Risk Management

2 Policy and planning Key Messages Assess all likely risks, be prepared and practice. Structure the risk management process simply and avoid too much complexity. Include people from all government sectors & civil society. Clarify lines of authority & communication, and practice. Ensure top level management support and commitment.

3 Policy and planning Natural Disasters in Mongolia Drought Epidemic Extreme Temperature Flood Storm Wildfire

4 Policy and planning Number of events23 Number of people killed268 Average killed per year9 No of people affected3,259,092 Average affected per year105,132 Economic Damage (MNT X 1,000,000)3,505,916 Economic Damage per year (MNT X 1,000,000) 113,094 Natural Disasters in Mongolia

5 Policy and planning Natural Disasters in Mongolia Drought 13.8% Extreme Temperature 23.6% Storm 61.7% People affected: 3,259,092

6 Policy and planning Risk reduction and emergency preparedness are the responsibility of all sectors at all levels, and of all national actors Risk reduction and emergency preparedness are part of the development process. An all-hazard approach is essential Emergency preparedness requires a multisectoral approach. Risk management principles

7 Policy and planning Prepare for the full range of likely risks: natural, biological, technological and societal Different hazards cause similar problems Planning, early warning, health services, evacuation, intersectoral coordination, and community recovery are usually implemented along the same model regardless of cause. All-Hazard approach

8 Policy and planning dealing with death and injury; coordination, information and support services environmental health: water & sanitation nutrition maternal, newborn and child health communicable diseases control management of chronic diseases & mental health pharmaceuticals and biologicals health care delivery services Emergency preparedness plans must include:

Features of Risk Events The extent of the negative effect of the event. Impact The anticipated frequency of this event. Likelihood The extent to which the source of risk is under the control of the community. Controllable The extent to which risk events arise from the functional design and the strategic relationships between decision-makers and actors. Structural The extent to which risk events arise from day-to-day decision-making and activities. Operational

10 Policy and planning Assessing Risk Risk is proportional to:Hazard x Vulnerability Level of Preparedness

Leadership for Risk Management STEP 1: Risk Content and Identification STEP 2: Risk Assessment STEP 3: Risk Treatment STEP 4: Risk & Performance Monitoring STEP 5: Incident Handling ●Define the context of the supply chain, (funding, product, classification, target population) ●Identify sources of risk ●Recruit stakeholders ●Analyze likelihood and impact ●Develop consensus ●Select priority areas ●Select response strategies (accepting, avoiding, reducing, hedging) ●Develop a risk treatment plan ●Review sources of information ●Collect information on high- priority areas ●Select a quick response team ●Monitor incidents ●Develop specific and general contingency plans ●Document lessons learned

12 Policy and planning What can go wrong in management of risk or an emergency? Unclear lines of authority - quickly need to set up a structure for who is responsible. Unclear communication - who is responsible for talking to the public, to the press, to higher ups in the government Transparency - as Shakespeare says 'the truth will out' - it is better for you to out it than for someone else to Practice/simulation – in the recent Korean ferry disaster, with hundreds of deaths, the crews have never practiced or been trained in how to deal with an emergency – don’t let that happen in your Aimag!

13 Policy and planning Be ready to deal with likely risks Assess all likely risks, be prepared and practice. Structure the risk management process simply and avoid too much complexity. Include people from all government sectors & civil society. Clarify lines of authority & communication, and practice. Ensure top level management support and commitment.

Thank you