1 City of Hallandale Beach 3rd Quarter 2012 DB Plan Update November 19, 2012.

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Presentation transcript:

1 City of Hallandale Beach 3rd Quarter 2012 DB Plan Update November 19, 2012

Economy and Market Review In a reversal of the general risk aversion in the second quarter of 2012, equity markets enjoyed solid gains during the third quarter In the U.S., the S&P 500 Index gained 6.4% in the third quarter, and is up 16.4% year-to-date International markets (as measured by the MSCI All Country World (ex-U.S.) Index) gained 7.4% for the third quarter, and are up 10.4% for the year –International developed markets (as measured by the MSCI EAFE Index) gained 6.9% for the quarter and are up 10.1% for the year –International emerging markets (as measured by the MSCI Emerging Markets Index) gained 7.7% for the quarter and are up 12.0% for the year With so much slack in the U.S. economy, the EU in recession, and slow growth in China and other emerging markets, we believe potential inflation is well into the future and are keeping yields ultra-low –The 10-year Treasury yield finished at 1.63%, down 1 basis point for the quarter –The 2-year Treasury yield finished at 0.23%, down 8 basis points for the quarter Recap 3 rd Quarter Indexes are not available for direct investment.

Economy and Market Review Renewed central bank easing actions dominated the headlines While the U.S. economy may only be the best house in a bad neighborhood, it appears to be gradually healing Our view is employers have cut their payrolls to the bone and will be forced to hire more to increase profitability Housing data continues to improve ECB action may stabilize the EU economy next year, but for now, the mild recession continues and potentially years of de-leveraging and restructuring lie ahead Economic growth in China has slowed Recap 3 rd Quarter

We expect U.S. growth to be a bit better in the second half than the revised 1.3% number of the second quarter State and local government tax revenue was up in the second quarter so the drag from public sector layoffs and spending cuts could be waning U.S. household spending is poised to benefit from lower mortgage rates We believe inflation, while a risk of Fed policy, is not an immediate worry The outcome of the election and resolution of the fiscal cliff will at least provide some certainty about future tax and regulatory policy. Whatever the outcome…we believe business will adjust and growth will likely accelerate in the second half. Economy and Market Review Outlook for the Future 4

Businesses and investors seem to be waiting for clarity over tax and spending negotiations before committing resources, and this delay could reinforce slow job growth and weak consumer spending – potentially nullifying the Fed’s efforts to stimulate the economy. In this environment, our forecast for year-end interest rates is: –A Federal Funds Rate target of 0% to 0.25% –A 10-year Treasury Rate of 2.00% –A 2-year Treasury Rate of 0.30% We expect economic growth to come in around 2.2% for 2012 Our projection for inflation for year-end 2012 is around 2.2% Outlook for the Future Economy and Market Review 5

©2012 Principal Financial Services, Inc. No part of this presentation may be reproduced or used in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying or recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system, without prior written permission from the Principal Financial Group®. Information provided by Principal Global Investors, a member of the Principal Financial Group. The information in this document has been derived from sources believed to be accurate as of September 30, Information derived from sources other than Principal Global Investors or its affiliates is believed to be reliable; however, we do not independently verify or guarantee its accuracy or validity. The information in this document contains general information only on investment matters and should not be considered as a comprehensive statement on any matter and should not be relied upon as such. The general information it contains does not take account of any investor's investment objectives, particular needs or financial situation, nor should it be relied upon in any way as forecast or guarantee of future events regarding a particular investment or the markets in general. All expressions of opinion and predictions in this document are subject to change without notice. Subject to any contrary provisions of applicable law, no company in the Principal Financial Group nor any of their employees or directors gives any warranty of reliability or accuracy nor accepts any responsibility arising in any other way (including by reason of negligence) for errors or omissions in this document. All figures shown in this document are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and should not be relied upon as a significant basis for an investment decision. You should consider whether an investment fits your investment objectives, particular needs and financial situation before making any investment decision. Important Information Economy and Market Review 6

Important Information Economy and Market Review Standard & Poor's 500 Index is a market capitalization-weighted index of 500 widely held stocks often used as a proxy for the stock market. The MSCI ACWI (All Country World (ex.U.S.) Index) Index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization weighted index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed and emerging markets. MSCI - EAFE Index NDTR D is listed for foreign stock funds (EAFE refers to Europe, Australia, and Far East). Widely accepted as a benchmark for International stock performance, the EAFE Index is an aggregate of 21 individual country indexes. MSCI - Emerging Markets NDTR D Index measures equity market performance in the global emerging markets. It consists of 26 emerging market countries in Europe, Latin America and the Pacific Basin. Indices are unmanaged and do not take into account fees, expenses and transaction costs. Indices are not available for direct investment. Insurance products and plan administrative services are provided by Principal Life Insurance Company. Principal Life and Principal Global Investors are members of the Principal Financial Group, Des Moines, IA t b5 – 10/2012 PQ

General Employee Plan – Target Allocation By Asset Class

9 General Employee Plan – Target Allocation By Investment Option

10 General Employee Plan – Target Allocation By Investment Option

General Employee Plan – Asset Allocation By Asset Class

12 General Employee Plan – Asset Allocation By Investment Option

13 General Employee Plan – Asset Allocation By Investment Option

14 General Employee Plan International Exposure

15 Investment Option by Style Box

16 Investment Option by Style Box

17 General Employee Plan Performance – 9/30/2012

Professional/Management Plan – Target Allocation By Asset Class

19 Professional/Management Plan – Target Allocation By Investment Option

20 Professional/Management Plan – Target Allocation By Investment Option

Professional/Management Plan – Asset Allocation By Asset Class

22 Professional/Management Plan – Asset Allocation By Investment Option

23 Professional/Management Plan – Asset Allocation By Investment Option

24 Professional/Management Plan International Exposure

25 Investment Option by Style Box

26 Investment Option by Style Box

27 Professional/Management Plan Performance – 9/30/2012