B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 1 B OARD of G OVERNORS Commission on Higher Education Access and Attainment Coming To Closure: The Board of Governors 90,000 Degree Goal Determination of Academic Programs To Grow A Proposed RFP Process Jan Ignash, Vice Chancellor, Academic and Student Affairs June 17,
B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 2 Reaching 90,000 Degrees Per Year: Two Factors ENROLLMENT includes FTICs, AA & Other Transfers GRADUATION RATE SCENARIOS (for 2025 graduating class) ANNUAL GROWTH RATE TOTAL NEW GROWTH to FTIC: 70% AA: 81% Other: 70% FTIC: 72% AA: 83% Other: 72% FTIC: 74% AA: 85% Other: 74% FTIC: 76% AA: 85% Other: 76% FTIC: 78% AA: 85% Other: 78% FTIC: 80% AA: 85% Other: 80% FTIC: 82% AA: 85% Other: 80% FTIC: 84% AA: 85% Other: 80% FTIC: 86% AA: 85% Other: 80% FTIC: 88% AA: 85% Other: 80% 0% 072,80074,50076,20077,40078,60079,70080,50081,30082,10082,900 1% 2,60076,40078,30080,00081,30082,50083,80084,60085,500 86,30087,200 2% 9,60080,90082,80084,60086,000 87,30088,60089,50090,400 91,30092,200 3% 16,80085,30087,200 89,30090,600 92,00093,40094,40095,40096,30097,300 NOTES: 'Annual Growth Rates' were applied to all three student types (FTIC, AA Transfers, and Other Transfers). 'Total New Growth' is the projected number of the additional newly enrolled undergraduate students in 2019 for each 'Growth Rate' scenario above the 86,731 newly enrolled undergraduates in SOURCE: Board of Governors staff analysis.
B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 3 Projected Student Growth
B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 4 FTIC Graduation Rates and Number Not Graduated
B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 5 May 2012 Questions Revisited 1.Is the pipeline of college-age students going to be able to produce a sufficient number of college-ready students? 2. Is there going to be any need in the near future for additional universities or colleges to meet this demand?
B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 6 Revisiting Additional May 2012 Questions 3. Should all these new students attend our state universities, or is there a major role to be played by the State’s colleges and other sectors? 4. Will the increased demand be evenly distributed around the state or will there be some geographic areas disproportionately impacted?
B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 7 Decision Point: Academic Programs to Grow Florida Baccalaureates Awarded in Fields Associated with Targeted Occupations by Higher Educational Sector Production and Bachelor’s Annual Gap CIPSector CodeTitleCIEFCSICUFSUSTotal Bachelors Annual Gap Public Relations Specialists Communication, General Speech Communication and Rhetoric Public Relations, Advertising, and Applied Communication Public Relations/Image Management Computer Network Architects (Gap: 439), Computer Systems Analysts (Gap: 564), Computer Programmers (Gap: 316), Software Developers—Applications (Gap: 459), Software Developers—Systems Software (Gap: 370), Graphic Designers (Gap: 213) Computer and Information Sciences, General Information Technology Computer Programming/Programmer, General
B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 8 Focusing in on Programs to Target Accountants and Auditors (Gap: 862), Financial Analysts (Gap: 109) Bachelor’s Annual Gap: 971 CodeTitleCIEFCSICUFSUSTOTAL Accounting ,9512, Accounting and Finance Accounting and Business/Management Finance, General ,6052,973
B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 9 Commission Request for Proposal Process Conduct Gap Analysis: Identify undersupplied/high demand program areas Release RFP to Higher Ed. System to meet particular existing* unmet need and “expand on demand” Proposal Submission and Evaluation using criteria such as: -- Local/regional demand as well as statewide -- Existing capacity -- Documented past record of student success -- Partnerships/collaborations (including online) -- Sustainable financial plan/ROI -- Cost to produce a graduate -- Near- and long-term enrollment and degree projections -- Agreement to post-award monitoring and evaluation Awards Legislative funding Post-award Evaluation * This process does not address emerging and evolving occupations.
B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 10 Mapping the Physical Gaps: a Likely Tool Information Science Studies Programs
B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 11 Decide which programs to grow. (hand-out) Agree to an RFP or some other process to determine who should grow. If an RFP is agreed to, determine which body should conduct proposal analysis and recommendations. Next Steps