Dataset presentation: Comparative Study of Electoral Systems Agata Kwiatkowska.

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Presentation transcript:

Dataset presentation: Comparative Study of Electoral Systems Agata Kwiatkowska

Comparative Study of Electoral Systems (CSES) CSES is a collaborative program of research among election study teams from around the world. Participating countries include a common module of survey questions in their post-election studies. The resulting data are deposited along with voting, demographic, district and macro variables. The studies are then merged into a single, free, public dataset for use in comparative study and cross-level analysis.

Process 1.A Planning Committee, comprised of, selected by, and informed by collaborators, designs and oversees each Module 2.After the Planning Committee selects a theme for a Module, a stimulus paper is written 3.The full Planning Committee uses the stimulus paper to guide development of a questionnaire for the Module 4.After the questionnaire is finalized, collaborators raise funds locally and run the questionnaire in their country in a post-election survey

CSES is designed to study variations in electoral systems (and other political institutions) A CSES Module is a minute respondent questionnaire with a specific substantive theme The CSES Module is included in national post- election surveys around the world Each Module last approximately five years

Module 1 ( ) – July 2002 Full Release: – 39 election studies, 33 countries Module 2 ( ) – June 2007 Full Release: – 41 election studies, 38 countries Module 3 ( ) – March 2013 Full Release: – 50 election studies, 40 countries

Every survey module covers certain basic political attitudes and perceptions such as party identification, a left-right placement of each major political party, and satisfaction with the workings of democracy; these are repeated in each. In addition, each module addresses some particular theoretical question.:  The first module addressed especially questions of strategic voting behavior;  the second focused on the distinction between majoritarian and consensus-based democratic institutions;  the third featured the nature of the political choices offered to individuals, and how those choices affect individual decisions.

Mode of Interviewing Module 1Module 2 Face-to-face70%71% Mail/self- completion 15%7% Telephone10% Mixed5%12%

Sample size Module 1: Average of 1,600 interviews per election study Module 2: Average of 1,567 interviews per election study Module 3: Average of 1,603 interviews per election study

POLITICAL PARTIES AND DEMOCRATIC CONSOLIDATION IN POST-COMMUNIST SOCIETIES Article by Ian McAllister and Stephen White This article examines the role of political parties in representing social cleavages in the established and emerging democracies. Focusing mainly on 20 countries. The questions authors ask are: (1) how do voters in the emerging democracies align themselves politically? (2) Do the direction and strength of the social cleavages in the emerging democracies correspond to those of the established democracies? (3) How effective are political parties in translating social cleavages into political divisions?

Data The countries included in the analysis come from modules 1 and 2 of the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems (CSES) project. In order to gain as accurate a comparison between the established democracies and the newly merging post-communist societies as possible, the established democracies are defined as countries with a continuous history of democracy since at least 1950.

Data The established democracies that are used in the multivariate analyses is 14 countries. The universe of post-communist societies for the multivariate analyses is six countries. Since the sample sizes vary considerably between the country surveys, the surveys are weighted to ensure that no country unduly influences the overall results.

Measuring Political Cleavages Ideally, the strength of a political cleavage is measured by the relationship between various social attributes and the parties that voters choose at elections. To avoid the cross-national methodological problems in measuring party support across 20 countries authors use, instead, left–right self-placement as a surrogate measure of party support.

Measuring Political Cleavages To understand if the concept of left- right is understood, McAllister and White analised the asnwers for positioning the parties. The results suggest that the concept is more familiar to the public in the established than in the emerging democracies. In the 16 established democracies examined in this section, a total of 13 percent failed to provide a valid response, compared to more than twice that figure – 31 percent – in the emerging democracies.

Measuring Political Cleavages Sources: CSES, modules 1 and 2.

Measuring Social Cleavages In their lengthy essay, Lipset and Rokkan (1967) identified four social cleavages : – centre–periphery (region), – state–church (religion), – land–industry(urban–rural) – owner–worker (class)

Analysis The first stage in the analysis is to examine the political importance of the four social cleavages, together with controls for age and gender, for the 14 established and the 6 emerging democracies.

Results The results show that the social cleavages in the emerging democracies are similar to those of the established democracies, with religion and class predominating. Parties appear to be less effective in representing social cleavages in the emerging than in the established democracies.