INCORPORATING LAST YEAR’S DISASTER INFORMATION IN THIS YEAR’S EDUCATIONAL SURGES (Part 2) A PRIMER OF KNOWLEDGE THAT CAN MULTIPY AND SPILL OVER FOR THE.

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Presentation transcript:

INCORPORATING LAST YEAR’S DISASTER INFORMATION IN THIS YEAR’S EDUCATIONAL SURGES (Part 2) A PRIMER OF KNOWLEDGE THAT CAN MULTIPY AND SPILL OVER FOR THE BENEFIT OF MILLIONS Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA

GOAL: COMMUNITY DISASTER RISK REDUCTION FLOODS SEVERE WIND STORMS EARTHQUAKES DROUGHTS LANDSLIDES WILDFIRES VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS TSUNAMIS GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS INCREASED TECHNICAL AND POLITICL CAPACITY OF COMMUNITY TO COPE INCREASED OWNERSHIP AND USE OF KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCE IMPROVE ON PAST PERFORMANCE

BOOK OF BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE - Perspectives KNOWLEDGE - Perspectives On Science, Policy, On Science, Policy, And EM HI-ED And EM HI-ED WE ARE ALWAYS WRITING THE NEXT CHAPTER IN THE “GLOBAL BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCE” BOOK OF BOOK OF EXPERIENCE - Perspectives EXPERIENCE - Perspectives On Science, Policy, On Science, Policy, And EM HI-ED And EM HI-ED

EXAMPLE: FROM REAL TIME INFORMATION ON SEVERE WINDSTORMS IN 2008 TO A GLOBAL EDUCATIONAL SURGE THIS YEAR (Part 2) A SIMPLE CONCEPT WITH A HIGH BENEFIT TO COST RATIO

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF WHAT HAPPENED DURING 2008

NOTABLE DISASTER TYPES IN 2008 CYCLONE NARGIS WENCHUAN EARTHQUAKE FLOODING IN MIDWESTERN USA TROPICAL STORMS AND HURRICANES WILDFIRES IN CALIFORNIA ERUPTION OF VOLCANO CHAITEN CATALYSTS FOR CHANGE NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR COMMUNITY DISASTER RISK REDUCTION GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE

2008 TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE/TYPHOON SEASON PART 2 JUNE 1 – NOVEMBER 30, 2008

PATHS OF 16 NAMED ATLANTIC STORMS

HIGH VELOCITY WINDS HEAVY RAINFALL FLOODING LANDSLIDES POWER OUTAGES AGRICULTURAL LOSSES

HURRICANE IKE SEPTEMBER 3 – 13, 2008 Ninth Named Storm of 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season

HAITI, BAHAMAS (GRAND TURK ISLAND), CUBA, AND USA (TEXAS) IN IKE’S PATH GULF OIL PRODUCTION SHUT DOWN FOR GUSTAV ALSO IN IKE’S PATH

TEXAS GOV. RICK PERRY ASKS FOR AND RECEIVES PRESIDENTAL DISASTER DECLARATION FOR TEXAS ON SEPT 13

STORM SIMILAR TO THE SEPTEMBER 1, 1900 HURRICANE DISASTER A FLOODING and A WIND EVENT STORM SURGE OF 6-7 m EXTENDING INLAND km AND ALONG THE COAST FOR 200 km

Thousands of homes and businesses in Texas and SW Louisiana were damaged or flooded

The seawall in Galveston held,... But, downtown Galveston and Houston became flooded ghost towns (because of the evacuation) with downed trees, debris, shattered glass, and damaged infrastructure.

Texas’ and Louisiana’s oil production—20 percent of USA’s production– and Texas’ petrochemical industries survived with only minor problems.

The number of deaths was low because of excellent forecasts and realistic preparedness. Millions were safely evacuated. Initial estimates of economic losses from damaged homes and infrastructure reached 8 billion dollars.

TROPICAL STORM KYLE BECOMES HURRICANE KYLE (See Part 3)

FOUR UNIVRSAL BARRIERS TO USE OF LAST YEAR’S INFORMATION IGNORANCE APATHY DISCIPLINARY BOUNDARIES LACK OF POLITICAL WILL

EDUCATIONAL SURGES CREATE TURNING POINTS ALL SECTORS OF SOCIETY INFORMED IGNORANCE TO ENLIGHTENMENT APATHY TO EMPOWERMENT BOUNDARIES TO NETWORKS STATUS QUO TO GOOD POLITICAL DECISIONS EDUCATIONAL SURGES WILL CHANGE THE COMMUNITY EDUCATIONAL SURGES WILL CHANGE THE COMMUNITY

EDUCATIONAL SURGE RELEVANT PUBLIC AWARENESS INCREASE UNDERSTANDING POLITICAL ENABLEMENT BUILD EQUITY BASIC OBJECTIVES FOR LAUNCHING AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE

BENEFITS OF EDUCATIONAL SURGES EXPAND CAPABILITY IMPROVE DELIVERY MECHANISMS OVERCOME UNIVERSAL BARRIERS CREATE TURNING POINTS OF CHANGE INCREASE COMMUNITY DISASTER RESILIENCE EDUCATIONAL SURGES

TOPICS AND TARGETS OF EDUCATIONAL SURGES TOPICS AND TARGETS OF EDUCATIONAL SURGES THE KNOWLEDGE BASE Risk and Loss Assessments Increased Understanding Hazard Characterization Vulnerability Assessments Real & Near Real Time Information Flow Disaster-Risk Reduction Interface with Multiple Networks Cause & Effect Relationships CAPACITY BUILDING Emergency Managers Policy Makers Practitioners Intelligent Emergency Management Tailored to Community Needs CONTINUING EDUCATION Up Close, Virtual, and Distance Learning Update Knowledge Bases After Each Disaster Disaster Scenarios Training Information Technology A PROCESS THAT PENETRATES SOCIETY A PROCESS THAT PENETRATES SOCIETY

BENEFITS OF AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE Increasing the "World's Mutual Fund for Education," (i.e., the in- country resources for education in the budget of every nation ) Using conferences and other meetings on different scales will eventually overcome the universal barriers of ignorance, apathy, disciplinary boundaries, and lack of political will

BENEFITS OF AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE Increased community disaster-risk reduction for all (including Mega- cities, which are a special challenge) Transferring ownership of knowledge and technology for increasing disaster- risk reduction for people, habitats, livelihoods, cultural heritage, and infrastructure

BENEFITS OF AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE Facilitates equipping, linking, and engaging legions of new and emerging professionals with mature professionals Intensifies efforts in high-risk locations. Increases risk reduction for essential (schools) and critical (hospitals, dams, and power plants) facilities.

MEASURING CHANGE NEW RESOURCES NEW DELIVERY MECHANISMS NEW PROFESSIONAL LINKAGES NEW LEGISLATIVE MANDATES NEW DIALOGUE ON BUILDING A CULTURE OF DISASTER- RISK REDUCTION EDUCATIONAL SURGES SHOULD RESULT IN …

MEASURING CHANGE PRINCIPLES (Improving on the past) REDUCTION IN MAGNITUDE OF SOCIO- ECONOMIC LOSSES FROM NATURAL HAZARDS

MEASURING CHANGE PRINCIPLES (Improving on the past) REDUCTION IN NUMBER AND MAGNITUDE OF ANNUAL NATURAL DISASTERS

MEASURING CHANGE PRINCIPLES (Improving on the past) INCREASED EFFECTIVENESS OF EDUCAT- IONAL SURGES TO BUILD PROFESSIONL CAPACITY FOR DISASTER-RISK REDUCTION

MEASURING CHANGE PRINCIPLES (Improving on the past) DECREASE IN IGNORANCE, APATHY, DISCIPLINARY BOUNDARIES, AND LACK OF POLITICAL WILL

MEASURING CHANGE PRINCIPLES (Improving on the Past) INCREASE IN TRAINING

MEASURING CHANGE PRINCIPLES (Improving on the Past) INCREASE IN NUMBER OF PROFESSIONALS ENGAGED IN SEAMLESS NETWORKS HAVING COMMUNITY DISASTER-RISK REDUCTION AS A GOAL

MEASURING CHANGE PRINCIPLES (Improving on the past) INCREASED COORDINATION PRINCIPLES (Improving on the past) IMPROVED COLLABORATION

MEASURING CHANGE PRINCIPLES (Improving on the past) IMPROVED INNOVATION

MEASURING CHANGE TURNING POINTS (Building a Culture of Community Disaster-Risk Reduction) NEW NETWORKS OF PROFESS- IONALS WORKING ON EDUCATIONAL SURGES THAT PENETRATE ALL LEVELS OF THE COMMUNITY.

MEASURING CHANGE TURNING POINTS (Building a Culture of Community Disaster-Risk Reduction) INCREASE IN ACTIVITIES TO TRANSFORM IGNORANCE INTO ENLIGHTENMENT

MEASURING CHANGE TURNING POINTS (Building a Culture of Community Disaster-Risk Reduction) INCREASE IN ACTIVITIES TO TRANSFORM APATHY INTO EMPOWERMENT

MEASURING CHANGE TURNING POINTS (Building a Culture of Community Disaster-Risk Reduction) INCREASE IN ACTIVITIES TO TRANSFORM ORGANIZATIONAL AND DISCIPLINARY BOUNDARIES INTO SEAMLESS NETWORKS

MEASURING CHANGE TURNING POINTS (Building a Culture of Community Disaster-Risk Reduction) INCREASE IN ACTIVITIES TO TRANSFORM THE STATUS QUO IN A COMMUNITY INTO “GOOD” POLITICAL DECISIONS

MEASURING CHANGE TURNING POINT (Building a Culture of Community Disaster-Risk Reduction) INCREASE IN DIALOGUE ON HOW TO USE LAST YEAR’S DISASTER INFORMATION IN THIS YEAR’S EDUCATIONAL SURGES