Briefing for Member Schools May/June 2011

Topics Enrolment Trends and Issues Federal Budget 2011/12 Funding Australian Government Funding Review My School Australian Curriculum Queensland Government Green Paper

February 2011 Census – 109,494 students 1.8% increase over 2010

FEBRUARY ENROLMENTS Change 2009/ Change 2010/2011Change 2009/2011 Prep 6,280 6,3591.3% 6,7285.8%7.1% 1 6,022 6,4977.9% 6,5190.3%8.2% 2 5,018 6, % 6,5497.8%30.5% 3 6,273 5, % 6, %0.3% 4 6,366 6,5543.0% 5, %-13.3% 5 6,464 6,8546.0% 6,9491.4%7.5% 6 6,966 7,2043.4% 7,5134.3%7.9% 7 7,995 8,1431.8% 8,2911.8%3.7% Ungraded % %6.2% Total Primary 52,120 53,6963.0% 55,1412.7%5.8% 8 10,580 10,9433.4% 10, %3.2% 9 10,556 10,6581.0% 10,9042.3%3.3% 10 10,450 10,6481.9% 10, %1.5% 11 10,536 10,7482.0% 10,8631.1%3.1% 12 9,914 10,1061.9% 10,2651.6%3.5% Ungraded % %18.0% Total Secondary 52,712 53,8502.2% 54,3530.9%3.1% TOTAL 104, ,5462.6% 109,4941.8%4.4%

Introduction of Prep Year

Other Sectors State sector – less than 1% increase Secondary stable; some growth in primary Catholic sector – 3% increase in secondary; 2.8% increase in primary

Australian school enrolments 2010 Source: ABS Schools Australia Full-time enrolments *When including independent Catholic school enrolments, this figure is close to 550,000 enrolments.

Share of FT primary enrolments by sector and state 2010 Source: ABS Schools Australia data

Share of FT secondary enrolments by sector and state 2010 Source: ABS Schools Australia data

Share of all FT enrolments by sector and state 2010 Source: ABS Schools Australia data

Enrolment growth by sector Source: ABS Schools Australia data

Enrolment change by sector Source: ABS Schools Australia data

Projected enrolment change in all schools Source: DEEWR Projections and ABS Schools Australia *Based on average school size by sector for 2010 derived from ABS data.

The Prep Half Cohort YearGradeNumber% of Normal Cohort 2007Prep4, Year 14, Year 25, Year 35, Year 45,52185 The Prep half cohort goes into Year 7 in 2014

Prep Half Cohort State Wide Figures – 2010 Year 3Year 4 State schools25,83739,93565% Catholic schools7,18010,05071% Independent schools5,3346,76479% All schools38,35156,74968%

Enrolment Issues Intake into Year 8 is down Prep intake up by 6% Primary enrolments up 2.7% Secondary growth is low (< 1%) Prep Half Cohort International market struggling

Queensland Economy Significant change in demographic growth in Queensland in just a few years Reduction in interstate migration (partly replaced by overseas migration) Significant change in State finances Commsec report – Queensland economy is at the bottom of the list in economic performance

Implications for schools 20 plus years of growth Independent schools often slow to react to changed economic conditions Fee increases – parents are hurting Affordability and sustainability

Affordability Fee increases have consistently been higher than CPI Primary and PreschoolSecondaryTertiary Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Yearly Change in Education Component of CPI by Category (Australia)

Fee Increases Salaries and employment costs Smaller class sizes (for some schools) Expanded curriculum choices (VET) Significant increase in non-teaching staff ICT Student welfare/pastoral care Regulation and compliance

Student teacher ratios Source: ABS Schools Australia data

Implications for schools Salary increases – productivity gains Delivery methods Curriculum/programs provision Providing value for money Focus on What Parents Want

Sustainability Political support (excepting for the Greens) Independent schools educate nearly 1 in 5 secondary students High levels of community support 4 in 10 state school parents would send their children to an independent school if fees weren’t an issue High parental expectations National Education System – Australian Curriculum, NAPLAN – more uniformity

Possible Threats Autonomous state schools eg WA Independent Public Schools Gillard Government to give 1,000 schools more autonomy by 2014 Slow reforms at Queensland level (eg State school Principals now have power to expel students) Standardisation of curriculum, assessment and reporting

Implications for schools Focus on What Parents Want –Values, standards, good discipline –Preparation for students to fulfil their potential in life –Encourage of responsible attitude to work –High quality teachers Focus on being independent Focus on innovation, creativity

Federal Budget New commitments of over $800 million for school education Changes to Trade Training Centres and Digital Education Revolution National Asian Languages in Schools to end after 2011/12

BudgetForwardEstimates 2011/122012/132013/142014/15 Program$’000 Rewards for School Improvement15,78548,59691,860 Reward Payments for Great Teachers50, ,000 Teach Next6,4005,2504,4501,950 National Trade Cadetship60012,500 Australian Baccalaureate--2,1884,511 National Asian Languages in Schools4, National School Chaplaincy Program74,000 - Helping Children with Autism5,3545,4505,5555,665 Trade Training Centres98,88092,02080,72074,860 Digital Education Revolution107,000100,00098,00074,000 Building the Education Revolution98, Students with Disabilities (Non-Government)17,48217,5408,768- FEDERAL BUDGET 2011/12

Reward Payments for Great Teachers $425 million over the next four years - $1.25 billion for the initiative New Australian Teacher Performance Management Principles and Procedures Top 10% of teachers (approx 25,000 each year) Bonus of up to 10% of salary First bonus payments in 2014 based on 2013 performance

Empowering Local Schools $480 million by 2018 for self-governing schools 1,000 schools to be self-governing over 2012 and 2013 Initial focus is government schools; non- government schools able to participate from 2013 Grants of up to $50,000 for participating schools

Rewards for School Improvement $250 million over four years National School Improvement Framework and Office of National School Evaluation (within ACARA) Reward payments to schools showing the most improvement under the framework Expected that 4,500 schools will receive rewards between 2012/13 and 2016/17

Items of Interest $222 million for the expansion of the National Schools Chaplaincy Program Teach Next – 450 new teachers National Trade Cadetships Enhancing Support for Students with Disabilities - $200 million Changes to Trade Training Centres and Digital Education Revolution

Items of Interest Australian Baccalaureate National Asian Languages in Schools Program will end Budget provides for the extension of recurrent funding for non-government schools until the end of 2013, and capital funding to 2014

Federal Budget $54 million allocated to establish a new independent statutory agency, the Australian Charities and Not-for-profits Commission, by 1 July 2012 The agency will be headed by a Commissioner who will have sole responsibility for determining charitable, public benevolent institution and other not-for-profit status for all Commonwealth purposes

Schools recurrent funding by sector Source: Productivity Commission & Financial Questionnaire

The SES funding model

Sliding scale of funding entitlement per student according to SES score (2010 final amounts)

Independent schools by SES score % of schools have an SES ≤107 Note: SES 85 includes special schools

Number of Funding Maintained schools by sector and SES score 2009

AGSRC Index supplementation 1999 to 2010 Primary AGSRCSecondary AGSRC %4.0% %5.2% %7.2% % %7.4% %7.2% %4.6% %3.6% %4.3% %3.5% %5.8% %7.0%

Change in rates Movement in State Recurrent Funding Rates for Independent Schools 2009 => => 2011 No of Schools % of Schools No of Schools % of Schools Decrease32%00% Unchanged02%00% Increase up to 1%137%00% Increase 1% to 2%4223%32% Increase 2% to 4%8950%2615% Increase 4% & above 3218%17883%

Funding Review panel members David Gonski AC Dr Peter Tannock AM Dr Ken Boston AO Kathryn Greiner AO Hon. Dr Carmen Lawrence Bill Scales AO

Funding Review Commenced April 2010 Listening tour 2010 Emerging Issues Paper December ,200 submissions 7,000 AEU campaign submissions

Funding Review Timeline Listening Tour – July/August 2010 Emerging Issues Paper – December 2010 –Submissions called for 31 March 2011 Second Issues Paper – August 2011 –Submissions August/September 2011 Final Report – December 2011 Government Decisions ???

Funding Review Research Projects 1.Definition of equity (DEEWR) 2.Current arrangements to fund disadvantaged students including students with disability (ACER) 3.Developing a Schooling Resource Standard (Allen Consulting) 4.An evaluation of existing funding models and methodologies used by the states and territories (Access Economics) 5.Improving education outcomes (Nous Group Consortium) 6.Different funding models (DEEWR and Review Panel)

Independent sector key messages 1.No loss of funding in real terms 2.Continuing direct relationship between the Commonwealth and the non-government sector 3.Funding to continue to be allocated in legislated quadrennium or longer cycles 4.An accurate measure of the changes in the cost of educating a child in a government school 5.Increased and continuing capital and targeted funding 6.Importance of projected enrolment growth and independent sector partnership with governments 7.Funding must be based on robust data 8.Consistent application of funding model

AEU Submission The key principle of government funding for private schools should be that there is no pre-existing, pre-determined entitlement to public funding

AEU Submission Where governments choose to provide funding to private schools, the level of funding should be determined by rating each private school through criteria including: Enrolment practices Student profile Compliance with mandated curriculum Public accountability Level of fees The total income, assets and resources at the disposal of the school

NCEC Submission Catholic sector wants at least the current level of total government funding in real terms into the future, irrespective of individual family financial circumstances Catholic school systems to be funded at a percentage of a national resource standard, based on a resource-availability and a socio- economic indicator Non-systemic schools funding based on national resource standard modified by a resource- availability and a socio-economic indicator

Non-systemic school funding sources and non-systemic enrolments by school SES score 2006 Source: ANAO analysis of Non-government Schools Financial Questionnaire data & DEEWR Census

Net recurrent income by student – average school amount by sector by state (Total net recurrent income / total enrolments) Source: ACARA Financial Data – February 2011 Note: 28 schools’ data is pending for the independent sector.

Net recurrent income per student by sector Source: ACARA Financial Data – February 2011 *28 schools’ data pending in the independent sector **38 schools have no funded enrolments & therefore no net recurrent income per student amount. They are environmental education centres and hospital schools in NSW.

Legislation timeline – ALP Government Jan 2007 Federal ElectionDec 2007 Jan 2008Legislation for new funding quadrennium passed Dec 2008 Jan 2009 Dec 2009 Jan 2010 Review of schools funding Dec 2010 Federal Election Jan 2011 Review of schools funding Dec 2011 Amend Schools Assistance Act for 2013 Jan 2012Government decision on funding review / Legislation for new funding quadrennium?Dec 2012 Jan 2013Legislation for new funding quadrennium ? Federal ElectionDec 2013 Jan 2014 Dec 2014 Jan 2015 Dec 2015 Jan 2016 Federal ElectionDec 2016 Jan 2017Legislation for new funding quadrennium Dec 2017

My Crystal Ball No hit lists Funding moderated by school resources (hybrid SES/ERI?) Funding Guarantee (but no Funding Maintenance in a new model) Existing Funding Maintenance?? Squeeze on indexation National resource standards

Implications for Schools Manage reporting of school income (recurrent/capital; net trading activities) Look at Foundations etc as a means to manage private income flow to the school Plan for possible reduction of Government funding in real terms

Tanberg – The Age 5/2/11 My School

NAPLAN “high stakes” Increasing focus on procedures, exemptions and participation 2010 NAPLAN National Report released -

Top and bottom 100 schools for net recurrent income per student - Australia Highest net recurrent income per student Independent6 Catholic0 Government Lowest net recurrent income per student Independent14 Catholic67 Government Source: ACARA Financial Data – February 2011 Note: 28 schools’ data is pending for the independent sector.

Highest 10 NRIPS schools by sector and state - Australia SectorSchool NameState Funded FTE NRIPSDescription GovernmentWollombi Public SchoolNSW3 $ 101,472Small GovernmentCassia Educ Support CentreWA16.4 $ 105,191Education support centre/remote GovernmentKarratha Educ Support CentreWA17.2 $ 107,126Education support centre/remote GovernmentCollege Row SchoolWA19.2 $ 108,999Education support centre GovernmentRivendell SchoolNSW24 $ 115,346Special school GovernmentWoolomin Public SchoolNSW25 $ 117,478Rural Government Shenton College Deaf Education CentreWA16 $ 118,501Special school GovernmentTennyson Special SchoolQLD7.1 $ 122,061Special school GovernmentThe Wa Institute For Deaf EducationWA43.6 $ 152,414Special school GovernmentLyons Early Childhood SchoolACT6 $ 158,667Early childhood/Small Source: ACARA Financial Data – February 2011 Note: 28 schools’ data is pending for the independent sector.

Independent Schools with the highest NRIPS - Australia Note: Excludes independent schools with data pending or blank, Special schools, Special Assistance Schools, Majority Indigenous Student School and Australian Technical Colleges/Trade Schools Source: ACARA Financial Data

ICSEA scores Australia – My School 2.0 Highest ICSEA (Top 100 Schools) Government38 Independent54 Catholic8 Lowest ICSEA (Bottom 100 schools) Government76 Independent11 Catholic13

Change in ICSEA for independent schools Australia – MySchool v1 and Highest ICSEA (Top 100 schools)Highest ICSEA (Top 100 Schools) Government61Government38 Independent21Independent54 Catholic18Catholic8 Lowest ICSEA (Bottom 100 schools) Government76Government76 Independent11Independent11 Catholic13Catholic13

My School Future developments – Reporting of school assets? Satisfaction surveys – parents, students and teachers More detail on staffing – teachers by National Teacher Standards Focus on student gain (disadvantage for highly performing schools)

Australian Curriculum Ministers approved the Australian Curriculum for Foundation (Prep) to Year 10 for English, mathematics, science and history on 8 th December 2010 However, Ministers did not approve the achievement standards in their current form Ministers have instructed ACARA to finalise for their approval the achievement standards and any adjustments and refinements that may need to be made to the curriculum content by October 2011

Australian Curriculum The Queensland Implementation Plan remains unchanged 2011 is awareness raising, engagement and understanding 2012 implementation of English, mathematics and science i.e. to teach, assess and report on the Australian Curriculum 2013 implementation of history Early adoption of Australian Curriculum is an individual school decision

Australian Curriculum The Queensland Studies Authority has a package of 100 resources available on their website to assist schools with planning, unit development and audit tools Independent Schools Queensland briefings for principals and School Leaders continuing – refer to for details

Australian Curriculum Draft Version 2 of The Shape of the Australian Curriculum now available for consultation Final The Shape of the Australian Curriculum: Geography now available Draft The Shape of the Australian Curriculum: Languages now available for consultation All available at

Australian Curriculum The big issues Achievement standards Time allocations/what is mandated Senior secondary

QSA Future of QCATs post 2012 Review of QCE Review of CST

Queensland Government Focus on NAPLAN results Green Paper Year 7 Standards Authority Universal provision of kindergarten Pre-service education

Green Paper – Year 7 State Government announced in late 2010 that further consultation will be held on the proposed movement of Year 7 to secondary Half Cohort Impact 2011 Enrolments in Independent Schools Year 36,290 Year 45, Year 7 in 2014 Year 56,949

Green Paper – Standards Authority Queensland College of Teachers Queensland Studies Authority Non-State Schools Accreditation Board Independent Standards Authority “independent” accreditation of state schools

Kindergartens New recurrent funding arrangements for kindergartens commenced 2011 Approved kindergarten providers eligible for recurrent funding for kindy aged cohort Providers must be licensed; 15 hours a week for 40 weeks a year; and delivered by a qualified teacher

Kindergartens Independent Schools Queensland is an approved “Central Governing Body” to administer kindergarten funding for stand alone kindergartens Long Day Centres funded directly by the Department Independent schools with stand alone kindergartens and kindergartens with close association with independent schools may join the ISQ CGB for funding purposes

Kindergartens 240 additional kindergartens by sites announced Further rounds for 2013 and % of Queensland children currently attending kindergarten (up from 29% in 2008)

Pre-Service Education Review of Teacher Education and School Induction 65 recommendations 24 accepted by the Government and will be implemented 41 recommendations to be further considered by a Taskforce

For further information - David Robertson Executive Director Independent Schools Queensland