Fires, Atmospheric Composition and Earth System Feedbacks Oliver Wild Centre for Atmospheric Science Cambridge JULES Science Meeting, Exeter, 28-29 June.

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Presentation transcript:

Fires, Atmospheric Composition and Earth System Feedbacks Oliver Wild Centre for Atmospheric Science Cambridge JULES Science Meeting, Exeter, June 2007

How Important are Fires for the Atmosphere? Summary of Emission impacts –Fires have a large influence on tropospheric composition Emissions Percentage of Global Emissions NO x 6–10 TgN/yr12–20% CO300–600 Tg/yr30–45% VOC 20–40 Tg/yr10–20% CH 4 15–30 Tg/yr3–6% H2H2 5–15 Tg/yr15–40% BC 1–4 Tg/yr OC 10–30 Tg/yr SO 2 2–8 Tg/yr2–8% Data sources: EDGAR, GEIA, RETRO, POET, GFED

CO columns from MOPITT during the ICARTT measurement campaign: July 2004 CO features dominated by biomass burning With meteorology from ECMWF and satellite- based emission estimates can reproduce features with CTMs But how well do we understand the atmospheric impacts? Cook et al., 2007

Mean Impact of Fires: Emissions Global CTM runs –FRSGC/UCI CTM Emissions from GFED v1.0 –Satellite-derived ( ) –van der Werf 2003 –NO x, CO, VOC January –Equatorial Africa –S.E. Asian agriculture July –Southern Africa, Amazon –Boreal forest fires January kgN/km 2 /month July NOx

Mean Impact of Fires: NOy Deposition January kgN/km 2 /month July kgN/km 2 /month

Mean Impact of Fires: Surface Ozone January kgN/km 2 /month July kgN/km 2 /month ppbv

Mean Impact of Fires: Zonal Ozone January kgN/km 2 /month July kgN/km 2 /month ppbv SN SN

Global Response to Fires Impact on Tropospheric Budgets With FiresWithout Fires O 3 Burden (Tg) O 3 Production (Tg/yr) Net O 3 Production (Tg/yr) O 3 Deposition (Tg/yr) NO y Deposition (Tg/yr) CH 4 lifetime (yr) % 10% 6% Δ

Features not included here… Strongly episodic nature of fires –Mean emissions distributed over a month (overestimate influence) Self-lofting of emissions into free troposphere –Emissions only injected into boundary layer (underestimate extent) Surface changes following fires –Reduction in biogenic VOC emissions –Changes in deposition processes –Reduced albedo over burn scars affecting photolysis rates –Reduced albedo due to soot over snow/ice surfaces Chemistry-Aerosol interactions –Scattering/absorption effects associated with smoke plume –Heterogeneous chemistry on aerosol particles

Earth System Interactions Climate: radiative impacts –Increased O 3 and Aerosol, but reduced CH 4 lifetime –Albedo changes: effect radiation and chemistry Potential feedbacks through –Sensitivity of fire ignition to climate through drought, lightning –Surface O 3 – vegetation damage – VOC emissions, CO 2 –NO y deposition – fertilization effects – VOC emissions, CO 2

Earth System Interactions Δ O 3 Δ CH 4, τ CH4 Δ BC Δ Albedo Δ NOy depos Δ VOC emissions Climate Vegetation Δ H 2 O, CO 2, etc. Fires

Summary: Requirements for Fire Emissions Magnitude of emissions –NO x, CO, VOCs, BC/OC and appropriate speciation Timing of emissions –Episodic in nature –Evolution in magnitude, intensity, speciation Injection height –Self-lofting, intensity-dependence Current chemistry-climate models use: –Monthly-mean emissions climatology (still typical) But daily climatology for some periods (e.g. RETRO emissions) –Surface-based emissions, limited lofting –No albedo or vegetation interactions