The Uber Jet and the Widespread Disruptive Ice Storm of 21–23 December 2013 Lance F. Bosart, Alicia M. Bentley, and Philippe P. Papin Department of Atmospheric.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Forecasting Heavy Precipitation Associated with Cool-season 500-hPa Cutoff Cyclones in the Northeast Melissa Payer, Lance F. Bosart, Daniel Keyser Department.
Advertisements

Cool-Season High Winds in the Northeast U.S. Jonas V. Asuma, Lance F. Bosart, Daniel Keyser Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences University.
Identifying key features to predict significant severe weather outbreaks in the northeastern U.S. Neil A. Stuart NOAA/NWS Albany NY NROW XIII 3 November.
Recurving Typhoons as Precursors to an Early Season Arctic Outbreak over the Continental U.S. Heather M. Archambault, Lance F. Bosart, and Daniel Keyser.
Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey USA
Climatological Aspects of Ice Storms in the Northeastern U.S. Christopher M. Castellano, Lance F. Bosart, and Daniel Keyser Department of Atmospheric and.
An Analysis of Central American Gyres Philippe P. Papin, Kyle S. Griffin, Lance F. Bosart, Ryan D. Torn Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences:
Characteristics of Upslope Snowfall Events in Northern New York State and Northern Vermont Diagnostics and Model Simulations of Several Northwest-Flow.
The Persistence and Dissipation of Lake Michigan-Crossing Mesoscale Convective Systems Nicholas D. Metz* and Lance F. Bosart # * Department of Geoscience,
The Effects of Lake Michigan on Mature Mesoscale Convective Systems Nicholas D. Metz and Lance F. Bosart Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences.
Matthew Vaughan, Brian Tang, and Lance Bosart Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences University at Albany/SUNY Albany, NY NROW XV Nano-scale.
Appalachian Lee Troughs and their Association with Severe Thunderstorms Daniel B. Thompson, Lance F. Bosart and Daniel Keyser Department of Atmospheric.
Fig. 1. NCEP/NCAR Composite analysis 24 hours prior to event onset (T-24) for a) 250-hPa vector wind, b) 500-hPa geopotential height, c) 850-hPa temperature,
Analysis of Precipitation Distributions Associated with Two Cool-Season Cutoff Cyclones Melissa Payer, Lance F. Bosart, Daniel Keyser Department of Atmospheric.
A Multiscale Analysis of the Inland Reintensification of Tropical Cyclone Danny (1997) within an Equatorward Jet-Entrance Region Matthew S. Potter, Lance.
The Influence of the Elevated Mixed Layer on Record High Temperatures and Severe Weather Over the Northeast US in April and May 2010 Jason M. Cordeira.
Predecessor Rain Events Ahead of TC Ike and TC Lowell on 11–14 September 2008 Lance F. Bosart, Thomas J. Galarneau, Jr., Jason M. Cordeira, and Benjamin.
Modulation of the Extratropical Circulation by Combined Activity of the Madden–Julian Oscillation and Equatorial Rossby Waves Lawrence C. Gloeckler and.
An Unusual Pathway to Oceanic Cyclogenesis Linking “Perfect Storms” in the North Atlantic Ocean Jason M. Cordeira and Lance F. Bosart Department of Earth.
Warm-Season Lake-/Sea-Breeze Severe Weather in the Northeast Patrick H. Wilson, Lance F. Bosart, and Daniel Keyser Department of Earth and Atmospheric.
Upper-level Mesoscale Disturbances on the Periphery of Closed Anticyclones Thomas J. Galarneau, Jr. and Lance F. Bosart University at Albany, State University.
300 hPa height (solid, dam), wind speed (shaded, m s −1 ), 300 hPa divergence (negative values dashed, 10 −6 s −1 ) n = 22 MSLP (solid, hPa),
Case Studies of Warm Season Cutoff Cyclone Precipitation Distribution Jessica Najuch Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences University at Albany,
Strong Polar Anticyclone Activity over the Northern Hemisphere and an Examination of the Alaskan Anticyclone Justin E. Jones, Lance F. Bosart, and Daniel.
The Father’s Day 2002 Severe Weather Outbreak across New York and Western New England Thomas A. Wasula NOAA/NWS WFO at Albany.
The August 9, 2001 Lake Breeze Severe Weather Event Across New York and Western New England Thomas A. Wasula NOAA/NWS WFO at Albany.
A Study of Cool Season Tornadoes in the Southeast United States Alicia C. Wasula and Lance F. Bosart University at Albany/SUNY and Russell Schneider, Steven.
Forecasting Precipitation Distributions Associated with Cool-Season 500-hPa Cutoff Cyclones in the Northeastern United States Melissa Payer, Lance F. Bosart,
Maintenance of a Mesoscale Convective System over Lake Michigan Nicholas D. Metz and Lance F. Bosart Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences University.
Case Studies of Warm Season Cutoff Cyclone Precipitation Distribution Jessica Najuch Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences University at Albany,
A Diagnostic Analysis of a Difficult- to-Forecast Cutoff Cyclone from the 2008 Warm Season Matthew A. Scalora, Lance F. Bosart, Daniel Keyser Department.
Use of the Nondivergent Wind for Diagnosing Banded Precipitation Systems Thomas J. Galarneau, Jr., and Daniel Keyser Department of Earth and Atmospheric.
Hurricane Juan (2003): A Diagnostic and Compositing Study Ron McTaggart-Cowan 1, Eyad Atallah 2, John Gyakum 2, and Lance Bosart 1 1 University of Albany,
Life-Cycle of Tropical Storm Erin (2007) Thomas J. Galarneau, Jr., and Lance F. Bosart University at Albany, State University of New York Albany, NY *with.
A Multi-Scale Analysis of the Perfect Storms of 1991 Jason M. Cordeira and Lance F. Bosart Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at.
Cold Season 500 hPa Cutoff Cyclone Precipitation Distribution and a Case Study Tony Fracasso Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences University at.
Here a TC, There a TC, Everywhere a TC: The "Spin" on the Active Part of the North Atlantic 2008 TC Season Lance F. Bosart, Thomas J. Galarneau, Jr., and.
Anticyclones Cause Weather Too: An Understanding of Worldwide Strong Anticyclones and Anticyclogenesis Matthew L. Doody, Lance Bosart and Daniel Keyser.
Upper-Level Precursors Associated with Subtropical Cyclone Formation in the North Atlantic Alicia M. Bentley, Daniel Keyser, and Lance F. Bosart University.
Cyclogenesis: Then (1979) and Now (2014) Sanders and Gyakum (1980) Bosart (1981) acts/bombogenesis.html.
Some Preliminary Modeling Results on the Upper-Level Outflow of Hurricane Sandy (2012) JungHoon Shin and Da-Lin Zhang Department of Atmospheric & Oceanic.
A case book of the Double Trouble State Park Wildfire (2002) Joseph J. Charney USDA Forest Service, Northern Research Station, East Lansing, MI Daniel.
Coastal Meteorology and Atmospheric Prediction (COMAP) Research at Stony Brook University Michael Erickson, Brian A. Colle, Sara Ganetis, Nathan Korfe,
Synoptic and Mesoscale Aspects of Ice Storms in the Northeastern United States Christopher M. Castellano 1 *, Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, John.
Multiscale Analyses of Tropical Cyclone-Midlatitude Jet Interactions: Camille (1969) and Danny (1997) Matthew S. Potter, Lance F. Bosart, and Daniel Keyser.
Modulation of the Extratropical Circulation By Combined Activity of the Madden–Julian Oscillation and Equatorial Rossby Waves Lawrence C. Gloeckler and.
A Climatology of Central American Gyres Philippe P. Papin, Kyle S. Griffin, Lance F. Bosart, Ryan D. Torn Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences:
Severe Weather? What Happened… Jim Connolly NWS New York, NY April 2009.
Tropical Transition in the Eastern North Pacific: Sensitivity to Microphysics Alicia M. Bentley ATM May 2012.
A Multiscale Analysis of Major Transition Season Northeast Snowstorms Rebecca Steeves, Andrea L. Lang, and Daniel Keyser Department of Atmospheric and.
Analyzing the Roles of Low-Level Forcing and Instability in Significant Severe Weather Outbreaks in the Eastern United States Neil A. Stuart NOAA/NWS Albany.
A Composite Analysis of Cross-Equatorial Heat Transport by Tropical Cyclones Benjamin A. Schenkel Daniel Keyser, and Lance F. Bosart.
Title Climatology of High Lapse Rates and Associated Synoptic-Scale Flow Patterns over North America and the Northeast US(1974  2007) Jason M. Cordeira*,
Climate-Weather Presentation For Climate Modeling 11 September 2015.
A Case Study of the 6 August hPa Arctic Ocean Cyclone Eric Adamchick University at Albany, State University of New York Albany, New York.
Deep Convection, Severe Weather, and Appalachian Lee/Prefrontal Troughs Daniel B. Thompson, Lance F. Bosart and Daniel Keyser Department of Atmospheric.
Diagnosis and modelling of Tropical Cyclone Catarina (2004) Ron McTaggart-Cowan and Lance Bosart University at Albany, State University of New York.
Upper-Level Precursors Associated with Subtropical Cyclone Formation in the North Atlantic Alicia M. Bentley, Daniel Keyser, and Lance F. Bosart University.
Climatological Aspects of Freezing Rain in the Eastern U.S. Christopher M. Castellano, Lance F. Bosart, and Daniel Keyser Department of Atmospheric and.
Fuzzy Cluster Analysis Investigating Wavebreaking in the Tropics Philippe P. Papin Team Torn Meeting – April 15, 2015 Department of Atmospheric and Environmental.
Relationships between Large-Scale Regime Transitions and Major Cool-Season Precipitation Events in the Northeast U.S. Heather M. Archambault Daniel Keyser.
Subtropical Potential Vorticity Streamer Formation and Variability in the North Atlantic Basin Philippe Papin, Lance F. Bosart, Ryan D. Torn University.
850 hPa Chart Image from
32nd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
The Influence of a Precursor Central American Gyre and a Northerly Gulf of Tehuantepec Surge on the Formation of Hurricane Patricia in October 2015 Lance.
An Investigation of the Skill of Week Two
Low level Jet.
Alan F. Srock and Lance F. Bosart
Antecedent Environments Conducive to the Production of Extreme Temperature and Precipitation Events in the United States Andrew C. Winters, Daniel Keyser,
Case Studies of Warm Season Cutoff Cyclone Precipitation Distribution
Presentation transcript:

The Uber Jet and the Widespread Disruptive Ice Storm of 21–23 December 2013 Lance F. Bosart, Alicia M. Bentley, and Philippe P. Papin Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY th Annual Northeastern Storm Conference Rutland, VT Saturday 8 March 2014

200-hPa maximum wind speed (m s −1 ) 0.5° Climate Forecast System Reanalysis: 1979–2013 Source: Dr. Ryan Maue

250-hPa wind speed (shaded, m s −1 ; barbs, kts), geopotential height (black contours, dam), and temperature (red dashed contours, °C) 1200 UTC 22 December 2013

1200 UTC 22 December 2013 La Grande, QC Goose Bay, NL

Additional Soundings

0000 UTC 22 December 2013 Detroit, MIWilmington, OH

0000 UTC 22 December 2013 Pittsburgh, PA Buffalo, NY

1200 UTC 22 December 2013 Albany, NY Upton, NY

0000 UTC 23 December 2013 Gray, ME Chatham, MA

Maplist Images

Source: Dr. Jason Cordeira 250-hPa Wind Speed (m s −1 ) Occurrences (1979–2012) Histogram of 250-hPa maximum wind speed NCEP–NCAR Reanalysis: 1979–2012 Domain: 40°–60°N and 90°–60°W

Source: Dr. Mel Shapiro −60 −48 −36 −24 −

Source: Dr. Mel Shapiro −120 −240 −360 −480

Backward Trajectories

KLAN – Lansing, MI CYYZ – Toronto, ON Source: NOAA HYSPLIT MODEL 240 h backward trajectories ending at: 0000 UTC 22 December h backward trajectories ending at: 0600 UTC 22 December 2013

KART – Watertown, NY KBTV – Burlington, VT Source: NOAA HYSPLIT MODEL 240 h backward trajectories ending at: 0600 UTC 22 December h backward trajectories ending at: 1200 UTC 22 December 2013

KMLT – Millinocket, ME CZDB – Debert, NS Source: NOAA HYSPLIT MODEL 240 h backward trajectories ending at: 1200 UTC 22 December h backward trajectories ending at: 1800 UTC 22 December 2013

Backward/Forward Trajectories

KCLE – Cleveland, OH Source: NOAA HYSPLIT MODEL 120 h backward trajectories ending at: 0000 UTC 22 December h forward trajectories starting at: 0000 UTC 22 December 2013

CYYZ – Toronto, ON Source: NOAA HYSPLIT MODEL 120 h backward trajectories ending at: 0000 UTC 22 December h forward trajectories starting at: 0000 UTC 22 December 2013

CYUL – Montreal, QC Source: NOAA HYSPLIT MODEL 120 h backward trajectories ending at: 0000 UTC 22 December h forward trajectories starting at: 0000 UTC 22 December 2013

CYSC – Sherbrooke, QC Source: NOAA HYSPLIT MODEL 120 h backward trajectories ending at: 1200 UTC 22 December h forward trajectories starting at: 1200 UTC 22 December 2013

THE END