Alternatives to Hospital Care: Modelling the Whole System Tom Bowen Tom Bowen Associates, Brighton, UK ORAHS 2003, Prague, Czech Republic 28 July 2003.

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Presentation transcript:

Alternatives to Hospital Care: Modelling the Whole System Tom Bowen Tom Bowen Associates, Brighton, UK ORAHS 2003, Prague, Czech Republic 28 July 2003

Content Current UK hospitalisation trends Wider modelling requirements Care homes example R & D agenda

Production functions do not apply Queueing models do not apply

Internal factors A bed is not a service point Doctors, diagnostics determine throughput Resource imbalances may increase length of stay Additional wards may scatter patients

External factors

Cost/Quality Model of Care Homes

Example of model calculation (2002)

R & D Agenda Internal process models Protocols for hospital care Therapy service models Prevention service models One to many flow models

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