NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal Berlim 8-9 October 2008 NEAREST FFCUL Rachid Omira Maria Ana Baptista Miguel Miranda

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal WP7.1 Collation of the new Bathymetric Data (merge data not complete) WP7.2 Implementation of a Numerical Tsunami Model for SW Portugal WP7.3 Simulation of the 1755 tsunami in the “Boca do Rio” area WP7.4 Production of Inundation Maps for Lagos-Sagres WP7.5 Model Parametrization and Validation

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 COMCOT _ LX Adopted from COMCOT (Cornell University, Liu et al., 1994) COMCOT code (Cornell University) COMCOT code (Cornell University) Tsunami Simulation Code Based on Shallow Water Equations Tsunami Simulation Code Based on Shallow Water Equations Leap-frog scheme Leap-frog scheme Nested grid system Nested grid system Moving boundary scheme Moving boundary scheme WP7.5 Model Parametrization and Validation CGUL changes: COMCOT – Lx Surfer format input / output Output Inundation / Flow depths

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 TRANSFER AREAS Nested grid system NEAREST AREAS WP7.5 Model Parametrization and Validation

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 Benchmark testing (collab.with TRANFER project) #1 – RUNUP ONTO A PLANE BEACH #1 – RUNUP ONTO A PLANE BEACH WP7.5 Model Parametrization and Validation

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 The model earthquake - Lisbon event WP7.3 Simulation of the 1755 tsunami in the “Boca do Rio” area Fault Plane Strike / Dip / Rake: 340 / 45 / 90 Fault centre Lat / Lon: 37.0N / 9.75W (SW Lisbon) L = 210 km, W = 75 km, D = 13.6 m

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 WP7.3 Simulation of the 1755 tsunami in the “Boca do Rio” area

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 Does Inundation correlate well to sedimentological evidence? WP7.3 Simulation of the 1755 tsunami along Algarve

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 CASABLANCA TEST SITE CASABLANCA TEST SITE

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in Casablanca (Johnston,1996)(Zitellini, 2001, 2003) (Gutscher, 2002,2006) (Baptista, 1998) (Omira et al, 2007) to be sub. To Natural Hazards Modelled Run up correlates well slip (Okal & Synolakis, GJInt., 2004 et al)

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in Casablanca Vunerability study

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 Casablanca Harbour area building stock Casablanca Harbour area building stock Building Survey by Rachid April 2007

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in Casablanca Tsunami Vulnerability Assessment

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 On going… Modelling tsunami impact in the study Areas using WP1 +TRANSFER & ERSTA Zones WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in test areas

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 On going… Modelling tsunami impact in the study Areas using WP1 +TRANSFER & ERSTA Zones WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in test areas Miranda JM, Baptista MA, Terrinha P, Matias, L. 31st ESC Crete Sept 2008

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 ts Initial displacements using heterogeneous slip (SCC (Geist & Domovska,1999)) INVESTIGATION OF THE EFFECT IN INNUNDATION MAPS ON GOING

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 CONTRIBUTION TO IOC-NEAMTWS

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 Maximum wave elevation + Energy radiation + Travel time For each scenario

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 Computed maximum wave height, energy direction and tsunami travel time for the tsunami scenarios in the Golf of Cadiz WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in test areas Red line First arrival to the coast Less 30 minutes

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in test areas Priority tsunameter location Tsunami travel time + Radiation pattern + bottom topography Warning time 15 min =Arrival Time – Detection time

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 NEXT STEPS Tune Model for Flow Depth Velocity WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in test areas Produce FDVelocity maps Ouput of TRANSFER: standards for Inundation maps (next week Messina ) DoW 27 – Month 29

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 Next steps GEOSUB August 08 survey Improvement of inundation results with new data

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 Tsunami Vulnerability Assessment of Casablanca-Morocco using Numerical Modelling and GIS tools R. Omira, M. A. Baptista, J. M. Miranda,C. Catita, E. Toto Subm to Natural Hazards (may 2008, under revision) REVISION OF THE PORTUGUESE CATALOGUE OF TSUNAMIS M. A. Baptista, J. M. Miranda (subm NHESS, accept with minor revision) REVISION OF THE MOROCCO TSUNAMI CATALOGUE F. Kaabouben, M. A. Baptista, A. Iben Brahim, A. Toto, A. Elmouraouah Ready for submission to NHESS ? publications

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 WP1.1 - INGV - Database for paleotsunamis Euro-Mediterranean area (boulders or sediments) TRANSFER web site The DB can be visited and updated through the web interface ( and data can be downloaded in a format ready to be included in the TRANSFER GIS DB. TRANSFER WP1 DATABASE

NEAREST 2nd year Meet ing – Berlim 8 -9oct 08 WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal Del. n. Deliverable name Workpackag e Workpac kage n. Due Date (project month) Actual/ Forecas t delivery date Estimated indicative person months (all partners involved) Used indicative person months (all partners involved) Lead contractor D24a D24b new bathymetric map cruise report WP FFCUL D25 implementation of a numerical tsunami model for SW Portugal WP FFCUL D26 simulation of the 1755 tsunami in the Boca de Rio area WP FFCUL D27 inundation maps for Lagos-Sagres WP FFCUL D28 validation of the model WP FFCUL