Introduction to Systems /Daisyworld

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Causal Loop Diagrams. Exponential growth of a bank account. The two positive connections between Bank balance and interest added for a positive feedback.
Advertisements

Homeostasis Walter Cannon 1932 The Wisdom of the Body Jame Lovelock ~1969 Gaia hypothesis (Lovelock, J.E.; Margulis, L. (1974). "Atmospheric homeostasis.
Systems Oehlke Negative Feedback Mechanisms Maintain a system at a stable equilibrium. Example: A predator – prey relationship: The rabbit population.
Daisy World an introduction to systems and equilibria.
An Introduction to Systems 1. What are systems? What are feedback loops? What are equilibrium states? Does viewing Earth as a system allow for deeper.
Buffers and Feedback Loops Class Notes 1:6. Buffers and Feedback Loops Buffers are agents or regulatory mechanisms that reduce or minimize fluctuations.
Earth as a System Chapter 3. I.General Info A. System - a set of components that function together as a whole (e.g. human body, a city, etc.) B. Earth.
The syllabus says: Atmosphere and change  Describe the functioning of the atmospheric system in terms of the energy balance between solar and long- wave.
22.2 Solar Energy and the Atmosphere. What happens to incoming solar radiation? 1.Scattered 2.Reflected 3.Absorbed.
MET 12 Global Climate Change – Lecture 3
Systems 3. Feedbacks Coffee System Tc TRTR The hotter the coffee is The faster it cools Tc-T R Cooling Rate The higher the cooling rate The colder the.
1 MET 112 Global Climate Change MET 112 Global Climate Change - Climate Feedbacks Professor Menglin Jin San Jose State University Outline  Stability/instability.
Earth Systems Science Chapter 2: SYSTEMS 1.Systems Analysis – some basic concepts / definitions 2.Daisyworld – a “heuristic” model to demonstrate the potential.
PTYS 214 – Spring 2011  Homework #5 available for download at the class website DUE Thursday, Feb. 24  Reminder: Extra Credit Presentations (up to 10pts)
MET 112 Global Climate Change - Lecture 8 Climate Feedbacks Dr. Craig Clements San Jose State University.
MET 112 Global Climate Change - Lecture 8 Climate Feedbacks Dr. Craig Clements San Jose State University 14 October 2008.
Evaluation II – The Atmosphere Feedback describes the situation when output from (or information about the result of) an event or phenomenon in the past.
Generalized diagram of the Earth system
EOSC 112: THE FLUID EARTH INTRODUCTION TO EARTH SYSTEMS - SIMPLE CLIMATE SYSTEMS Sys12 Read: Kump et al. Chap.2, p , 26 Check: Key Terms, Rev. Questions,
Solar Energy Solar energy is the source of most of Earth’s heat on land, in the oceans and in the atmosphere. When solar energy interacts with air, soil.
Systems Theory Tiago Garcia de Senna Carneiro Pedro Ribeiro de Andrade Gilberto Câmara Münster, 2013.
MET 12 Global Climate Change - Lecture 5
Review Climate Change. Weather vs Climate Weather is the daily atmospheric conditions including temperature and precipitation Climate is the average weather.
CH 24.3 Solar Radiation, Pressure, & Wind. Earth’s Energy Balance Input = Sun’s Energy = (Visible light + some UV) REFLECTED: ~ 25 % by clouds, dust,
Earth Science Sec. 1.1 Introduction to Earth Science and Systems.
Daisyworld.
Daisyworld & Feedback Effects Kump Chapter 2 Tark Hamilton.
Modeling the Gaia Hypothesis: Daisyworld Phillipa Sessini.
Climate Change UNIT 3 Chapter 7: Earth’s Climate System
Feedback Loops. FEEDBACK LOOPS Change induces change What happens when you’re hot? What happens when you’re cold? These are examples of negative feedback.
The Greenhouse Effect. What controls climate? Energy from the Sun – Radiation! Consider the 4 inner planets of the solar system: SUN 342 W m W.
1 MET 112 Global Climate Change MET 112 Global Climate Change - Lecture 9 Daisyworld Eugene Cordero San Jose State University Outline  Introduction 
How much should it cost? Rank the following items in order of their importance to you. Then, next to each item, write down how much you would be willing.
Systems Theory Pedro Ribeiro de Andrade Münster, 2013.
An Introduction to Systems. The Climate System We will often refer to the “Climate System” Can you name the components of the climate system?
Energy Balance and Circulation Systems. 2 of 12 Importance Energy from Sun (Energy Budget) –“Drives” Earth’s Atmosphere  Creates Circulation Circulation.
Earth’s Atmosphere and Climate Chapter 3. Weather and Climate The difference: Weather- condition of the atmosphere at a given place and time Climate-
Evidence of Global Warming and Consequences
1 MET 112 Global Climate Change MET 112 Global Climate Change - Lecture 2 “Greenhouse Effect: Earth and Venus” Dr. Eugene Cordero San Jose State University.
Goals for Today 1.PREDICT the consequences of varying the factors that determine the (a) effective radiating temperature and (b) mean surface temperature.
By: Shelby, Roman, and Loryn.  A. Climate variables  B. Elements controlling the greenhouse effect  C. Energy sources  D. Precipitation levels  E.
An Introduction to Systems
ENSC 425/625 Chapter 2UNBC1 Chapter 2 Systems approach Objectives: Couplings & Feedback loops Equilibrium states Perturbations & Forcings CO 2 -temp.-photosyn.
How does variability in the earth’s physical structure affect the transformations of energy? - albedo of different “spheres”; clouds What is the physical.
Balance of Energy on Earth Yumna Sarah Maria. The global energy balance is the balance between incoming energy from the sun and outgoing heat from the.
Systems Theory Tiago Garcia de Senna Carneiro Pedro Ribeiro de Andrade Gilberto Câmara Münster, 2013.
Chapter 23 The Atmosphere, Climate, and Global Warming.
1 MET 112 Global Climate Change MET 112 Global Climate Change - Lecture 7 Climate Feedbacks Dr. Eugene Cordero San Jose State University Outline  Stability/instability.
Climate feedbacks: Water vapor, snow/ice albedo, and clouds
Natural Environments: The Atmosphere
How the Greenhouse Effect Works/Feedback factors
Heat in the Atmosphere.
8.10 Feedback Loops and Climate
Positive and Negative Feedback
L.O: SWBAT explain THE GREEN HOUSE EFFECT Do Now:11 &13.
Step 1A Enter the Earth’s reflectivity Step 1B Temperature change
The global energy household
Earth’s Energy Budget.
Pedro Ribeiro de Andrade Gilberto Camara
An Introduction to Systems
Energy from the Sun.
Human Impacts on Climate Change
Global Warming.
Heating of Our Atmosphere: Energy Unit
The Ins & Outs of Solar Radiation
Evidence of Global Warming and Consequences
Add to table of contents:
What is a System? Definition: A system is a group of different components that interact with each other Example: The climate system includes the atmosphere,
Unit 5 Earth’s Energy Budget.
Presentation transcript:

Introduction to Systems /Daisyworld Chapter 2 Introduction to Systems /Daisyworld

What is a System? Definition: A system is a group of different components that interact with each other Example: The climate system includes the atmosphere, oceans, polar caps, clouds, vegetation…and lots of other things

How do we study systems? Identify the components Determine the nature of the interactions between components

Systems Notation = system component = positive coupling = negative coupling

Positive Coupling Atmospheric CO2 Greenhouse effect An increase in atmospheric CO2 causes a corresponding increase in the greenhouse effect, and thus in Earth’s surface temperature Conversely, a decrease in atmospheric CO2 causes a decrease in the greenhouse effect

Negative Coupling An increase in Earth’s albedo causes a (reflectivity) Earth’s surface temperature An increase in Earth’s albedo causes a corresponding decrease in the Earth’s surface temperature by reflecting more sunlight back to space Or, a decrease in albedo causes an increase in surface temperature

The interesting thing to do is to put couplings together in feedback loops…

A Harmonious Family childrens’ noise parents’ anger

A Harmonious Family parents’ childrens’ anger noise positive coupling negative coupling

A negative feedback loop: A Harmonious Family positive coupling childrens’ noise parents’ anger negative coupling street noise A negative feedback loop: Stable system which resists change following a perturbation

NOT A Harmonious Family positive coupling childrens’ noise parents’ anger positive coupling street noise A positive feedback loop: Unstable system which changes further following a perturbation

The Non-Harmonious Family Two possible states following perturbation: 1) Complete silence 2) Infinite noise Positive feedback loops are unstable or not homeostatic.

The Harmonious Family Noise levels return to near starting conditions following perturbation. Negative feedback loops are stable or homeostatic.

Negative Feedback Loops: Electric Blankets person A’s body temperature person A’s blanket temperature person B’s blanket temperature person B’s body temperature

A Positive Feedback Loop: Mixed-up Electric Blankets person A’s body temperature person A’s blanket temperature person B’s blanket temperature person B’s body temperature

A Positive Feedback Loop: Mixed-up Electric Blankets Any perturbation will cause both people to adjust their blanket controls, but with undesired consequences. Ultimately, one person will freeze (become infinitely cold) and the other person to swelter (become infinitely hot).

Conditions under which the system will remain indefinitely Equilibrium State: Conditions under which the system will remain indefinitely --If left unperturbed

An Unstable Equilibrium State

An Unstable Equilibrium State Perturbation

When pushed by a perturbation, an unstable equilibrium state shifts to a new, stable state.

A Stable Equilibrium State

A Stable Equilibrium State Perturbation

When pushed by a perturbation, a stable equilibrium state, returns to (or near) the original state.

Daisy World

A simplified climate system: Daisy World Average Temperature = 30 oC No clouds, no ocean Soil = light gray (absorbs some light) Life = white daisies (reflects all light) Sun = like Earth’s Daisy growth = changes with temperature

White Daisy Response to Increasing Solar Luminosity Relative solar luminosity The Earth System, Ch. 2

The rest of Chapter 2 will be done on the blackboard…