Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges Use of AB1467 in Southern California Mark Pisano SCAG Executive Director March 24, 2007 CFEE Public Private Partnership Conference

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges Revised Estimate Original Estimate In Million TEU’s (20’ Equivalent Units) Source: POLA, POLB Total LA/Long Beach Container Growth Projected to Triple in 25 Years 25.2

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges “Just-In-Time” Savings The trans-loading of weekly shipments from Asia affords large, nation-wide retailers an 18-20% reduction in their total pipeline plus safety stock inventory compared to direct shipping from Asia. Assuming a 6% average error in nationwide one-week-ahead sales forecasts Leachman & Associates LLC

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges Landside Congestion is Putting Our Advantage in Jeopardy Without improvements, nothing will be moving By 2025 Projected to nearly double

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges The Pollutants it Creates are Putting Our Health in Jeopardy  The mega-region continues to have the worst air quality in the U.S.  Over 5,000 premature deaths a year

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges Source: SCAQMD, Multiple Air Toxics Exposure Study II, March 2000 They comprise 71% of the major pollutants contributing to cancer risk in the South Coast Air Basin Diesel Particulates Are at the Root of the Problem

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges How Are We Going to Attain PM2.5 Reduction Targets? TONS PER DAY Baseline 2014 Reduction NO VOC SO PM2.5 x x Percent (31%) (11%) (57%) (14%)

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges Draft 2007 AQMP Tons/Day Target AQMD Stationary Measures CARB’s Strategy Unknown NO Attainment x

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges Draft 2007 AQMP Tons/Day NO Target AQMD Stationary Measures CARB’s Strategy AQMD Additional Measures Unknown OZONE Attainment x

Alameda Corridor East Alameda Corridor East-West Corridor More tracks, alternative routes, grade crossings Colton Hobart

AB1467  Authorizes regional transportation agencies to enter into agreements with public and private entities to develop goods movement projects.  User fees, including tolls, may be used to pay for the projects.  Two in north and two in south.

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges Proposed High-Speed System IOS & LAX & SBD 81 miles 6 stations $11 billion capital cost $110 million annual O&M IOS & LAX & Ports & SBD 99 miles 6 stations $19 billion capital cost $296 million annual O&M 4 to 13 million TEUs

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges Proposed Truck Lane System I miles East/West 37.8 miles I miles 2 Lanes in Each Direction Capital Cost: $16.5 billion Potential Fee Structure: $60 - $70 (per FEU) + $0.86/mile toll Center Lane Miles: 142 Average Trip Length: 37 miles Average San Pedro Bay Port Trips in 2030: 142,003 New Vehicles with 2 or more containers

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges Use of AB1467 in Southern California Mark Pisano SCAG Executive Director March 24, 2007