Meteorology 415 Fall 2012 Contest 2 City 1 – RAP October 16, 2012.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Fall Location – Erie, PA Population 101,807 (US: 275th) (2011) 275th - metro 280,985 (US: 164th) (2011) 164th Density 4,631.7 / sq mi (1,788 / km.
Advertisements

Flight Operations Research Tools for the Operational Management of Inflight Icing in the 21 st Century…Revisited S.D. Green February 26, 2015.
Better Briefings, Safer FlightsNBAA 2014 FPAW PanelOctober 23, Page 2 Part 91 Fatal Accidents –(1) Loss of Control In Flight (“frequently.
Forecasting Thunderstorms in Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts (TAFs) Some new insights Steven Thompson National Weather Service (NWS) La Crosse, WI.
SkyScope: An Aviation Weather Visualization System Wesley Coelho Bertrand Low.
Meteorology 5.09 METARs References: FTGU pages
Meteorology 5.10 TAFs References: FTGU pages
Weather Forecasting and Prediction. Methods of Forecasting  Step 1 - Outside!  Step 2 - Satellite maps  Step 3 - Radar imagery  Step 4 - Surface and.
Rhinelander, wi Meteorology 415 – Fall 2012 Ninth Forecast Review.
Regional Gliding School includes: isobars (joins places of equal pressure), high and low pressure areas, air masses and fronts shows actual conditions.
Federal Aviation Administration V.1.04 Presented by FAA Academy Air Traffic Division Initial Training Branch Air Traffic Basics 50043/50143 Forecasts and.
Weather Information for the Ballooning Community Jennifer McNatt Lead Forecaster National Weather Service Tampa Bay Office.
Sault Ste Marie, MI Meteorology 415 – Fall 2012 Eighth Forecast Review.
ATS/ESS 452: Synoptic Meteorology
METAR/TAF The International Weather Code
February 6, 2012 Verification Western California Dan Tomaso, Tyler Roys, & Brian Clavier.
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e Air Force Weather Agency Lt Col Jeffrey S. Tongue Individual Mobilization Augmentee Air Force Weather.
85 th Flying Training Squadron BEES FORMAL BRIEF 13August2012.
Winter Weather Aviation Edition. Topics Covered Assessing Fog and Stratus Forecast Funnel Fog Stratus Writing a good TAF.
UPS Meteorology - AMDAR Forecasting Aid – WVSS Data −Fog −Winter Precipitation Types Diagnostic Aid/Case Studies −Document Events −Develop New Forecast.
Property of Lear Siegler. 7 out of 10 Atmosphere & Airmasses, Pressure & Winds, Stability and Clouds 7 out of 10Frontal Weather 7 out of 10Weather Hazards.
Meteorology 415 Fall 2012 Tuesday, November 27, 2012 Rise and Shine.
South Bend, IN Meteorology 415 – Fall 2012 Second Contest Fourth Day.
Rise and Shine Quiz 3 Meteorology 415. What are the ‘probable’ causes of the two boundaries seen on this visible satellite picture from last Thursday.
November 27 th, 2012 METEO 415 ALLEGRETTI LUTZ MAZZENGA.
Caribou, Maine Adeline Chimel Karily Villanueva Julie Hickox.
Southwest Aviation Weather Safety Workshop David Runyan Warning Coordination Meteorologist.
Aviation/Turbulence Forecasting. Aviation Weather Center (AWC) National Weather Service office Turbulence, flight rules, upper level progs.
FORECAST REVIEW OF Vladivostok. VLADIVOSTOK, RUSSIA  Founded: July 2, 1860  Population: 592,069  22 nd Largest City in Russia  Density: 987/km 2 (2,560/sq.
Meteorology 415 Fall 2012 Tuesday, December 11, 2012 Final Rise and Shine.
FAA Identifier: CAE Lat/Long: N / W N / W / (estimated) Elevation: 236.
Practical Meteorology and Practical Navigation Ref: FTGU Pages , AIM MET Section.
Observations 4 Satellite –Two types: Polar Orbiting –very high resolution –only twice a day Geostationary –lower resolution –nearly continuous –3 basic.
Meteorology 5. –SURFACE and UPPER CHART comparison – JET STREAM – METAR – TIME ZONES – WINDS, VISIBILITY & WEATHER – OBSCURATION & SKY CONDITION – FD’s,
Analysis of the 10 July 2002 St. Cloud, Minnesota Flash Flood Event Justin Turcotte 5 April 2003.
HiRAD: A Real-Time System to Estimate Weather Conditions at High Resolution Presented to the WG/WIST … June 7, 2006.
October Lake Effect Snow in Reno Gina McGuire. What happened on October 10, 2008 in Reno/Sparks? Lake effect snow was expected and did develop off of.
Post Mortem Forecast Review Contest 3 Thursday, November 3, 2011 Asheville, NC and Flagstaff, AZ.
Ken Widelski – Senior Forecaster NWS Albuquerque, NM SAWS IV.
Lecture 3 (9/23) METR 1111 METAR Surface Observation Code.
USING CLIMATOLOGY TO FORECAST THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO Stan Rose, Meteorologist, National Weather Service, Pueblo, CO.
Safer Skies The Safer Skies agenda originated in 1998 when the Administrator and her team identified the most critical and most common causes for aviation.
Mike DiDomizio Jordan Root Billy Clark FORECAST REVIEW 11/6/12.
Meteorology 415 Fall 2011 Review of Forecast 4 Contest 2 San Francisco, CA.
Meteorology 415 Fall 2012 Contest 2 City 1 – INL October 4, 2012.
Forecast Review - Bangor Alyson Hoegg, Anna Schneider, Rachel Rice Meteorology 415.
Safer Skies The Safer Skies agenda originated in 1998 when the Administrator and her team identified the most critical and most common causes for aviation.
Anticipating Aviation Weather Hazards in the Southwest Dr. Curtis N. James Department of Meteorology Prescott, Arizona.
Mr. Kratzer “Mr. K” Cannon Weather Acting Flight Commander David Craft NWS Albuquerque Aviation Products & Services Program Co-leader.
Meteorology 415 Fall 2011 Review of Forecast 1 Contest 2 Allentown, PA.
Pittsburgh Meteorology 415 – Fall 2012 First Forecast Review.
Meteorology 415 Fall 2012 Forecast Review Wednesday, October 31, 2012 Johnstown, PA (JST)
Forecast Review: Tuesday, October 23, 2012 City One: Redding, California.
FAA Identifier: ECG Lat/Long: N / W N / W / (estimated) Elevation: 12.
Weather Observations Spring 2016 Kyle Imhoff.
Contest 3 Yakima, WA and The Dalles, OR November 16, 2011
Forecast Review Wednesday, November 14, 2012 Anchorage, AK (ANC)
July 13, 2017 Session #1 In Lieu of the Surface Observation Including EWINS Authority, RTMA, Web Cams, and Remote Observation Systems Part 121 Operator.
5.11 Meteorological Weather -
Anticipating Aviation Weather Hazards in the Southwest
Terminal Area Forecast (TAF)
Meteorology 415 Final forecast wed, dec 12, 2012
Oct. 26, 2005 Vertical Wind Shear
Atmospheric Measurements
Noel 2007 Chronicle Herald.
Finding the Front: Two Approaches
Meteorology 5.10 TAFs References: FTGU pages
Welcome to Europe Meteorology 415 Fall 2009.
We process complex datasets
Ross Lazear SUNY Albany
Presentation transcript:

Meteorology 415 Fall 2012 Contest 2 City 1 – RAP October 16, 2012

Rapid City, South Dakota

Rapid City, SD -Observations KRAP Z 18015KT 10SM CLR 21/03 A2951 RMK AO2 SLP975 T = KRAP Z 18015KT 10SM CLR 21/03 A2951= KRAP Z 18016KT 10SM CLR 21/02 A2946 RMK AO2 SLP955 T = KRAP Z 18016KT 10SM CLR 21/02 A2946= KRAP Z 21011KT 10SM FEW120 22/01 A2941 RMK AO2 SLP943 T = KRAP Z 29005KT 10SM OVC110 21/01 A2938 RMK AO2 SLP937 T = KRAP Z 29005KT 10SM OVC110 21/01 A2938= KRAP Z 11003KT 10SM FEW048 SCT075 BKN090 19/02 A2936 RMK AO2 RAB24E35 SLP928 P0000 T = KRAP Z 11003KT 10SM FEW048 SCT075 BKN090 19/02 A2936= KRAP Z 36011KT 10SM OVC100 19/03 A2936 RMK AO2 RAB36E50 SLP931 P0000 T = KRAP Z 36011KT 10SM OVC100 19/03 A2936= KRAP Z 34003KT 10SM OVC095 17/04 A2935 RMK AO2 RAB2254E04 SLP933 P T = KRAP Z 34003KT 10SM OVC095 17/04 A2935=

Rapid City, SD -Observations KRAP Z 34003KT 10SM OVC095 17/04 A2935 RMK AO2 RAB2254E04 SLP933 P T = KRAP Z 34003KT 10SM OVC095 17/04 A2935= KRAP Z 34020KT 10SM -RA BKN070 OVC090 13/09 A2939 RMK AO2 PK WND 34032/0016 RAB04 SLP949 P0000 T = KRAP Z 34020KT 10SM -RA BKN070 OVC090 13/09 A2939= KRAP Z 31027G34KT 9SM -RA BKN060 OVC070 12/08 A2944 RMK AO2 PK WND 31034/0151 SLP969 P0003 T = KRAP Z 31027G34KT 9SM -RA BKN060 OVC070 12/08 A2944= KRAP Z 30012G20KT 10SM -RA OVC050 09/07 A2947 RMK AO2 PK WND 30040/0158 SLP977 P T $= KRAP Z 30012G20KT 10SM -RA OVC050 09/07 A2947= KRAP Z 30014KT 10SM SCT075 OVC090 10/06 A2947 RMK AO2 RAE48 SLP971 P0001 T $= KRAP Z 30014KT 10SM SCT075 OVC090 10/06 A2947= KRAP Z AUTO 29007KT 10SM FEW065 SCT090 OVC110 10/06 A2949 RMK AO2 RAB02E17 SLP972 P0000 T $= KRAP Z AUTO 29007KT 10SM FEW065 SCT090 OVC110 10/06 A2949= KRAP Z AUTO 32019G24KT 10SM CLR 10/03 A2951 RMK AO2 SLP T $= KRAP Z AUTO 32019G24KT 10SM CLR 10/03 A2951=

Rapid City, SD -Observations KRAP Z AUTO 32019G24KT 10SM CLR 10/03 A2951 RMK AO2 SLP T $= KRAP Z AUTO 32019G24KT 10SM CLR 10/03 A2951= KRAP Z AUTO 32019KT 10SM CLR 10/M03 A2954 RMK AO2 PK WND 31029/0621 SLP991 T $= KRAP Z AUTO 32019KT 10SM CLR 10/M03 A2954= KRAP Z AUTO 32023G35KT 10SM CLR 09/M05 A2957 RMK AO2 PK WND 31037/0741 SLP998 T $= KRAP Z AUTO 32023G35KT 10SM CLR 09/M05 A2957= KRAP Z AUTO 30017G27KT 10SM CLR 08/M04 A2957 RMK AO2 PK WND 30036/0831 SLP001 T $= KRAP Z AUTO 30017G27KT 10SM CLR 08/M04 A2957= KRAP Z AUTO 31022G43KT 10SM CLR 09/M04 A2957 RMK AO2 PK WND 31043/0944 SLP003 T $= KRAP Z AUTO 31022G43KT 10SM CLR 09/M04 A2957= KRAP Z AUTO 33022G49KT 10SM OVC060 08/M03 A2960 RMK AO2 PK WND 32049/1045 SLP013 T $= KRAP Z AUTO 33022G49KT 10SM OVC060 08/M03 A2960= KRAP Z AUTO 32031G53KT 10SM SQ BKN060 08/M02 A2960 RMK AO2 PK WND 32053/1100 $= KRAP Z AUTO 32031G53KT 10SM SQ BKN060 08/M02 A2960= KRAP Z 31037G44KT 10SM CLR 05/00 A2963 RMK AO2 PK WND 32053/1100 SLP T $= KRAP Z 31037G44KT 10SM CLR 05/00 A2963=

Rapid City, SD -Observations KRAP Z 31037G44KT 10SM CLR 05/00 A2963 RMK AO2 PK WND 32053/1100 SLP T $= KRAP Z 31037G44KT 10SM CLR 05/00 A2963= KRAP Z 31036G47KT 10SM OVC110 08/M04 A2961 RMK AO2 PK WND 31047/1245 SLP026 T $= KRAP Z 31036G47KT 10SM OVC110 08/M04 A2961= KRAP Z 32037G47KT 10SM FEW120 08/M04 A2961 RMK AO2 PK WND 31053/1327 SLP028 T = KRAP Z 32037G47KT 10SM FEW120 08/M04 A2961= KRAP Z 32034G50KT 10SM CLR 08/M06 A2965 RMK AO2 PK WND 32054/1358 SLP042 T = KRAP Z 32034G50KT 10SM CLR 08/M06 A2965= KRAP Z 32038G48KT 10SM CLR 09/M06 A2967 RMK AO2 PK WND 32057/1534 SLP048 T = KRAP Z 32038G48KT 10SM CLR 09/M06 A2967= KRAP Z 32032G44KT 10SM SCT075 10/M06 A2970 RMK AO2 PK WND 32046/1610 SLP058 T = KRAP Z 32032G44KT 10SM SCT075 10/M06 A2970= KRAP Z 33034G46KT 10SM SCT080 10/M07 A2971 RMK AO2 PK WND 32046/1749 SLP063 T =

Rapid City, SD– Surface Map

Rapid City, SD – Upper Air Pattern

Rapid City, SD – Satellite

Rapid City, SD– Radar

Rapid City, SD – Guidance

Verification

Survey Path Scores

Career Path Scores

Up Close and Personal

Lessons Learned: RAP Remarkably, the air became more moist behind the front – particularly due to the anabatic structure of the front. Strong winds take a while to mix down, though the dynamic forcing of downsloping from the Black Hills are independent to time of day.

L.F Wade Intl Airport - Bermuda

Bermuda- Observations TXKF Z 06012KT RA BKN023 BKN050 OVC080 24/20 Q1004= TXKF Z 04012KT RA BKN016 BKN050 OVC080 24/21 Q1003 /= TXKF Z 04015KT 6000 RA BKN013 BKN050 OVC080 24/22 Q1002= TXKF Z 05016KT 3200 RA BR BKN013 OVC050 24/23 Q1001 TXKF Z 07024KT 4800 RA BKN009 BKN033 OVC050 22/20 Q1001= TXKF Z 06020KT RA BKN009 BKN026 OVC056 22/20 Q1000= TXKF Z 04020KT 4400 RA BKN009 BKN021 OVC054 22/20 Q1000 RMK BKN009 V SCT= TXKF Z 05023G34KT 1600 RA BKN009 BKN017 OVC054 22/20 Q1000= TXKF Z 04023G33KT 2400 RA BKN009 BKN017 OVC057 21/18 Q0999= TXKF Z 04023G34KT 2400 RA SCT008 BKN019 OVC046 21/19 Q0999 RMK SCT008 V BKN= TXKF Z 04023G34KT 4000 RA SCT008 BKN017 OVC049 21/20 Q0998= TXKF Z 02024G36KT RA BKN008 BKN028 OVC050 22/20 Q0998 RMK BKN008 V SCT= TXKF Z 03027G38KT RA BKN008 BKN028 OVC054 22/20 Q0998= TXKF Z 03027G39KT RA SCT008 BKN019 OVC058 21/20 Q0998= TXKF Z 02027G38KT 4400 RA SCT008 BKN017 OVC047 22/21 Q0997= TXKF Z 02030G44KT 4000 RA BKN008 BKN016 OVC048 22/20 Q0997=

Bermuda- Observations TXKF Z 02030G44KT 4000 RA BKN008 BKN016 OVC048 22/20 Q0997= TXKF Z 01026G44KT RA BKN008 BKN017 OVC053 22/21 Q0996 RERA= TXKF Z 02025G35KT RA BKN008 BKN019 OVC056 22/21 Q0996 RERA= TXKF Z 34028G41KT RA BKN009 OVC020 23/21 Q0996= TXKF Z 34028G41KT RA BKN009 OVC020 23/21 Q0996 /= TXKF Z 33026G37KT 9999 BKN011 BKN021 OVC045 24/21 Q0997= TXKF Z 33026G37KT 9999 SCT014 BKN023 BKN050 OVC180 24/20 Q0997= TXKF Z 32023KT 9999 SCT015 BKN023 BKN041 BKN300 24/20 Q0997 /= TXKF Z 31021KT 9999 SCT017 BKN028 BKN040 BKN300 24/21 Q0999= TXKF Z 30024KT 9999 SCT018 BKN040 BKN300 25/20 Q1000 TXKF Z 30022KT 9999 SCT020 BKN034 BKN300 25/20 Q1000 TXKF Z 28019KT 9999 SCT023 BKN032 BKN300 25/20 Q1001

Bermuda- Observations TXKF Z 28019KT 9999 SCT023 BKN032 BKN300 25/20 Q1001 /= TXKF Z 28018KT 9999 FEW023 SCT032 BKN300 25/19 Q1003 TXKF Z 28020KT 9999 SCT022 SCT036 SCT300 26/21 Q1004 TXKF Z 29021KT 9999 VCSH SCT019 BKN080 25/21 Q1005 TXKF Z 30021KT 9999 VCSH SCT019 SCT036 BKN080 25/21 Q1006= TXKF Z 29017KT 9999 VCSH SCT019 SCT036 SCT080 25/20 Q1008=

Bermuda- Observations Synoptic Reports

Bermuda – Upper Air Pattern

Bermuda Radar

Bermuda Satellite

Bermuda – Satellite

Bermuda – IR

Bermuda – Guidance

Verification

Career Path Scores

Up Close and Personal

Lessons Learned: Bermuda Temperatures reach a minimum in the Tropics when it rains hard. Conditions improve rapidly after a TC moves by. Thunderstorms are less frequent on the northwest quadrant of an accelerating TC