A centre of expertise in digital information managementwww.ukoln.ac.uk Twitter: #iwmw12 #A1 IWMW 2012: Identifying and Responding to Emerging Technologies Brian Kelly UKOLN University of Bath Bath, UK UKOLN is supported by: This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 licence (but note caveat) Acceptable Use Policy Recording this talk, taking photos, discussing the content using Twitter, blogs, etc. is permitted providing distractions to others is minimised. Acceptable Use Policy Recording this talk, taking photos, discussing the content using Twitter, blogs, etc. is permitted providing distractions to others is minimised. Twitter: Blog:

A centre of expertise in digital information managementwww.ukoln.ac.uk Summary This session will be facilitated by members of the JISC Observatory team at UKOLN and CETIS. It will use a mixture of group exercises and discussions to understand potential enablers and disenablers of emerging new technologies. Having developed a better appreciation of how new technologies may or may not be adopted can help to develop appropriate strategies for preparing institutions for exploiting innovative developments in an appropriate and effective manner. 2 Introduction

A centre of expertise in digital information managementwww.ukoln.ac.uk Timetable 3 TimeContentWho 11.00IntroductionsBK 11.05Your interestsAll 11.15Detecting, Analysing & Interpreting TrendsBK 11.20Exploring ScenariosAll 11.45The Mobile ScenarioMP 11.55JISC Observatory: Horizon Scanning for the SectorTB 12.10Getting InvolvedAll 12.25Final ThoughtsAll

A centre of expertise in digital information managementwww.ukoln.ac.uk Introductions Facilitators: Brian Kelly, Innovation Support Centre at UKOLN and Communications Manager for the JISC Observatory Thom Bunting, Innovation Support Centre at UKOLN and JISC Observatory Project Manager Mark Power, JISC CETIS Innovation Support Centre, contributor to JISC Observatory & author of Delivering Web to Mobile report. 4 Introduction

A centre of expertise in digital information managementwww.ukoln.ac.uk Your Interests In small groups: Introduce yourselves Describe what you hope to gain from the session and any particular topics youd like to see addressed You will summarise the key points in ~5 minutes 5 Introduction

A centre of expertise in digital information managementwww.ukoln.ac.uk Analysing Trends Which would have been the most useful prediction in 2009: Gordon Brown will win the election, overcome the economic difficulties and invest in education, the health service and the environment The Tories will win the election but have to form a coalition with the Lib Dems. They cut back public investment, increase tuition fees which results in a double-dip recession and 10% reduction in student numbers 6 Analysing Trends Planning for future scenarios can be of limited use if we base future scenarios on our wishes rather than reality!

A centre of expertise in digital information managementwww.ukoln.ac.uk Detecting Trends Series of evidence-based posts on UK Web Focus blog look at trends which help us to understand todays environment. 7 Analysing Trends What might these usage trends tell us?

A centre of expertise in digital information managementwww.ukoln.ac.uk Analysing Trends Challenges: Context Blips Lack of a NPOV 8 Blekkos Traffic up by 400% Is Blekkos Traffic Really Going Through The Roof? Will It Challenge Google?

A centre of expertise in digital information managementwww.ukoln.ac.uk Challenge is in: Interpreting the evidence Postulating reasons Speculating on implications Implementing evidence-based policy decisions Understanding Trends 9 Anscombe's quartet, Wikipedia Lies, damned lies and statistics Anscombe's quartet comprises four datasets that have nearly identical simple statistical properties, yet appear very different when graphed Analysing Trends

A centre of expertise in digital information managementwww.ukoln.ac.uk Interpreting Trends Approaches: Documenting survey methodology (the paradata) e.g. Data collected using Chrome on 1 Jun 2012 Providing open access to data where possible (often using Google Spreadsheets) Publishing an open commentable summary of the survey, the methodology, the findings, the implications and inviting discussions 10 Survey of Institutional Use of Facebook Is Blekkos Traffic Really Going Through The Roof? Will It Challenge Google? Institutional Use of Social Media in China Profiling Staff and Researcher Use of Cloud Services Across Russell Group Universities Analysing Trends

A centre of expertise in digital information managementwww.ukoln.ac.uk JIS Observatory process 11

A centre of expertise in digital information managementwww.ukoln.ac.uk Group Exercise Choose one scenario: Scenario 1: Social Media Does Social media have a significant role to play across a range of University activities, or is it hype or primarily for personal use? Scenario 2: Open Data Is open data really "the new content" which will be of importance to the Web team as well as the University? Or might it be the latest fashionable term? And in a time of cuts, increased fees and competition for students and research funding, won't institutions be less inclined to provide open access to data, their 'crown jewels'? 12 Exploring Scenarios

A centre of expertise in digital information managementwww.ukoln.ac.uk Group Exercise Choose one scenario: Scenario 3: Structured Metadata For the Web Will developments such as schema.org provided better searching for structured resources? Should we be implementing it? But didn't we hear promises that Dublin Core metadata in Web pages or use of RDF would deliver this in the past? Scenario 4: Online Conferencing Will online conferencing and collaboration tools have an impact on traditional approaches, ranging from conferences, events for practitioners (e.g. IWMW) through to student lectures? How might, e.g. this affect plans for building a new conference centre and lecture theatre block? 13 Exploring Scenarios

A centre of expertise in digital information managementwww.ukoln.ac.uk Group Exercise Choose one context: Responding to the institution The Pro Vice-Chancellor / Head of IT/ Librarian has asked for a report on the scenarios you have chosen. This will be discussed at a forthcoming planning meeting Advising the institution You have been asked to provide a paper on IT developments which should be considered in planning related to current institutional priorities (threats and opportunities) 14 Exploring Scenarios You have 15 minutes to produce a plan for the report, which will describe the processes for gathering & interpreting evidence. Note the SMT want evidence, not speculation and hand-waving!

A centre of expertise in digital information managementwww.ukoln.ac.uk Mobile Study Case Study Mark Power to summarise approaches take in commissioning and writing the Delivering Web to Mobile TechWatch report 15 MP

A centre of expertise in digital information managementwww.ukoln.ac.uk JISC Observatory: Horizon Scanning for the Sector Thom Bunting to describe: The role of the JISC Observatory The approaches it takes The work it has carried out Ways in which you can get involved 16 TB