The Minnesota State Colleges and Universities System is an Equal Opportunity employer and educator. College and University Program Planning System (CUPPS) Minnesota State Colleges and Universities System SHEEO-NCES Network Conference And IPEDS Workshop April 13, 2005

Slide 2 MINNESOTA LABOR FORCE ESTIMATES (Jan 2004) 2,943,528Labor Force 2,809,535Employment 133,993Unemployment – 4.6%MN Rate – 5.6%U.S. Rate

Slide 3 Degrees, Diplomas & Certificates Minnesota Higher Education Sector FY 2003 Total Awards = 65,903 Source: National Center for Education Statistics

Slide 4 System Purpose Integrate data sources to web-deliver key information for campus program planners. –Focus on responding to regional workforce needs

Slide 5 Development Partners MN Department of Employment and Economic Development MN State Colleges and Universities System –Institution staff –Academic Programs –Research and Planning –Information Technology Services

Slide 6 Business Functions & Customers Functional Areas –Program Planning and Approval –Program Review –Program Accountability –Regional & Institutional Planning End Users –Chief Academic Officers (32) –Academic Deans (165) –Faculty, Institution Researchers –Office of the Chancellor

Slide 7 Key Questions  What new college-level programs could be offered that (a) have a high projected demand for workers, (b) provide a family living wage and (c) are not now offered in this region? Which institutions outside of this region have these programs and could be asked to provide planning information for our new programs? How much competition exists?

Slide 8 Key Questions  What are the supply-demand gaps or overlaps that indicate existing programs should be considered for expansion, reduction, closure, replication or relocation. Do we dominate the market in this program area? To what extent are our graduates getting related jobs, working, or continuing their education? What is the trend? What are their wages?

Slide 9 IT CAN’T: –Reflect all relevant data or adjust for all nuances –Identify needs of a single employer, small geographic region or every occupation –Forecast long-term needs with precision –Identify curriculum changes –Estimate prospective student interest It is NOT the Silver Bullet

Slide 10 Current Data Sources Education Sources  System Program Inventory  System Graduate Follow-up Survey  IPEDS Completions  Student full year equivalent enrollment Labor Sources  Minnesota Salary Survey (Occupational Employment Statistics)  Unemployment Insurance Claimants  Employment Projections  Job Vacancy Survey Labor and Education Sources  Workforce Investment Act (WIA)

Slide 11 Data InformationInventoryIPEDSFYE Graduate Follow-UpWIA Mn Salary Survey UI & Job Vacancy Occupation Projections Program Inventory Market Share Graduate Outcomes Shortage/ Surplus From Data to Information

Slide 12 Program Planning Modules

Slide 13 Program Planning Context

Slide 14 UNITS OF ANALYSIS

Slide 15 JOB SEEKER GAP Unemployment Insurance Claims minus Current Job Vacancies

Slide 16 PROGRAM PLANNER GAP –SUPPLY +UI Claimants +Completers –Less DEMAND +Job Vacancies +Annual Average Growth + Annual Average Replacement Openings

Slide 17 TWO YEAR PROGRAM PLANNER GAP SUPPLY +UI Claimants +Completers x 2 Less DEMAND +Job Vacancies +Annual Average Growth x 2 + Annual Average Replacement Openings x 2

Slide 18 Demonstration College and University Program Planning System (CUPPS)

Slide 19 Future Data Sources Scanning  Chamber of Commerce visits  Future Work: Demographics  K-12 (limited English proficiency, completers, free and reduced lunch, etc.)  Census (population characteristics) Minnesota State Colleges and Universities  Program waiting lists  Graduate migration

Slide 20 Future Considerations Research and Development –Migration of graduates –Units of Analysis: allocation of graduates, etc. –Supply projections GIS –Commute time when planning new programs Additional Data Sources, Charts & Reports –Census Demographics –K-12. Limited English Proficiency, etc. –Student Waiting Lists Deployment –Training and documentation –Update data sources –Maintenance –Evaluation

Slide 21 Contact Information Ron Dreyer System Director for Academic Programs