FireCAMMS Fire Consortia for Advanced Modeling of Meteorology and Smoke www.fs.fed.us/fcamms.

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Presentation transcript:

FireCAMMS Fire Consortia for Advanced Modeling of Meteorology and Smoke

Smoke and Fire Weather Weather observations/forecasts, fire danger, and smoke dispersion for the Northwest.

Ready Access to High Resolution Weather Predictions

Smoke Predictions MM5 36-km MM5 12-km UW Server Personal PC SFSL “Beowulf” Cluster NFSpuff BlueSky

Ready Access to High Resolution Weather Predictions

www. BlueSky RAINS.org

BlueSky What can it do? Smoke Modeling Framework Wildfire Wildland Fire Use - Quartz Complex - Potential 500 ac/day

BlueSky What can it do? Smoke Modeling Framework Biscuit Fire

www. BlueSky RAINS.org

BlueSky What can it do? Smoke Modeling Framework Prescribed Fires

BlueSky What can it do? Smoke Modeling Framework Prescribed Fires

BlueSky What can it do? Smoke Modeling Framework Prescribed Fires

BlueSky What is it? Smoke Modeling Framework Daily Emission tracking Automated, centralized processing Real-time Smoke predictions Quantitative Verification Community model development

BlueSky Development Community Federal Land Managers - USDA Forest Service (PNW, R6, R1, RMRS) - Bureau of Land Management (WA, OR, MT) - National Park Service - Fish and Wildlife Service Federal Air Agencies - NOAA (NWS, ARL) - Environmental Protection Service (R10) Tribal Nations - Colville - Quinault - Nez Perce States - Oregon (ODF, DEQ) - Washington (DNR, DE) - Idaho (DEQ) - Montana (DEQ) Universities - U. of Washington - Washington State U. - U. of Montana Local Air Agencies - Missoula City-County Health Department - Puget Sound Clean Air Agency Private - CH2MHill - Air Sciences - 3-Tier

FASTRACS MM5 CALPUFF BlueSky Linux System BlueSkyRAINS Windows System ArcIMS (SDE, SQLserver) CALPUFF/ArcIMS Linkage (netCDF2SHP (?)) PAVE Animations CALMET2netCDF Preliminary BlueSky web page CALMM5/CALMET HYSPLIT MM52ARL TRAJREAD Time Series Display Burn Report Display EPM2BAEM CALPUFF2netCDF EPM/CONSUME v1.02 Dispersion Emissions Weather Output Products Source CharacteristicsBlueSky How does it work? Smoke Modeling Framework

BlueSky Source Characteristics Smoke Modeling Framework Wildfire MM5-FARSITE-BurnUp Diurnal-Consume-EPM Theoretical Scenario Prescribed Fire Planned for next day Planned for 2 nd day Accomplished today

BlueSky Input Requirements Smoke Modeling Framework 1. 1.Date of burn 2. 2.Location 3. 3.Time of ignition 4. 4.Ignition duration 5. 5.Burn area 6. 6.Preburn fuel load 7. 7.Predicted fuel moisture

BlueSky Input Requirements Smoke Modeling Framework 1. 1.Date of burn 2. 2.Location 3. 3.Time of ignition 4. 4.Ignition duration 5. 5.Burn area 6. 6.Preburn fuel load 7. 7.Predicted fuel moisture a. CRB FCC b. NFDRS-FM + Cond.Class c. LandSum FCC - MM5-NFDRS a. a.MT/ID Airshed Reports b. b.Wash. Ag. Reports c. c.PFIRS d. d.National Event Reports e. e.Remote Sensing

BlueSky Accomplished Burns 24 April 2002 Mike Ziolko Oregon Dept. of Forestry MODIS Observed Burns 24 April 2002 Wei Min Hao Missoula Fire Lab

BlueSky & Pretty pictures. So what! Mesoscale Weather

RAINS BlueSky BlueSky RAINS

Tethersonde measurements of particle and gas concentrations in a smoldering plume. Model output matched with observations Verification

www. BlueSky RAINS.org /BlueSky

Wind Mixing Height x Ventilation Index (m 2 /s) Classification Poor Marginal Fair > 3525 Good Ventilation Climate Information System

Maps & Graphs

BlueSky RAINS Ventilation Climate Information System www. BlueSky RAINS.org A “go/no-go/go-slow” operations tool. A probabilistic planning tool. Mesoscale Weather A “go/no-go/go-slow” operations tool.