Marketing 4411 Case 6 T Malisa Chhuon Demetre Christou Blair Stewart 1
AGENDA Assumptions Business Case Resale Business Plan IMC Plan 2
ASSUMPTIONS Marketing team from BDM Properties Developer wants to abandon retail-mixed use project by November 30 th,2010 Mitigate risk / loss and avoid 2% surtax Sell land and build-out plans to a developer 3
Action Plan Measure & Evaluate Act Plan 4 Past 7 days have shown economic changes affecting cost of money Must re-evaluate strategy
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BUSINESS CASE Market Updates Comparative sites Go Criteria 6
7 Market Update GO CRITERIA UPDATE GO Criteria dependent on: 1.Is there a need for serviced land within this market? North Surrey (South Whalley) 2.Can we mitigate risk & loss?
NEW DEFINITION Market and sell serviced land Include development proposal Justifies land-price increase 8
Economical Prime rate has increased to 3.25% Canadian banks raise prime rate by 1.25% Mortgage rates increased by 1.25% Commercial mortgage: Median rate is at 5.25% Jan 1, 2010 – 2% surtax on all Real Estate transactions MARKET UPDATE
Social Consumer confidence in British Columbia: 92.8 points 8.3% from points Canada consumer confidence 84.8 points Fell 7.8 points MARKET UPDATE
FUEL Interest Rates: Prime – 3.25% 5 Year – 6.25% 11 Market Update COST OF MONEY
Cap Rates Retail: 6.3% - 6.8% Office: 5.7% - 7.4% Rising interest rates = Rising cap rates Must be taken into consideration when re- evaluating contingency plans 12
Market Update COMPARISONS th Ave Size SF: 15,768 $725,000 $45.97 / sq.ft King George Hwy Size SF: 102,366 $6,480,000 $63.30/ sq.ft rd St Size SF: 43,560 $3,995,000 $91.71 / sq.ft
LAND COST - ASSUMPTION Maximum we were willing to pay (13% Profit): $4,200, Amount we paid for the property in April, 2010: $3,000, $69.52per square foot Median of comparables: $63.30per square foot Close to our location Not a corner lot Further north (Whalley) More competition within area $600, higher than assessed value 14
15 BUSINESS CASE “GO” CRITERIA GO Criteria: Is there a need? Can risk be mitigated? YES OCP suggest need for more commercial businesses; our land is favourably zoned to accommodate the need Comparisons show that owner can still recover investment costs. Potential for profit.
BUSINESS CASE Summary 16 Market Update Comparative sites Go Criteria
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BUSINESS PLAN 18 Vision Execution Plan Contingency Plan Measurement & Evaluation Action Plan
BUSINESS PLAN Vision 19 To Market and Sell: Serviced bare-land in Whalley to a developer for $4,280,000 Include build out development proposal which reflects our end price UVP: Unique build-out plans and favorably zoned property located strategically in up and coming community
BUSINESS PLAN Financial Strategy 20 Financial Summary Budget Price per sq.ft % of Project Cost Land Cost $ 4,280,000 $ % Development/Construction hard cost $ 24,190,000 $ % Soft and financing costs $ 4,500,000 $ % Profit $ 4,000,000 $ % Marketing costs $ 935,000 $ 6.572% Contingency $ 1,270,000 $ 8.953% Total $ 39,175, $ %
BUSINESS PLAN Financial Strategy 21 Financial Summary Budget per sqft of gross floor area % of Project Cost Land Cost $ 3,000,000 $ % Financing costs $ 130,700 $ 0.923% Profit $ 958,560 $ % Marketing costs $ 190,740 $ 1.344% Total $ 4,280, $ %
BUSINESS PLAN Contingency Plan 22 PLAN B Sell land at $3,750,000 Decrease profit to 10% Increase developer profit to 12% Sell land at $3,200,000 Increase in developer profit to 13%
BUSINESS PLAN Contingency Plan 23 PLAN C If market conditions turn favourable Example: Increasing lease rates, lower interest rates, etc. Reassess and possibly build-out according to original plan
BUSINESS PLAN Measurement / Evaluation 24 Measure & Evaluate Act Plan
Project Timeline Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Task Market Research Land Acquisition Project Design Land Survey Municipal Approval Marketing BUSINESS PLAN Action Plan 25
BUSINESS PLAN Summary 26 Vision Execution Strategy Contingency Plans Measurement & Evaluation Action Plan (Timeline)
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IMC PLAN 28 The Six P’s Target Markets Market Target Budget Analysis Measure & Evaluate
IMC PLAN Target Markets 29 Private Investors Focus on Real Estate Qualified Financial and Market Experienced Seeking new investment Opportunities Private Investors Focus on Real Estate Qualified Financial and Market Experienced Seeking new investment Opportunities Trusts & Syndicates Focus on acquisitions + Leasing Based in Vancouver Diverse portfolio Retail, Industrial, Office Seeking new investment Opportunities Trusts & Syndicates Focus on acquisitions + Leasing Based in Vancouver Diverse portfolio Retail, Industrial, Office Seeking new investment Opportunities Local Developers Focus on acquisitions + Leasing Based in Vancouver Diverse portfolio Retail, Industrial, Office Seeking new investment Opportunities Local Developers Focus on acquisitions + Leasing Based in Vancouver Diverse portfolio Retail, Industrial, Office Seeking new investment Opportunities
IMC PLAN Target Market 30 Market Target #1 Development Companies Market Target #1 Development Companies
IMC PLAN Target Market 31 Potential Investors Simon Property GroupBucci Group General Growth PropertiesCBL & Associates Properties Inc. Kimco Realty CorpMills Corp. Developers Diversified RealtyTerrex Real Estate Group The Inland Real Estate Group of CosAnthem Properties Onni GroupPorte Realty Macerich Co.Westfield America
IMC PLAN Market Target 32 Simon Property GroupBucci Group General Growth PropertiesCBL & Associates Properties Inc. Kimco Realty CorpMills Corp. Developers Diversified RealtyTerrex Real Estate Group The Inland Real Estate Group of CosAnthem Properties Onni GroupPorte Realty Macerich Co.Westfield America Potential Investors
IMC PLAN Market Target 33 Developer / Development Manager / Project Managers Retail, Commercial, & Residential portfolio Experience and success in Surrey Company Principals are knowledgeable and successful Panorama Place (Mixed use Retail and Office) 152 nd and King George Hwy Panorama Place (Mixed use Retail and Office) 152 nd and King George Hwy
IMC PLAN Market Target 34 Developed similar projects Based in Vancouver Focus on income-producing real estate Diverse portfolio Retail, Industrial, Office,
IMC PLAN Market Target 35 Diverse development portfolio Similar developments in our area (Guildford) Opportunistic developers Successful developments in GVRD (including Surrey)
IMC PLAN Market Target 36 40+ years of experience in GVRD Diverse portfolio Experience in Surrey 10+ commercial properties in GVRD Successful track record
IMC PLAN Budget Analysis 37 Marketing Creative$10,000 Advertising/Printing/Signage$20,000 Commission (3%)$85,600 Miscellaneous (Car, Insurance, Gas, Cellphone)$15,000 Contingency (10%)$13,060 Total Marketing Costs $143,660
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IMC PLAN Measure & Evaluate 41 Measure & EvaluateActPlan
IMC PLAN Summary 42 The Six P’s Target Markets Market Target Budget Analysis Measure & Evaluate
CONCLUSION 43 Business Case Business Plan IMC Strategy