MBA Student Managed Fund Class of 2005 University of Connecticut School of Business.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
© 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved.13-1 Chapter 13 Investing in Stocks.
Advertisements

1 CHAPTER FOURTEEN FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF COMMON STOCKS.
1 1 Ch17, 18, 19 – MBA 566 Security Valuation and Analysis Macroeconomic and Industry Analysis/Fundamental Analysis Equity Valuation Ratio analysis.
Chapter 13 Common Stock Valuation Name two approaches to the valuation of common stocks used in fundamental security analysis. Explain the present value.
Exxon Mobil. - Petroleum Industry structure: - 5 sectors of operations (Upstream, downstream, marine, pipeline, and service/supply) - Extremely high barriers.
Chapter 9 An Introduction to Security Valuation. 2 The Investment Decision Process Determine the required rate of return Evaluate the investment to determine.
Selecting Stocks Personal Finance. How hard is it to pick a stock? “ Everyone has the brain power to follow the stock market. If you made it through fifth-grade.
1 Chapter 13 - Stock Purchase stock = buy part of company Returns from dividends and capital appreciation –Dividends – distribution of profits –Neither.
Common Stock Valuation
Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005.
Ambac Financial Group, Inc. Adding diversity to our financial sector holdings.
Equity Valuation Models
Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 April 22, 2005.
Equity Portfolio Management Amit Khandwala Wright Investors’ Service Senior Vice President - International Equity Management.
INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS Copyright © 2014 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written.
Introduction to security valuation
(COMMON STOCK ANALYSIS)
Financial Market Reference Financial decision-making is difficult because of future uncertainty and risk Risk involves possible outcomes Uncertainty involves.
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall. To make informed decisions about a company Helpful in managing the company Comparison.
Chapter 14: Investing in Stocks and Bonds
Institut for Regnskab, Tom Hansen Corporate Valuation Current market value (slide 3, 1) Evaluating performance in the stock market. Cash flow of.
Security Analysis. Learning Goals Analyzing shares based on Economic, Industry and Fundamental of the company Analyzing shares to determine WHAT shares.
2Q | 2011 Guide to the Markets As of March 31, 2011.
19-1 Financial Markets and Investment Strategies Chapter 19.
Student Managed Fund Undergraduate Portfolio April 24, 2003 Scott Bores Eric Burns Kevin Conlon Ellen Huebner Andreas Miliotis Lisa Lin Javed Singha Lucas.
Assets Valuation Methods
Historical Performance Analysis Analysts:. 3-Year Compound Average Growth Rates.
Interim Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2004 March 11, 2004.
Recommendation: BUY United Parcel Service (UPS); Sell NG, JOYG, BHP.
UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan.
Dynamic Income & Dividends A Simple Strategy for Excess Returns DIAD Philip A. Venanzi Duquesne MBA Class of 2015.
UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund November 14, 2003 Undergraduate Portfolio Timothy BlaisPatrick MastanEmeka Okafor Kristen CandellaDaniel.
Client Confidential - Call for more information Telemet Orion The Smart Choice Integrates Integrates Portfolio Analytics and Attribution Portfolio.
Student Managed Fund MBA Performance Report December 1, 2006.
MBA Student Managed Fund Presentation to the University of Connecticut Foundation April 24, 2003.
Information Technology Finance 724/824 SIM Class Christopher Moran Suresh Ramasubramanian Sean Ramsey.
Chapter 14: Investing in Stocks and Bonds. Objectives Describe stocks and bonds and how they are used by corporations and investors. Define everyday terms.
1 Security Valuation and Analysis Macroeconomic/Industry Analysis Security valuation Ratio analysis MBA566: chapter
1 Consumer Staples Sector Mark Bauer and Joe Burch May 1, 2006.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Equity Valuation CHAPTER 13.
Chapter 14 Investing in Stocks. Common Stock  Issued to finance their business start-up costs and help pay for expansion and their ongoing business activities.
3.6 Ratio Analysis Chapter 23 – Part 2.
Interim Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2004 November 14, 2003.
Analyzing Financial Statements
Common Stock Valuation
Research and Evaluation 4.1 INVESTMENT PRINCIPLES.
1 Presentation for Queen’s University Pension Plan December 4, 2015 David Vanderwood, Senior Vice President & Portfolio Manager.
12-1 McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2007 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. CHAPTER 12 Equity Valuation.
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. Chapter 8 Stock Valuation.
 Fundamental Analysis By Martin Brenner. What is Fundamental Analysis?  A method of evaluating a security that entails attempting to measure its intrinsic.
Stock Market Valuation Valuing Individual Companies.
Industry Analysis Shahadat Hosan Faculty, MBA Program Stamford University Bangladesh 15 June 2011.
CHAPTER 9 Investment Management: Concepts and Strategies Chapter 9: Investment Concepts 1.
Chapter 12 Supplement B: Equity Securities Chapter 12 Supplement B Equity Securities.
Prudential Jennison Value Fund Expiration: 7/31/2016 For financial professional use only. Not for use with the public.
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Chapter.
1) The council of your town considers the renovation of an old sports center which does not generate any form of income. In its current state, the center.
The Big Picture David Irwin, Equity PM EAMG. Agenda Investment philosophy/style Market update Par fund 2.
Equity Valuation Models
Historical Performance Analysis
Financial Statement Analysis
University of Winnipeg Investment Group
Mutual Fund Management of Stock Funds
Review Fundamental analysis is about determining the value of an asset. The value of an asset is a function of its future dividends or cash flows. Dividends,
Analysts: Matthew Coyne and Jennifer Downing
UAB Green and Gold Fund Waddell & Reed Financial Inc. (WDR)
Recommendation: Buy Nike (NKE)
CHAPTER 13 Equity Valuation.
Investments: Analysis and Management Common Stock Valuation
Presentation transcript:

MBA Student Managed Fund Class of 2005 University of Connecticut School of Business

Agenda Investment Strategy & Style Investment Philosophy Investment Process & Criteria MBA Fund Holdings Future Outlook

Investment Strategy and Style Top down approach Blend Strategy Combination of Value and growth Multi-cap Fund Primary Investments in Large-cap Equities

Investment Philosophy Strive to outperform the S&P500 Selecting stocks with growth potential Closely monitoring the portfolio Rely on fundamental analysis Historical performance Future Prospects Business models Economic outlook for the industry Long-term (3-5 year) investment horizon

Business Model Analysis Entry Exit barriers Consumer & Supplier Power Threat of Substitutes Competitor Evaluation Market Share Analysis Industry specific Outlook Risk vs. Return Analysis Investment Approach Stock Market Universe Sector Allocation and Industry Selection Select Stocks Economic Outlook

Methodology Sector Allocation Constant Portfolio Performance Monitoring (Stop Loss and Appreciation Reevaluation) Tools & Techniques Fundamental Analysis Business Model Analysis Ratio Analysis Future Prospects Valuation Models P/E Model Dividend discount model Free cash flow model

Stock Selection Criteria We look for: Solid financials Strong management Earnings growth Attractive valuation relative to the index Higher return/risk relative to industry “If the choice is between a questionable business at a comfortable price or a comfortable business at a questionable price, we much prefer the latter.”

Buy & Sell Discipline Buy Criteria Steady growth rates Intrinsic value > market value Above average yields Sell Criteria Stock reaches its price objective Industry-sector weighting exceeds predetermined limits Risk/reward profile deteriorates Earnings figures lower than estimates

Management Style Active Management Report presentation and Voting Performance Monitoring Stop Loss Measures (15%) Appreciation Reevaluation (20%) Continuous Monitoring & Dynamic Response

Sector Allocation: S&P 500 Weights vs. SMF Weights

SMF Holdings Ticker Date of Purchase Quantity Purchase Price Price (12/02/04) Market Value (12/02/04) % Gain/Loss AET10/27/04200$89.41$117.89$23, % C10/22/04500$42.80$45.49$22, % CMCSA10/15/04375$28.77$29.89$11, % CME11/08/0450$183.77$209.99$10, % D11/23/04150$66.71$64.44$9, % FDX11/15/04260$95.12$97.01$25, % HIG11/12/04350$62.00$65.69$22, % ING11/09/04300$26.71$28.17$8, % KO09/22/04300$40.46$40.40$12, % MMM11/15/04200$82.64$79.98$15, %

SMF Holdings Ticker Date of Purchase Quantity Purchase Price Price (12/02/04) Market Value (12/02/04) % Gain/Loss QCOM11/29/04500$41.56$43.60$21, % PFE10/27/04560$28.28$28.43$15, % VIAB10/06/04500$35.21$37.01$18, % VLO10/27/04500$44.00$42.95$21, % WAG11/22/04400$37.93$38.89$15, %

SMF Holdings Initial Market Value on 9/22/04 = $414, Market Value on 12/02/04 = $443,794.30* Total % Gain/Loss = 7.11%* S&P 500 Return (9/22/04-12/02/04) = 6.89% SMF Portfolio Beta = 0.95 Portfolio Risk-Adjusted Return =6.61% S&P Risk-Adjusted Return = 6.08% Outperform by 0.53% over holding period

Investment Criteria QuantitativeQualitative Discounted Free Cash Flow Industry Growth Growth in EPSCompany Market Share Dividend Discount ModelCorporate Governance ROEInstitutional Ownership ROICInsider Trading ROAMarket Power Gross Margins (%) Product Differentiation Low-cost Producer Customer Relationship Economic Profit Cost of Capital Debt/Equity Ratio Beta

Quantitative Investment Criteria - Portfolio AETCMCSACMEHIGINGKOMMM Revenue Growth12.76%11%43.3%18%9.2%7.6%8% EPS Growth42.54%40%86.27%70%23%10.6%21.66% Expected EPS Growth30%0.415%7.14%10%43.9%17.34% Operating Margin8.26%34.8%46.82%12.10%31.18%24.8%27% P/E Beta

Quantitative Investment Criteria - Portfolio PFEVIABFDXWAGDCVLO Revenue Growth18%7%10%13.3%5%10%11% EPS Growth16.5%15.46%11.50%15.2%9.5%11.0%145% Expected EPS Growth13.5%16.28%11.37%15.5%7.5%8.5%25% Operating Margin45.71%23.5%13.20%5.7%23.33%-4.93% P/E % Beta

The Falling Dollar! Helps our Current Equity Holdings – 3M, Citigroup, Pfizer, Coca Cola, and others. Increased Revenue and better capability of competing against foreign companies in the US. Increased Global Demand for Energy Sector products such as Coal.

Higher Oil Prices Higher Oil Prices could cool sectors such as Transportation. Increased Cost of Transportation will affect Brick and Mortar Companies. Industrial Operating Profits may take a hit next year.

Inflation? Gold Prices at an all time high since 1988 – Usually a hedge against Inflation. The Market as a whole could react badly to an inflation scare.

Sector Re-Evaluation Possible Downgrades Transportation Biotech and Pharmaceuticals Possible Upgrades Energy Financial Retail

Scheduled Work for 2005 Re-evaluation of Current Sector Allocations. Complete Portfolio Management. Re-evaluation of Amount Invested in Current Holdings. Strong Equity Picks based on Quantitative and Qualitative Analysis. Outperform the S&P 500 Index.

Questions ?