Figure 1: Using GERB and SEVIRI data to evaluate the Met Office NWP model in near-real time; example SINERGEE comparisons for 8 th March 2006 at 1200 UTC.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
WGCM CFMIP/IPCC Climate Sensitivity Meeting, Exeter, April 2004 Decadal Variability in Water Vapour Richard Allan, Tony Slingo Environmental Systems Science.
Advertisements

ADIENT WP3.2 ADIENT WP3.2 Observational determination of the impact of anthropogenic pollution aerosol on the TOA radiation budget and its sensitivity.
6. Equilibrium fluctuations for time-varying forcing. Values of constant term larger than expected from RCE run correspond to fluctuations greater than.
Dust uplift and transport observed during the GERBILS campaign John Marsham 1, Doug Parker 1, Christian Grams 2, Qian Huang 1,3, Sarah Jones 2, Jim Haywood.
Claire McConnell A new Saharan dust source activation frequency map derived from MSG-SEVIRI IR-channels.
© University of Reading Richard Allan Department of Meteorology, University of Reading Thanks to: Jim Haywood and Malcolm.
Dust and vapour cloud the view Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading, UK Thanks to Tony Slingo, Ruth Comer, Sean Milton,
Robin Hogan, Julien Delanoë, Nicky Chalmers, Thorwald Stein, Anthony Illingworth University of Reading Evaluating and improving the representation of clouds.
University of Reading 2007www.nerc-essc.ac.uk/~rpa Monitoring satellite observations and model simulations of changes in the atmospheric.
IRS2004, Busan, August 2004 Using Satellite Observations and Reanalyses to Evaluate Climate and Weather Models Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science.
© University of Reading 2009 EUMETSAT Monitoring changes in precipitation and radiative energy using satellite data and.
Robin Hogan, Richard Allan, Nicky Chalmers, Thorwald Stein, Julien Delanoë University of Reading How accurate are the radiative properties of ice clouds.
© University of Reading Monitoring and understanding current changes in the global energy & water cycles Richard Allan.
3) Empirical estimate of surface longwave radiation Use an empirical estimate of the clear-sky surface downward longwave radiation (SDLc) to estimate the.
1 Evaluating water vapour in HadAM3 using 20 years of satellite data Richard Allan, Mark Ringer Met Office, Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research.
Changes in clear-sky longwave radiative cooling in the atmosphere Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading,
Links Between Clear-sky Radiation, Water Vapour and the Hydrological Cycle Richard P. Allan 1, Viju O. John 2 1 Environmental Systems Science Centre, University.
Evaluating the Met Office global forecast model using Geostationary Earth Radiation Budget (GERB) data Richard Allan, Tony Slingo Environmental Systems.
1 Evaluating climate model using observations of tropical radiation and water budgets Richard P. Allan, Mark A. Ringer Met Office, Hadley Centre for Climate.
Evaluating the Met Office global forecast model using GERB data Richard Allan, Tony Slingo Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading.
EUMETSAT 2006 Helsinki Exploitation of GERB/SEVIRI data for evaluation of the Met Office global forecast model Richard Allan, Tony Slingo Environmental.
Comparisons between GERB and the Met Office NWP model Richard Allan, Tony Slingo Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading Sean Milton,
University of Reading 2007www.nerc-essc.ac.uk/~rpa Observed and simulated changes in water vapour, precipitation and the clear-sky.
© University of Reading Radiative effects of persistent aircraft contrails: a case study Richard Allan Environmental Systems.
1 03/0045a © Crown copyright Evaluating water vapour in HadAM3 with 20 years of satellite data Richard P. Allan Mark A. Ringer Met Office, Hadley Centre.
SYSTEMATIC BIASES 3-hourly comparisons of top of atmosphere radiation from GERB and the Met Office global forecast model Systematic biases in model fluxes.
Changes in Water Vapour, Clear-sky Radiative Cooling and Precipitation
1 Changes in low-latitude radiative energy budget - a missing mode of variability in climate models? Richard P. Allan, Tony Slingo Hadley Centre for Climate.
GERB/CERES Meeting 2006 Exeter Evaluation of clouds and radiation in the Met Office global forecast model using GERB/SEVIRI data Richard Allan, Tony Slingo.
© University of Reading Richard Allan Department of Meteorology, University of Reading Thanks to: Jim Haywood.
University of Reading 2007www.nerc-essc.ac.uk/~rpa Surface radiative fluxes: comparison of NWP/Climate models/reanalyses with.
Page 1© Crown copyright Simulation of radar reflectivities in the UK Met Office model: comparison with CloudSat Data Alejandro Bodas-Salcedo, M.E. Brooks.
GEOS-5 Simulations of Aerosol Index and Aerosol Absorption Optical Depth with Comparison to OMI retrievals. V. Buchard, A. da Silva, P. Colarco, R. Spurr.
TRMM Tropical Rainfall Measurement (Mission). Why TRMM? n Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) is a joint US-Japan study initiated in 1997 to study.
Richard P. Allan 1 | Brian J. Soden 2 | Viju O. John 3 | Igor I. Zveryaev 4 Department of Meteorology Click to edit Master title style Water Vapour (%)
AMMA-UK Kick-off meeting Jan 2005 WP1 Land surface and atmosphere interactions Chris Taylor Phil Harris.
Combining satellite and surface observations to determine the radiative divergence across the atmosphere Tony Slingo Environmental Systems Science Centre.
© Crown copyright 03/2014 Met Office and the Met Office logo are registered trademarks Met Office FitzRoy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB United Kingdom Tel:
The RADAGAST project Tony Slingo Environmental Systems Science Centre University of Reading Background and motivation Aims Methodology GIST 23, Deutscher.
Evaluation and applications of a new satellite-based surface solar radiation data set for climate analysis Jörg Trentmann1, Richard Müller1, Christine.
Operational assimilation of dust optical depth Bruce Ingleby, Yaswant Pradhan and Malcolm Brooks © Crown copyright 08/2013 Met Office and the Met Office.
CO 2 Diurnal Profiling Using Simulated Multispectral Geostationary Measurements Vijay Natraj, Damien Lafont, John Worden, Annmarie Eldering Jet Propulsion.
USING OF METEOSAT SECOND GENERATION HIGH RESOLUTION VISIBLE DATA FOR THE IMPOVEMENT OF THE RAPID DEVELOPPING THUNDERSTORM PRODUCT Oleksiy Kryvobok Ukrainian.
Overview of the “Geostationary Earth Radiation Budget (GERB)” Experience. Nicolas Clerbaux Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium (RMIB) In collaboration.
Direct LW radiative forcing of Saharan dust aerosols Vincent Gimbert, H.E. Brindley, J.E. Harries Imperial College London GIST 25, 24 Oct 2006, UK Met.
The diurnal cycle in GERB data Analysis of the diurnal cycle of outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) One month of GERB top of atmosphere OLR flux data from.
Estimating the radiative impacts of aerosol using GERB and SEVIRI H. Brindley Imperial College.
Dust Longwave Forcing from GERB and SEVIRI Vincent Gimbert, H.E. Brindley, J.E. Harries Imperial College London GIST 26, 03 May 2007, RAL, Abingdon Thanks.
© Imperial College LondonPage 1 Cloud Forcing Studies using CERES and GERB(-like) data Joanna Futyan, Jacqui Russell and John Harries GIST 22 RMIB, Brussels,
Radiative Atmospheric Divergence using ARM Mobile Facility, GERB data and AMMA stations –led by Tony Slingo, ESSC, Reading University, UK Links the ARM.
RADAGAST status report and observations of a major Saharan dust storm Tony Slingo Environmental Systems Science Centre University of Reading, UK Brief.
RMIB involvement in the Geostationary Earth Radiation Budget (GERB) and Climate Monitoring SAF projects Nicolas Clerbaux Remote sensing from Space Division.
GERB science meeting, Oct 2006 The bias in OLR over west Africa in the Met Office Unified Model: detection, attribution, and future plans Jonathan Taylor.
Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Modelled & Observed Atmospheric Radiation Balance during the West African Dry Season. Sean Milton, Glenn Greed, Malcolm Brooks,
© Imperial College LondonPage 1 Inter-comparisons of monthly mean (and monthly time-step mean) GERB clear sky fluxes Joanna Futyan, Richard Allan and Jacqui.
Generation of TOA Radiative Fluxes from the GERB Instrument Data. Part II: First Results Nicolas Clerbaux and GERB team Royal Meteorological Institute.
AEROCOM AODs are systematically smaller than MODIS, with slightly larger/smaller differences in winter/summer. Aerosol optical properties are difficult.
Using GERB and CERES data to evaluate NWP and Climate models over the Africa/Atlantic region Richard Allan, Tony Slingo, Ali Bharmal Environmental Systems.
Consistent Earth System Data Records for Climate Research: Focus on Shortwave and Longwave Radiative Fluxes Rachel T. Pinker, Yingtao Ma and Eric Nussbaumer.
Evaluating the Met Office global forecast model using GERB data Richard Allan, Tony Slingo Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading.
LIMITLESS POTENTIAL | LIMITLESS OPPORTUNITIES | LIMITLESS IMPACT Copyright University of Reading CURRENT CHANGES IN EARTH’S ENERGY IMBALANCE
Richard Allan and Tony Slingo (ESSC, University of Reading)
Radiative biases in Met Office global NWP model
Dust, vapour & cloud in greenhouse Earth
Eumetsat conference 2004, Praha
+ = Climate Responses to Biomass Burning Aerosols over South Africa
Richard Allan, Tony Slingo ESSC, Reading University
Earth Radiation Budget: Insights from GERB and future perspectives
Richard Allan Department of Meteorology, University of Reading 1
CURRENT Energy Budget Changes
Presentation transcript:

Figure 1: Using GERB and SEVIRI data to evaluate the Met Office NWP model in near-real time; example SINERGEE comparisons for 8 th March 2006 at 1200 UTC ( ) METHODOLOGY At the Met Office, single time-step runs of the global Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model are initiated from 0, 6, 12 and 18 UTC analyses Near-real time transfer of model diagnostics + GERB/SEVIRI data to ESSC Output comparisons of outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) and top of atmosphere albedo: SINERGEE project Archive model-GERB comparisons for further analysis (Allan et al. 2005) INTRODUCTION The top of atmosphere radiation balance is (i) an important diagnostic of clouds, aerosol and water vapour (ii) a critical driver of atmospheric circulation Here, we use new satellite data from GERB/SEVIRI to (i) evaluate models, (ii) understand radiative processes and (iii) monitor satellite instruments / model CONCLUSIONS Near-real time comparisons between GERB data and the Met Office NWP model since 2003 Exploitation of the synergy between GERB, SEVIRI and an NWP model has contributed to (i) the monitoring of the satellite instruments, (ii) model evaluation, and (iii) improved understanding of radiative processes Clear-sky OLR simulated by the model agrees to within about ±5-10 Wm -2 of the GERB fluxes The longwave radiative signature of mineral dust aerosol is present in the GERB/SEVIRI data Monthly mean model OLR is underestimated by around 50 Wm -2 at 1200 UTC in summer months over west Sahara compared to GERB/Meteosat Model deficiencies including simulation of tropical convection and cirrus outflow, low- altitude oceanic cloud and Sahara surface albedo The near-real time comparisons have contributed to the process of model improvement through updated parametrizations REFERENCES Allan, R. P., A. Slingo, S. Milton and I. Culverwell (2004), SINERGEE: simulation and exploitation of data from Meteosat-8 using an NWP model, Proc. EUMETSAT Meteorological Satellites Conf., Prague, Czech Republic, EUMETSAT, Allan, R. P., A. Slingo, S.F. Milton I. Culverwell (2005), Exploitation of Geostationary Earth Radiation Budget data using simulations from a numerical weather prediction model: Methodology and data validation, J. Geophys. Res., 110, D14111, doi: /2004JD Harries, J. E., J. E. Russell, J. A. Hanafin and coauthors (2005), The Geostationary Earth Radiation Budget (GERB) Experiment, Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 86, Haywood, J. M., R. P. Allan, I. Culverwell, A. Slingo, S. Milton, J. M. Edwards and N. Clerbaux (2005), Can desert dust explain the outgoing longwave radiation anomaly over the Sahara during July 2003? J. Geophys. Res., 110, D05105, doi: /2004JD Acknowledgement: This work was funded through the NERC/Met Office Connect-B grant NER/D/S/2002/00412 DATA AND VALIDATION The Geostationary Earth Radiation Budget (GERB) instrument is the first broad-band radiometer to fly on a geostationary satellite Along with the Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infra-Red Imager (SEVIRI), GERB provides unprecedented 15-minute temporal resolution of the radiation budget over the Africa-Atlantic hemisphere Validation of the data is ongoing including comparisons with Clouds and the Earths Radiant Energy System (CERES) data (left) For further details see Harries et al. (2005) Figure 2: GERB minus CERES longwave (left) and shortwave (right) flux difference, July 2004 CLEAR-SKY RADIATION Since the Met Office NWP model uses data assimilation we have confidence in the clear- sky longwave radiative fluxes over the ocean We compared longwave and shortwave fluxes from the model with GERB data over the ocean only where both the model and satellite data indicated cloud-free conditions (e.g., right) Clear-sky OLR agrees to within ~±5-10 Wm -2 Clear-sky albedo showed more scatter with agreement to within ±0.01 (approximately 10%) For further details see Allan et al. (2005) Figure 3: Time series of model/GERB (a) clear-sky OLR and (b) clear-sky albedo over Mediterranean Evaluation of clouds and radiation simulated by the Met Office NWP model using GERB data Richard P. Allan, A. Slingo (ESSC, University of Reading, UK) M.E. Brooks, S.F. Milton (Met Office, Exeter, UK) Figure 6: Evaluation of Namibian marine stratocumulus. Cloud albedo effect for (a) model and (b) GERB; cloud fraction for (c) model and (d) Meteosat; 1200 UTC data Figure 7: OLR (shading) and 500 hPa vertical motion (contours) for (a) model and (b) GERB, 31/03/2004 EVALUATION OF MODEL CLOUD AND RADIATION Distribution of cloud across mid-latitudes well simulated by the model due to data assimilation At lower latitudes the model has trouble simulating the diurnal cycle of convection, the radiative properties of low-altitude oceanic clouds and the distribution of convectively driven cirrus outflow Surface albedo over north Africa is not adequately represented by the model; the magnitude has recently been improved but the spatial distribution is inconsistent with clear-sky albedo from GERB The simulated spatial structure of marine stratocumulus shows artefacts; recent changes in boundary layer parametrizations have improved the reflective properties of low-altitude clouds The diurnal cycle of tropical clouds over land remains a problem with an early onset of convection and lack of spatial organisation For additional details see Allan et al. (2004) (d) Figure 5: High mineral dust optical depth explains large model error in clear-sky OLR during July 2003: 0.55 μm aerosol optical depth from (a) TOMS and (b) MISR, (c) mean model- GERB clear-sky OLR difference and (d) time-series with estimated direct radiative effect based on radiative calculations MINERAL DUST AEROSOL Recent analysis of GERB and SEVIRI data highlight an appreciable longwave radiative signature of dust aerosol (above; see ) The NWP model does not include these dust events Analysis of GERB and Meteosat data during July 2003 indicate an enhanced greenhouse effect due to mineral dust aerosol of magnitude ~50 Wm -2 over west Sahara not captured by the model (left; see Haywood et al. 2005) Future work seeks to assess the impact of desert dust on (i) model circulation and forecast skill (ii) the atmospheric radiative flux divergence ( ) (a) (c) Figure 4: Dust storm, 8 th March 2006: (a) SEVIRI dust product, (b) GERB OLR, (c) model-GERB clear-sky OLR difference + SEVIRI 10.8 minus 12 μm brightness temperature Dust (b)