Lag-lead correlations, CMIP5 models, historical run (1/1/1990-31/12/2005) Pr-SM and AT-SM correlations use just land points, Pr-AT correlations done twice.

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Lag-lead correlations, CMIP5 models, historical run (1/1/ /12/2005) Pr-SM and AT-SM correlations use just land points, Pr-AT correlations done twice (all points and land points only)

Pr-SM Pr-AT (all points) AT-SM All correlations, global Example: for +10 day – pr leads sm by 10 days (day 1 with day 11, day 2 with day 12, etc) Pr-AT (land points only)

All correlations, global Pr-Pr (land points only)

AfricaSouth AmericaAsia sA: 10-50E, 0-35SBrazil: 75-30W, 0-23SOceania: E, 15N-15S wA: 20W-0E, 23-0NIndia: 70-90E, 35-10N eA: 15-50E, 23-0N

All correlations, Pr-Pr Example: for +10 day – pr leads pr by 10 days (day 1 with day 11, day 2 with day 12, etc) Brazil India Oceania s. Africa e. Africa w. Africa

All correlations, Pr-SM Example: for +10 day – pr leads sm by 10 days (day 1 with day 11, day 2 with day 12, etc) Brazil India Oceania s. Africa e. Africa w. Africa

All correlations, Pr-AT (all points) Example: for +10 day – pr leads at by 10 days (day 1 with day 11, day 2 with day 12, etc) s. Africa e. Africa w. Africa Brazil India Oceania

All correlations, Pr-AT (land points only) Example: for +10 day – pr leads at by 10 days (day 1 with day 11, day 2 with day 12, etc) Brazil India Oceania s. Africa e. Africa w. Africa

All correlations, AT-SM Example: for +10 day – at leads sm by 10 days (day 1 with day 11, day 2 with day 12, etc) s. Africa e. Africa w. Africa Brazil India Oceania