San Marcos Rotary Club February 19, 2014 San Marcos, Texas Texas Demographic and Health Characteristics, Trends, and Projections

Growing States, Population* 2010 Population* Numerical Change Percent Change United States 281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7% Texas 20,851,82025,145,5614,293, % California 33,871,64837,253,9563,382, % Florida 15,982,37818,801,3102,818, % Georgia 8,186,4539,687,6531,501, % North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486, % Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261, % Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census Count. 65% (2.8 million) of this change can be attributed to growth of the Hispanic population

Percent Change Due to Y ear* Population Numerical Change Annual Percent Change Natural Increase Net Migration 19507,711, ,579,6771,868, ,196,7301,617, ,229,1913,032, ,986,5102,757, ,851,8203,865, ,145,5614,293, ,060, , ,448,193387, * All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2012 and 2013 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio. Note: Residual values are not presented in this table. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas,

Total Estimated Population by County, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2012 Population Estimates Along and east of I-35: 40% of land 86% of population 92% of population growth ( )

Change of the Total Population by County, 2010 to Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2012 Vintage. 96 counties lost population over the two year period Of counties that lost population 90% had net out migration 47% had natural decline

The 10 Fastest Growing Metro Areas Increase from July 1, 2011, to July 1, Percent Increase 1.Midland, Texas4.6 2.Clarksville, Tenn.-Ky Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, Fla The Villages, Fla Odessa, Texas3.4 6.Jacksonville, N.C Austin-Round Rock, Texas3.0 8.Casper, Wyo Columbus, Ga.-Ala Manhattan, Kan.2.8 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012

The 10 Counties with the Largest Numeric Increase from July 1, 2011, to July 1, Numeric Increase 1.Harris, Texas80,005 2.Los Angeles, Calif.73,764 3.Maricopa, Ariz.73,644 4.Dallas, Texas45,827 5.San Diego, Calif.38,880 6.King, Wash.35,838 7.Travis, Texas34,381 8.Orange, Calif.34,017 9.Tarrant, Texas32, Clark, Nev.32,833 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013

8 Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Texas Economic Indicators, February 2014

Estimated Net Migration Between States and Texas, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2011One-year Sample

Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population in Texas, millions Population Decline of Unauthorized Immigrants Stalls, May Have Reversed,

Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

Projected Population Growth in Texas, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections, Migration Scenario

Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, 2030 Using Constant Rates, and 2030 Using Trended Rates, Texas 17 Sources: Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample,

Birth rates for teenagers aged 15–19, by race and Hispanic origin of mother: United States and each and state, 2011 Rank Area All races and origins Non- Hispanic white Non- Hispanic black Hispanic United States Arkansas Mississippi New Mexico Oklahoma Texas Louisiana Kentucky West Virginia SOURCE: CDC/NCHS, Division of Vital Statistics. Preliminary data.

Projected Increase in Obesity in Texas by Ethnicity, 2006 to Source: Office of the State Demographer projections, using migration scenario population projections

Projected Obesity Prevalence by Texas County, 2010 and % adults with obesity: Office of the State Demographer, Projection

Diabetes Prevalence 21 % adults with diabetes: Office of the State Demographer, Projection

Percent without health insurance, Texas counties, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample,

Estimated number of persons without health insurance, Texas counties, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample,

Demographics and Destiny 24

Contact Office: (512) or (210) Internet: 25 Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.