Central Tendency and Variability Chapter 4. Variability In reality – all of statistics can be summed into one statement: – Variability matters. – (and.

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Presentation transcript:

Central Tendency and Variability Chapter 4

Variability In reality – all of statistics can be summed into one statement: – Variability matters. – (and less is more!, depending). – (and error happens).

Central Tendency Definition: descriptive stat that best represents the center of a distribution of data. Mean: arithmetic average – “Typical score” – Often described as the “middle” of the scores, so don’t confuse this with medians.

Calculating the Mean Add up all scores Divide by number of scores Traditionally, we use M as the symbol for sample means.

Note on Symbols Usually Latin letters (normal alphabet) are used for samples – M, SD – Sample statistics Greek letters are used for populations –μ, σ – Population parameters. All statistical letters are italicized.

Central Tendency Median: middle score when ordered from lowest to highest – No real symbol, but you can abbreviate mdn

Calculating the Median Line up the scores in ascending order Find the middle number – For an odd number of scores, just find the middle value. – For an even number of scores, divide number of scores by two. – Take the average of the scores around this position.

Central Tendency Mode: most common score – It’s the value: With the largest frequency (or percent on a table). The highest bar on a histogram (remember that SPSS squishes categories sometimes though). The highest point on a frequency polygon. Note…sometimes there are multiple modes.

Calculating the Mode Line up the scores in ascending order. Find the most frequent score. That’s the Mode! Aka, book notes can be silly sometimes.

Mode + Distributions We talked about this before but: – Unimodal = one hump distributions with one mode. – Bimodal = distributions with two modes. – Multimodal = distributions with three+ mode. Remember we talked about traditionally how if there are 10 5s and 10 6s (that is technically two modes) that people consider that unimodal because they are so close together.

Figure 4-4: Bipolar Disorder and the Modal Mood Why central tendency is not always the best answer:

SPSS Notes Analyze > descriptives > frequencies

SPSS Notes Move the variables you want to use to the right.

SPSS Notes Remember that histograms are under charts. Click statistics. – Choose the descriptives you want … here I selected mean, median, mode, quartiles, range, variance, and standard deviation (which we haven’t covered yet).

SPSS Notes

Outliers and the Mean An early lesson in lying with statistics – Which central tendency is “best”: mean, median, or mode? – Depends!

Figure 4-6: The Mean without the Outlier

Test with Big Data So what happens if we delete our outliers? Summary: – Mean is most affected by outliers (moved up or down, can be by a lot). Best for symmetric distributions. – Median may change slightly one number up or down. Best for skewed distributions or with outliers. – Generally the mode will not change. Uses: One particular score dominates a distribution. Distribution is bi or multi modal Data are nominal.

Measures of Variability Variability: a measure of how much spread there is in a distribution Range – From the lowest to the highest score

Calculating the Range Determine the highest score Determine the lowest score Subtract the lowest score from the highest score

Measures of Variability Variance – Average squared deviation from the mean – How much, on average, do people vary from the middle?

Calculating the Variance Subtract the mean from each score Square every deviation from the mean Sum the squared deviations Divide the sum of squares by N Super special SPSS notes right here about N versus N-1.

Measures of Variability Standard deviation – (square root of variance) – Typical amount that each score deviates from the mean. – Most commonly used statistic with the mean. – Why use this when variance says the same thing? Standardized – brings the numbers back to the original scaling (since they were squared before). Still biased by scale.

Calculating the Standard Deviation Typical amount the scores vary or deviate from the sample mean – This is the square root of variance Again, remember that SPSS uses a different denominator.

Practice Problem How to get the biased estimates out of SPSS. First we need to calculate the deviations from the mean: – Find the mean (see earlier notes about descriptives).

Practice Problem Transform > compute variable

Practice Problem – Give the variable a name (top left). – In “numeric expression”: Put in the variable name (double click or drag and drop). Then the minus sign (-) Then type the mean. (VARIABLE – mean score you found from descriptives.) * (VARIABLE – mean score) – There’s no squared button.

Practice Problem Then find the mean of your new column using descriptives (see earlier). – The MEAN = variance – Take the square root for standard deviation. – (note: we will be able to use the var/sd automatic options in a later chapter).

Interquartile Range Measure of the distance between the 1 st and 3 rd quartiles. 1 st quartile: 25th percentile of a data set The median marks the 50th percentile of a data set. 3 rd quartile: marks the 75 th percentile of a data set

Calculating the Interquartile Range Subtract: 75 th percentile – 25 th percentile.