SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Alameda County Co-Sponsors Alameda County Alameda County CMA Alameda Countywide Clean Water Program Alameda League of Women Voters Building Opportunities for Self Sufficiency Central Labor Council of Alameda Co. AFL-CIO East Bay Community Foundation East Bay Regional Park District Economic Development Alliance for Business Emergency Services Network Hayward Area Planning Association LAFCO of Alameda County League of Women Voters of Oakland Oakland Metropolitan Chamber of Commerce Resources for Community Development Silicon Valley Manufacturing Group Spanish Speaking Unity Council Transportation Choices Forum Tri-City Ecology Urban Strategies Council World Institute on Disabilities Special thanks to the City of San Leandro and Pacific Gas & Electric Company for providing food & refreshments for today’s workshop.

SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT South & East County Tables Hayward Union City Newark Fremont Castro Valley Dublin Pleasanton Livermore All unincorporated areas North County Tables 1-11 Albany Berkeley Emeryville Oakland Piedmont Alameda San Leandro

Regional Agencies Smart Growth Strategy Bay Area Alliance for Sustainable Development Regional Livability Footprint Project Alameda County May 18, 2002 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

1 million new jobs 1 million more people 265,000 daily in-commuters to the region 150% increase in aggregate traffic congestion Conversion of up to 83,000 acres of open space 44% decrease in households able to afford the median priced home from 1995 to 2001 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES BAY AREA TRENDS SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Through to 2001

Natural Increase (“Our own children”) Net Migration (“Other People”) CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES REGIONAL POPULATION GROWTH 50% (approximate figures) SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

Expand housing? Constrain future job growth? Expand infrastructure to handle in-commuters? Find a smarter way to grow CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES CHOICES ABOUT FUTURE GROWTH SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

Regionwide smart growth land use vision supported by local governments. Regulatory changes and fiscal incentives needed to implement vision. A set of smart growth land use projections. PROJECT GOALS CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

The Three E’s of Smart Growth and Sustainable Development: SMART GROWTH PRINCIPLES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Prosperous Economy Quality Environment Social Equity

Preserve the region’s undeveloped open space and agricultural land. Provide sufficient affordable housing. Revitalize central cities and older suburbs. Reduce single occupant vehicle trips. Foster equitable economic development while minimizing displacement. SMART GROWTH PRINCIPLES CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

Revised Regulatory Framework Additional Incentives Regional Context RELATIONSHIP TO GENERAL PLANS CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

PROCESS Public Workshop Round One September and October 2001 Distillation and Analysis Public Workshop Round Two April and May 2002 Final Steps CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

Participants included: - elected officials - planning staff - developers - environmental advocates - social equity representatives CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES PUBLIC WORKSHOPS - ROUND ONE SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Nine public workshops September and October 2001

Smart growth principles Land use mapping exercise Affordable housing Regulatory changes and incentives PUBLIC WORKSHOPS - ROUND ONE CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES PUBLIC WORKSHOPS - ROUND ONE SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Total: 105 countywide smart growth scenarios

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES POST-WORKSHOP PROCESS SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Distillation Maps

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES POST-WORKSHOP PROCESS SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

Identified three draft regionwide themes and how they would play out in each county. Conducted distillation meeting with over 100 local planners and stakeholders. Finalized themes and regionwide maps of each alternative. CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES DISTILLATION METHODOLOGY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

Identify themes that emerged from all nine Round One workshops. All components appeared in at least one group’s scenario. Alternatives as distinct from each other as possible. Similar regional jobs and housing levels in each alternative. Jobs and housing totals vary by county according to theme and workshop products. CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES DISTILLATION PROCESS SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

Environment Transportation Housing Social Equity Development Feasibility CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ANALYSIS SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Analysis of Alternatives and Current Trends Base Case

TODAY’S WORKSHOP CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Review results of first round of workshops. Review base case, three alternatives and analysis. Discuss regional planning principles. Discuss needed regulatory changes and incentives. Recommend preferred alternative.

Select and refine a single preferred alternative for Alameda County. CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES TODAY’S GOAL SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

Single regionwide vision & corresponding projections BAASD coordinates public education & engagement campaign Companion incentives and regulatory changes ABAG Board considers adoption of smart growth alternative projections Regional Transportation Plan & Clean Air Plan Local implementation NEXT STEPSCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

The Alternatives SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES EXISTING CONDITIONS 2000 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT 165,000 In-Commuters

Base Case 1. Central Cities 2. Network of Neighborhoods 3. Smarter Suburbs CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES THE ALTERNATIVES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES BASE CASE SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Relatively dispersed throughout the region. Northern counties will grow the fastest. Southern counties will exhibit the most numeric growth. Development at the edges and within core cities.

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES BASE CASE SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES BASE CASE SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

NorthSouth New units New jobs New units New jobs Base Case 11,30076,70053,000142,900 BASE CASE

Most development focused in centers of the region. Locates compact, walkable, mixed- income, mixed use development in each county’s largest city or cities. Also locates growth in nodes around existing public transit stations. CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 1 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Central Cities

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 1 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Central Cities

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 1 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Central Cities Alameda County

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 1 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT ALTERNATIVE #1: HOUSING UNITS BY COUNTY Alameda Marin Napa San Francisco San Mateo Sonoma Solano Contra Costa Santa Clara

SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT NorthSouth New units New jobs New units New jobs Alt 197,900219,10042,60028,300 ALTERNATIVE 1

Locates similar type development in same locations as Alternative 1, but less dense. Adds development in additional areas: – –existing transit nodes and major corridors. – –walkable communities. – –existing communities along expanded transit network. CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 2 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Network of Neighborhoods

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 2 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Network of Neighborhoods

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 2 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Network of Neighborhoods Alameda County

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 2 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT ALTERNATIVE #2: HOUSING UNITS BY COUNTY Alameda Marin Napa San Francisco San Mateo Sonoma Solano Santa Clara Contra Costa

SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT NorthSouth New units New jobs New units New jobs Alt 269,90094,00071,600148,300 ALTERNATIVE 2

Locates similar type development in same areas as Alternatives 1 and 2, but still less dense. Locates jobs and housing at periphery to create mixed use communities. Additional new smart growth communities. CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 3 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Smarter Suburbs

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 3 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Smarter Suburbs

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 3 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Smarter Suburbs Alameda County

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 3 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

NorthSouth New units New jobs New units New jobs Alt 342,40092,90075,100126,400 ALTERNATIVE 3

The Analysis SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT The Analysis

Environment SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Goals: Preserve the region’s undeveloped open space and agricultural land Improve the region’s air quality Conserve water

ENVIRONMENT SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Alternative 1 Alternative 3 Alternative 2 Greenfield Development in the Region: Acres of greenfield converted

ENVIRONMENT SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Alternative 3 Greenfield Development in Alameda County: Acres of greenfield converted

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT ENVIRONMENT Alternatives accommodate much more housing than current trends Air emissions remain mostly unchanged relative to Base Case More concentrated alternatives perform marginally better Smart growth benefits outside of region Base CaseAlternativ e 1 Alternativ e 2 Alternativ e 3 49%51%49%48% Reduction in Air Emissions forecast over the next 20 years Air Quality

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT ENVIRONMENT Water Consumption in the Region In Marin County: decreases by an average of 17% over current usage under the three alternatives Region wide: decreases by an average of 12% under the three alternatives region 27%17%7%

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT ENVIRONMENT Water Consumption in Alameda County In Marin County: decreases by an average of 17% over current usage under the three alternatives Region wide: decreases by an average of 12% under the three alternatives region 24% 11% 0%

Transportation SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Goal: Reduce reliance on the single-occupant vehicle.

SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT TRANSPORTATION Proximity to Transit Mode Split Auto Ownership Commute Time Commute Length Vehicle Miles Traveled

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT TRANSPORTATION Located within ⅓ mile of a rail station or ¼ mile of a bus stop served by frequent bus service. Proximity to Existing Transit in the Region Current Conditions New Development Alt 1Alt 2Alt 3 Housing near transit 23%60%47%28% Jobs near transit 36%68%59%31%

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT TRANSPORTATION Current Conditions New Development Alt 1Alt 2Alt 3 Housing near transit 30%67%66%37% Jobs near transit 35%74%73%42% Proximity to Existing Transit in Alameda County

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT TRANSPORTATION The proportion of all trips by public transit walking and bicycle vs. single occupant vehicle. Base Case Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 Auto (drive alone) 82%78%81%82% Transit, Walking, Bicycle 18%22%19%18% Mode Share

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT TRANSPORTATION Percentage of Zero Vehicle Households: Base Case 2020: 8% Alternative 1: 11% Alternative 2: 10% Alternative 3: 9% Auto Ownership

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT TRANSPORTATION Commute Time & Length Current length: 12 miles Current time: 27 minutes Both remain essentially unchanged in all three alternatives and the Base Case Vehicles Miles Traveled in Marin County

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT TRANSPORTATION Daily VMT per household per day Vehicles Miles Traveled in the Region Base Case Alter native 1 Alter native 2 Alter native % reduct ion 13%11%8% Under all three alternatives, each household has lower VMT than each household under the Base Case.

Housing SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Goal: Plan for a full range of housing to meet the needs of all current and future Bay Area residents.

HOUSING AFFORDABILITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Mix of units by housing affordability categories: Very Low-Income Households (less than 50% AMI) Low-Income Households (50 to 80% AMI) Moderate-Income Households (80 to 120% AMI) Above Moderate-Income Households (120% AMI or more) (AMI: Area Median Income)

INCOME CATEGORIES FOR A FAMILY OF FOUR Median Income - $71,600 VERY LOW INCOME 0-$35,800 — Child Care Worker$18,440 — Medical Assistant$24,000 — Retail Clerk $21,000 LOW INCOME $35,800-$57,280 — Elementary School Teacher$42,350 — Accountant$45,280 MODERATE INCOME $57,280-$85,920 — Police Patrol Officer $58,370 — Fire Fighter$55,060 HOUSING AVAILABILITY AND AFFORDABILITY CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT — Registered Nurse$59,690

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES HOUSING AFFORDABILITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Past Affordable Housing Production (1988 to 1998) 250,000 housing units constructed Needed affordable units: 58% Actual affordable units: 40%

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES HOUSING AFFORDABILITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES JOBS/HOUSING MATCH SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT NEW AFFORDABLE HOUSING, : CURRENT TRENDS VS. ALTERNATE VISION

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES HOUSING AFFORDABILITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Housing Units Envisioned by Affordability

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES JOBS/HOUSING RELATIONSHIP SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Jobs/Housing Match Analysis Areas 1. Central Sonoma County 2. Napa County 3. Central Solano County 4. Marin County 5. Carquinez Straits 6. Western Contra Costa/ Northern Alameda 7. Central Contra Costa 8. Eastern Contra Costa 9. San Francisco City 10. Greater San Francisco 11. Central/Southern Alameda 12. Tri-Valley 13. San Mateo 14. Silicon Valley 15. Southern Santa Clara County

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES JOBS/HOUSING RELATIONSHIP SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Alameda County Analysis Areas Tri Valley Western Contra Costa/ Northern Alameda Central/Southern Alameda

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES JOBS/HOUSING RELATIONSHIP SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Definitions Total Balance: Sufficient housing within an analysis areafor all workers working in that area. New Match: Sufficient, new affordable housing within an analysis area for all new workers working in that area.

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES EXISTING JOBS/HOUSING BALANCE SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT 60% of the region's households are located in balanced analysis areas

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES TOTAL JOBS/HOUSING BALANCE SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Percent of Total Households in Analysis Areas with a Balance

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES TOTAL JOBS/HOUSING BALANCE SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Jobs/ Housing Balance

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES NEW JOBS/HOUSING MATCH SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Percent of New Households in Analysis Areas with a Match

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES NEW JOBS/HOUSING MATCH SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Jobs/ Housing Match

Social Equity SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Goals Implement development patterns that benefit all communities in the region. Avoid displacement of existing Bay Area residents and businesses.

SOCIAL EQUITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Impoverished Community The majority of households earn less than 80% of the County median income (1990).

SOCIAL EQUITY The Bay Area’s 46 Most Impoverished Neighborhoods (NCCC 1997) CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT A Range of Communities Inner-city, poor job/transit access: Bayview Hunters Point Inner-city, good job/transit access: Central East Oakland Suburban, good job access: East San Jose Suburban, poor job access: North Richmond Rural Community: Boyes Hot Springs

SOCIAL EQUITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Growth in the Five Case Study Communities

SOCIAL EQUITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Base Case ALT 1ALT 2ALT 3 Improve Jobs/Housing Match   Increase Job Supply  Provide Increased Retail Services   Relieve Overcrowding   Improve Transit Access   Minimize Displacement  Outcomes of the Alternatives

SOCIAL EQUITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Equitable Smart Growth Strategies Provide training to current residents to obtain new high-skill jobs locally. Match job development to skills of current residents. Improve transit access to jobs around the region. Provide additional retail facilities. Cultivate business opportunities for local residents. Alleviate overcrowding. Maintain affordability of existing housing.

Development Feasibility SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Goal: Plan for smart growth that can be realistically implemented.

DEVELOPMENT FEASIBILITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Marketability Physical “Fit” Financial Feasibility

MARKETABILITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT In 2000, 62% of the Bay Area’s total housing stock was single family units

MARKETABILITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT In 2000, 60% of Alameda County’s total housing stock was single family units

MARKETABILITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

MARKETABILITY Shifting demographic patterns create demand for a variety of housing types: compact housing near workplaces small single-family attached units “granny flats” (second units) senior housing

PHYSICAL FIT SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Acres of Redevelopment Alternative 1: 33,000 acres Alternative 2: 41,000 acres Alternative 3: 45,000 acres

FINANCIAL FEASIBILITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT location timing economic and local market conditions land prices construction costs regulatory environment financial requirements of the development and investment communities political conditions Financial feasibility will depend on:

REVIEWING THE ALTERNATIVES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT All provide a framework for future development All can be modified to meet local needs Each provides a different general direction

Incentives and Regulatory Changes SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES INCENTIVES & REGULATORY CHANGES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Fiscal Reform Return property tax to local governments. Share tax revenue. Split property tax rate for land and improvements.

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES INCENTIVES & REGULATORY CHANGES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Financial Incentives Reward school districts that create joint school-community facilities. Link new and existing state housing funding to development of affordable housing. Create smart growth zones. Target transportation funding to rail and bus nodes.

CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES INCENTIVES & REGULATORY CHANGES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Regulatory Changes Create limited exemptions to CEQA for smart growth development projects. Pass construction defect liability legislation. Create and enforce a living wage standard.

Regional Growth Philosophy SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

Preserve the region’s undeveloped open space and agricultural land. Provide sufficient affordable housing. Revitalize central cities and older suburbs. Reduce single occupant vehicle trips. Foster equitable economic development while minimizing displacement. SMART GROWTH PRINCIPLES CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

UNDERLYING PHILOSOPHIES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Concentrate growth in existing urbanized areas. Preserve greenfield sites. Develop around existing and new transit. Balance jobs and housing in all areas. Create new smart growth communities

Small Group Exercise CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

SMALL GROUP EXERCISE GOAL Refine the selected alternative for Alameda County. CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

South & East County Tables Hayward Union City Newark Fremont Castro Valley Dublin Pleasanton Livermore All unincorporated areas North County Tables 1-11 Albany Berkeley Emeryville Oakland Piedmont Alameda San Leandro

SMALL GROUP EXERCISE CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Begin with selected alternative. Recommend modifications. Prioritize recommendations Reconvene for large group decision-making. Track changes with computerized output.

SMALL GROUP EXERCISE Planning Areas Place Types CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

PLANNING AREAS CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

PLANNING AREAS Colored: Areas of Change Gray: Existing Land Use Residential Areas Mixed-Use Areas Town Centers/Downtowns Employment Areas/Institutions Hatched: Transportation-Related Rail Stations/Major Transfer Facility Areas Corridors CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

PLANNING AREA CHANGES Place Types Percent Increase (“Dial-up”) Numerical Change No Change from On-the-Ground Conditions CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

PLACE TYPES MENU CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

PLACE TYPES BOOK CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

PLACE TYPES Varying mixes of residential and employment uses: CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT 1. Residential 2. Mixed-Use 3. Town Center/Downtown 4. Employment Center/Institution

The Berkeleyan BerkeleyRESIDENTIALCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

Liberty Commons FremontRESIDENTIALCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

LivermoreRESIDENTIALCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

Grand Avenue, Adams Point OaklandMIXED-USECONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

MIXED-USECONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Park Avenue, Glenview Oakland

Downtown Oakland TOWN CENTER / DOWNTOWN CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

TOWN CENTER / DOWNTOWN Downtown Livermore CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

EMPLOYMENT CENTER / INSTITUTION UC Berkeley Berkeley CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

Fremont CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT EMPLOYMENT CENTER / INSTITUTION

Varying land uses and densities within each Place Type. Apply to all of a planning area, unless otherwise specified. Focus on the next 20 years. PLACE TYPE CHARACTERISTICS CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

OTHER PLANNING AREA ASSIGNMENTS Percent Increase (“Dial-up”) 5% Residential Increase 15% Employment Increase Both CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

OTHER PLANNING AREA ASSIGNMENTS Numerical Change Add or subtract specific numbers of jobs or housing units For marginal changes only CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

OTHER PLANNING AREA ASSIGNMENTS No Change from On-the-Ground Conditions Preserve planning area as it is today Preserve open space Preserve today’s development as is CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

Broad brush, regional perspective County-wide interactionAPPROACHCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

Regional Agencies Smart Growth Strategy Bay Area Alliance for Sustainable Development Regional Livability Footprint Project DESIGN, COMMUNITY & ENVIRONMENT Alameda County May 18, 2002