Effective Energy Management
Develop baseline –Plant energy balance –Lean energy analysis (LEA) Take action –Identify and quantify energy saving opportunities –Prioritize energy saving opportunities –Implement energy saving opportunities Measure and benchmark to sustain efforts –Develop metrics for system energy efficiency –Measure energy efficiency improvement with sliding NAC and EI –Compare energy efficiency between facilities with NAC and EI
Energy Use Baseline –Plant energy balance Map energy use throughout the plant –Statistical analysis (Lean Energy Analysis) Understand drivers of energy use
Estimate Equipment Electricity and Fuel Use 1) Estimate energy use from: rated power frac loaded operating hours 2) Calibrate sum against measured total energy use
Electricity And Fuel Energy Balances
Map Energy From Supply to Conversion To Process
Plant Energy Balances Use plant energy balances to: –Identify biggest energy users –Prioritize action plans –Calibrate savings estimates
Lean Energy Analysis
Statistical ‘ Lean Energy Analysis ’ Quantifying relationship between: –Energy –Production –Weather by developing simple statistical models Deriving actionable information from models
Source Data
Actual Temperature Data
Time Trends: Electricity and Outdoor Temperature
Time Trends: Electricity and Production
Electricity vs Toa: 3PC R 2 = 0.67 CV-RMSE = 6.4%
Electricity vs Production: 2P R 2 = 0.32 CV-RMSE = 9.2%
Electricity vs Toa: 3PC-MVR R2 = 0.82 CV-RMSE = 5.1%
Elec = Ind + Wea-dep + Prod-dep E (kWh/dy) = 41,589 (kWh/dy) (kWh/dy-F) x [Toa (F) – (F)] (kWh/dy-unit) x P (units) Independent = 41,589 (kWh/dy) Wea-dep = (kWh/dy-F) x [Toa (F) – (F)] + Prod-dep = (kWh/dy-unit) x P (units)
Disaggregate Electricity Use Weather = 10% Production = 39% Independent = 51% Temperature Electricity
Time Trends: Fuel Use and Outdoor Temperature
Time Trends: Fuel Use and Production
Fuel Use vs Toa: 3PH R 2 = 0.92 CV-RMSE = 7.5%
Fuel Use vs Toa: 3PH-MVR R 2 = 0.97 CV-RMSE = 5.1%
Fuel Use = Ind + Wea-dep + Prod-dep Fuel Use (mcf/dy) = (mcf/dy) (mcf/dy-F) x [62.06 (F) - Toa (F)] (mcf/dy-unit) x P (units) Independent = (mcf/dy) Wea-dep = (mcf/dy-F) x [62.06 (F) - Toa (F)] + Prod-dep = (mcf/dy-unit) x P (units)
Disaggregate Fuel Use Weather = 28% Production = 58% Independent = 14% Temperature Fuel
‘ Lean Energy Analysis ’ Called “lean energy” analysis because of its synergy with the principles of “lean manufacturing”. In lean manufacturing, “any activity that does not add value to the product is waste”. Similarly, “any energy that does not add value to a product or the facility is also waste”.
Quantified “Leaness” of Electricity Use Weather = 10% Production = 39% Independent = 51% Temperature Electricity “Independent” is energy not added to product. Perfectly “lean” when Ind = 0
Quantified “Leaness” of Fuel Use Weather = 28% Production = 58% Independent = 14% Temperature Fuel “Independent” is energy not added to product. Perfectly “lean” when Ind = 0
How ‘ Lean ’ is Your Electricity Use?
How ‘ Lean ’ is Your Fuel Use?
Using ‘ Lean Energy Analysis ’ To Discover Savings Opportunities LEA Indicators of Savings Opportunities –High “Independent” indicates waste –Departure from expected shape –High scatter indicates poor control
Large Independent Fuel Use Identifies Insulation Opportunities 50% of fuel use by holding furnaces Insulate furnaces and switch to coreless furnaces
Departure From Expected Shape Identifies Malfunctioning Economizers Air conditioning electricity use should flatten below 50 F Audit found malfunctioning economizers
High Data Scatter Identifies Control Opportunities Observation: heating energy varies by 3x at same temp Discovery: didn’t close shipping doors
High Heating Slope Identifies Excess Ventilation Turn off excess exhaust air fans reduces vent by 13,000 cfm Lowers heating slope, balance temperature, and fuel use
Lean Energy Analysis Quick, accurate disaggregation of energy use: –Quantifies non-value added energy –Helps identify savings opportunities –Provides an accurate baseline for measuring the effectiveness of energy management efforts over time.
Take Action Identify and quantify saving opportunities Prioritize saving opportunities Implement saving opportunities
Identify and Quantify Saving Opportunities Identifying energy saving opportunities –Use “Integrated Systems + Principles Approach (ISPA) Quantifying energy savings: may consider –Equipment vendors (compressed air, boiler, etc.) –Energy savings performance contractor (ESPC) –Independent energy audit
Prioritize Saving Opportunities Multiple filters –Financial return on investment Rank versus other energy saving opportunities Rank versus other requests for capital Risk –Consistent with other priorities –Available and knowledgeable staff to manage project
Implement Savings Opportunities Management commitment Maintenance commitment Operator commitment
Measurement and Benchmarking Sustaining energy efficiency efforts requires that effectiveness of past efforts be accurately evaluated. –Verify the performance of past energy-efficiency efforts –Inform the selection of future energy-efficiency initiatives –Help develop energy-efficiency targets Measurement –Use LEA model to measure savings Benchmarking –Use LEA model to compare facilities benchmarking
Measure Weather-Normalized and Production-Normalized Energy Savings Pre-retrofit Post-retrofit Savings
Track Weather-Normalized and Production-Normalized Energy Use (NAC) Annual Consumption increased 17%. NAC increased 6% Plant energy efficiency decreased 6%. Solid Line: NAC Dashed Line: Actual Consumption
Track Weather-Normalized and Production-Normalized Energy Intensity (NEI) Normalized Energy Intensity decreased 5.4%.
Benchmarking Comparing energy performance across multiple sites Benchmark best/worst NAC and change in NAC Benchmark best/worst coefficients and change in coefficients
The Big Picture: Electricity NAC and NAC for 14 Facilities NAC NAC
More Detail: Ei and Ei Best candidates for lighting retrofits Ei Ei
More Detail: Tb and Tb Best candidates for controls retrofits TB TB
More Detail: CS and CS Best candidates for HVAC retrofits CS CS
Effective Energy Management: Summary Develop baseline –Plant energy balance (breakdown) –Lean energy analysis (drivers) Take action –Identify and quantify energy saving opportunities –Prioritize and implement energy saving opportunities –Implement energy saving opportunities Measure and benchmark to sustain efforts –Use LEA models to measure energy efficiency improvement –Compare energy efficiency between facilities