Energy Industry Country Industry Forecast Service ( CIF ) Global Econometric Modeling group, India Energy Industry Country Industry Forecast Service ( CIF ) Global Econometric Modeling group, India

Business Policy Political Outlook Consumption & Investment External Market Financial Market Labor Market ENERGY INDUSTRY C O U N T R Y I N D U S T R Y F O R E C A S T

Country Industry Forecasts (CIF)  The CIF Report is your authoritative ready reckoner on the country in focus, providing you comprehensive inputs on the country's economic, political, demographic, resource and industry variables.  It serves as your road map to the decisive factors influencing the industry: government policy and the political pulse, infrastructure and labor, external trade and global market integration. A report for both reactive companies new to a country or market and proactive companies who stay in step with their changing context.

Who needs a CIF service   Senior level decision-makers and planners who shape company strategy in the energy industry   Analysts and industry observers looking for country- specific Industry intelligence   Marketing professionals wanting to know the ‘lay of the land’

CIF- An Essential Tool For...  Entering a new geographical market  Making strategic decisions on alliances, mergers and acquisitions.  Learning how non-market forces impact your company's present performance in a country  Judging the extent of competition posed for the industry in a country.  Shaping and fine-tuning future strategy based on new market opportunities  Preparing contingency plans based on likely scenarios  In-depth micro research into a market with CIF as a guide map.

Special Features of CIF  Fact sheet – The bird’s eye view of the region, the country in focus and the automotive industry  Country-Industry Linkage -Global perspective to a country-specific study integrated with energy industry insights.  Five - year economic forecasts for main macroeconomic indicators of a country  Ten - year trend including five - year forecasts for the key manipulable parameters of the energy industry and its segments.

Special Features of CIF  Impact analysis of the country-specific influences on the energy industry and its key segments. — Political scenario - system, ruling party stance, events and developments — Business policy-including trade policy, fiscal and monetary policy, trade blocs, tariffs and regulations — Main Economic Indicators: GDP, Inflation, Interest rates, Consumer spending, Investment, Labor productivity, Employment, Exports and Imports.  Industry progression index reflecting the growth path of the industry and the contribution of each segment to the industrial growth.

CIF advantage of Dual expertise

Energy Industry Segments

Industry Analysis Objective: To measure, assess and forecast the impact of the various macro indicators analyzed under the economic, business policy and political outlook for the country on the growth indicators of Energy industry. Coverage:  Global overview of Energy industry  Historic regional growth and share in world output, consumption & Trade, industry growth stage in comparison to other regions and regional competitiveness, growth options and deterrents and the role of international trade for the Energy industry.

Industry Analysis (Continued) Analysis:  A list of dependant & independent variables for all the segments of the Energy industry is developed –Dependent variables or Key Industry Parameters: production, trade, consumption, pricing, labor efficiency, employment, and Industry revenues. –Independent Variables or Growth Determinants: capturing the effect of changes in economic, business policy & political influences on the growth of the industry.  Relationships between specific dependant & independent variables are established

Industry Analysis  Relationship between dependant and Independent variables of the energy industry are derived.  Based on the relationship and outlook of the independent variables are used to forecast the future growth of the automotive industry in the country.  A descriptive analysis of the level of impact of the economic / Business policy & Political factors on the industry segments for the future in the country is provided.

Progression Path  These influences are assigned weights based on the extent to which they have an impact on the growth of the segments of the industry.  The growth path of the Energy industry and its segments is plotted using a progression index derived through impact analysis of Key Industry parameters as assessed under economy/business policy and political heads on the major measurements for the industry and its segments.