Coordination in BMD Area as an Element of Military Cooperation Missile Defence as a Factor in Establishing a New Security Environment International Conference.

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Presentation transcript:

Coordination in BMD Area as an Element of Military Cooperation Missile Defence as a Factor in Establishing a New Security Environment International Conference Moscow, 3-4 May 2012 Colonel E.Yu. Ilyin

Briefing Objectives Highlighting the shooter system’s tech performances whose enhancement might serve to help create a threat to the Strategic Deterrence Force Demonstrating an opportunity for an objective assessment of mutual missile threats

BMD Nontargeting Criteria European segment

Tech criteria for nontargeting Velocity of interceptor Fixed BMD sites and patrol areas for mobile BMD shooters Number of deployed interceptors Size of killing zone Propellant budget and angular coverage of BMD radar

Sea-Launched, Baltic Sea, Velocity 3 km/s Trajectory is out of killing zone, interception is impossible

Sea-Launched, Norwegian Sea, Velocity 3 km/s Trajectory is out of killing zone, interception is impossible

Sea-Launched, Baltic Sea, Velocity 4 km/s Trajectory is out of killing zone, interception is impossible

Sea-Launched, Norwegian Sea, Velocity 4 km/s Trajectory is out of killing zone, interception is impossible

Sea-Launched, Baltic Sea, Velocity 5 km/s Interception is possible

Sea-Launched, Norwegian Sea, Velocity 5 km/s Interception is possible

Conclusions Velocity of the interceptor and deployment site of BMD assets – crucial factors Interceptor critical velocity – 5 km/sec Exceeding this velocity’s parameter creates a real threat to the Russian deterrence capability The US-Russian agreements on demarcation of BMD assets (1997) feature the following velocities of interceptors:  ground- and air-launched – 5.5 km/sec,  sea-launched – 4.5 km/sec

Capabilities to Track Launches from the South

«Gabala» Radar Conclusions. Provides capability to spot and track up to 75% of launches from the south.

«Armavir» Radar Conclusion. Provides capability to spot and track 100 % of missile launches from the south.

Questions???