WP Carey MBA SIM Fund Board Update April 25, 2014.

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Presentation transcript:

WP Carey MBA SIM Fund Board Update April 25, 2014

Agenda Introduction Fund Strategy and Objective Performance and Attribution Passive Portfolios Key Takeaways

SIM Fund MBA Team Greg MillerStefanie JamesRob KaneLucas HawthorneJohn FrenchOwen Thal

Fund Strategy/Objective Underlying theory: rates will remain low over the duration of our investing time frame Fundamental/Quantitative screening Bullish outlook Objectives: Beat our benchmark (Russell 3000) Student learning experience

Performance and Attribution

Portfolio Performance

NUS – Nu Skin Enterprises January 28February 26thDecision Dates:

NUS What to do with a loser?  Options: Double down Sell immediately $ purchase price  Dropped from $ to $84.40 from Jan th  Unforeseen trouble in China Anticipation of the 4 th quarter earnings call

GMCR - Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (Keurig) February 18 March 5thDecision Dates:

GMCR What to do with a winner?  Options: Hold Sell immediately $61.63 purchase price  Reached $ by Feb 20 th with announcement of strategic partnership with Coca Cola Potential loss of value from indecision

MBT – Mobile Telesystems January 23th

AMX – American Movil February 26th

AA – Alcoa, Inc. March 5th

Trades Not Made Hindsight is 20/20  Dodged Bullets  Missed Opportunities External Constraints  Trading Lag  Charter Limitations Internal Constraints  What To Do With Proceeds?  Majority Decision

Committee Decisions Must have Majority Decision  Learning experience: pitching trade ideas Requirements for Trade  Data  Theory Group Roles and Dynamic  Influencers  Skeptics

Stay the Course New Strategies  Income via Dividends  Fed Trade  Reset, Start Fresh Hold cash (market timing)

MAT – Mattel February 14

Palladium Main use today is catalytic converters for cars Strong demand and limited supply Price increasing due to: Strike in South Africa (37% of world's palladium) Sanctions on Russia (the world's largest supplier at 40%)

Palladium Past 6 months: Commodity – Up 10% ETFS Physical Palladium - Up 9% North American Palladium (PAL) - Down 60% Nov 19

Passive Portfolio Performance Passive Portfolio  Returns: 6.61% over benchmark  1.30% over Russell 3000 .21% over active portfolio Alcoa continued to gain after rebalance On March 24 th, Nu Skin was fined less than $.5M by Chinese government resolving uncertainty.

Performance verse Passive Portfolio

Key Takeaways Portfolio dynamics vs Individual stocks Tendencies to sell winners and hold losers No perfect foresight Time Horizon of the portfolio is important

Questions?