Drought and Heat Wave of 2012 Midwest and Great Plains Worst drought since 1956 with ~60% of contiguous U.S. under drought, worst agricultural drought.

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Presentation transcript:

Drought and Heat Wave of 2012 Midwest and Great Plains Worst drought since 1956 with ~60% of contiguous U.S. under drought, worst agricultural drought since % of corn crop in poor-very poor condition. This was the largest corn crop acreage planted since 1937 Soybean crop at 34% good-excellent category – down from 56% at start of season 1297 counties in 29 states designated natural disaster areasdesignated natural disaster areas Source: USDA Contact: John Eise

Drought Latest Conditions  Exceptional to Severe Drought across parts of Wyoming, Colorado, Kansas, Missouri, Illinois and Indiana  Areas outside of dry conditions are parts of North Dakota, Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan  Updated Weekly on Thursday Source: U.S. Drought Mitigation Center

Drought Outlook thru October  Drought to persist or intensify across Central Region  Only areas to remain outside of drought are parts of west North Dakota, east Minnesota, north Wisconsin, north Michigan, and east Kentucky  Next update on July 26 th Source: National Climatic Data Center

6-inch Topsoil Moisture Short-Very Short vs. 5-yr Mean  < ~10% topsoil moisture left in South Dakota, Nebraska, Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Illinois, Indiana and Michigan  All of Central Region is less than half of normal topsoil moisture. Source: National Climatic Data Center Contact: John Eise

Corn and Drought  78% of corn grown in the U.S. is experiencing drought  Almost all corn is grown within Central Region Source: U..S. Dept. of Agriculture

Precipitation – Change from Normal Last Three Months (%) Source: High Plains Regional Climate Center

Precipitation – Change from Normal Last Three Months (%) Source: High Plains Regional Climate Center Contact: John Eise

Drought Breaker How Much Rainfall Needed?  9-15 inches of rain needed to end drought across many areas of Central Region  Rest of Central Region would need 3-9 inches of rain  Updated weekly Source: NWS Climate Prediction Center Contact: John Eise

Stream Flow Conditions  Low flow conditions developing across Central Region  Worst hit states are Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Missouri, Kansas, Colorado, Wyoming, Nebraska, Wisconsin and Michigan Source: U.S. Geological Survey

Drought Links  National Drought Mitigation Center  National Drought Monitor  National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center  Drought Outlook  U.S. Department of Agriculture  Weekly Crop Report   U. S. Drought Portal

Outlooks

8-14 Day Outlook Temperature  Warmer than normal temperatures across Central Region through the end of July Source: NWS Climate Prediction Center

8-14 Day Outlook Precipitation  Below normal precipitation for Central Region except for the West and North  Summer monsoon season underway with improving moisture across Colorado  Typical summer storm track will keep higher precipitation across the north Source: NWS Climate Prediction Center

3-Month Outlook Temperature  Probabilities lean towards warmer than normal temperatures across Central Region through September Source: NWS Climate Prediction Center

3-Month Outlook Precipitation  Equal chances of above, near, or below normal precipitation through September. Source: NWS Climate Prediction Center Contact: John Eise

Record Heat Climate Statistics

July 2012 Records Nationwide Source: National Climatic Data Center

Record Daily High Temperatures Nationwide - July 2012 Contact: John Eise

All Time Record High Temperatures Nationwide - July 2012 Contact: John Eise

June 2012 Summary Nationwide Records Set in June 2012

Historical Temperature Ranking By State for 118 Years – June 2012  Hottest Month on Record in Colorado  Top 10% for Wyoming, South Dakota, Nebraska and Kansas Source: National Climatic Data Center Contact: John Eise

Historical Precipitation Ranking By State for 118 Years – June 2012  All Time Record Dry June in Wyoming  2 nd Driest June in Colorado  Top 1% Driest June for Nebraska, Missouri, Illinois, Indiana and Kentucky Source: National Climatic Data Center

Record Daily High Temperatures Nationwide - June 2012

All Time Daily High Temperatures Nationwide - June 2012 Update: July 5, 2012