,326.37$ 998,634 November 11, 20061, ,069,503 Portfolio Beta Holding Period Return (HPR)5.62%7.10% Standard Deviation (weekly)2.07% Sharpe Ratio.3647 Jensen Alpha.66% M-Squared1.84%

Portfolio Performance

Sector Performance Return S&P % MBA SMF7.10% Excess Return1.48% Sector PerformanceReturn Consumer Discretionary4.58% Consumer Staples2.68% Energy2.97% Financials2.54% Healthcare1.72% Industrials2.97% Materials5.95% Technology8.05% Telecom1.48%

Individual Holding Performance

Future Considerations Consumer staples sector will be reexamined due to its current weight in our portfolio Energy prices are volatile and will move upwards based on OPEC’s production cuts; current investments will be reevaluated in 2007 Current investments in Telecommunications and Industrials are well-positioned to take advantage of industry trends

Future Considerations Investment in Utilities Portfolio beta to approach 1.00 Investment in CT based companies

Acknowledgements The University of Connecticut Foundation, Inc. Investment Advisory Board Dr. Chinmoy Ghosh

Questions