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Presentation transcript:

Terminal Value

Fold (higher-order function) 1 Folds are in a sense dual to Unfold (higher- order function)|unfolds, which take a seed value and apply a function corecursion|corecursively to decide how to progressively construct a corecursive data structure, whereas a fold recursively breaks that structure down, replacing it with the results of applying a combining function at each node on its Terminal and nonterminal symbols|terminal values and the recursive results (catamorphism as opposed to anamorphism of unfolds).

Arthur Samuel - Computer checkers (draughts) development 1 In what he called rote learning, the program remembered every position it had already seen, along with the terminal value of the reward function

Intrinsic value (ethics) - Other names 1 Other names for intrinsic value are 'terminal value', 'essential value', 'principle value' or 'ultimate importance'.

Perth Airport - Intrastate terminal: T2 1 Construction commenced during late 2011, with combined works to deliver the new terminal valued at $120 million (2010). This will significantly reduce activity in the domestic precinct, further improving the experience for Qantas and Virgin Australia customers and facilitating continued growth for these airlines.

Terminal value (finance) 1 In finance, the 'terminal value' (continuing value or horizon value) of a Security (finance)|security is the present value at a future point in time of all future cash flows when we expect stable growth rate forever

Terminal value (finance) 1 Thus, the terminal value allows for the inclusion of the value of future cash flows occurring beyond a several-year projection period while satisfactorily mitigating many of the problems of valuing such cash flows. The terminal value is calculated in accordance with a stream of projected future free cash flows in discounted cash flow analysis. For whole-company Valuation (finance)|valuation purposes, there are two methodologies used to calculate the Terminal Value.

Terminal value (finance) - Perpetuity Growth Model 1 To determine the present value of the terminal value, one must discount the Terminal Value at T0 by a factor equal to the number of years included in the initial projection period. If N is the 5th and final year in this period, then the Terminal Value is divided by (1 + k)5. The Present Value of the Terminal Value is then added to the PV of the free cash flows in the projection period to arrive at an implied enterprise value.

Terminal value (finance) - Perpetuity Growth Model 1 If the growth rate in perpetuity is not constant, a multiple-stage terminal value is calculated. The terminal growth rate can be negative, if the company in question is assumed to disappear in the future.

Terminal value (finance) - Exit Multiple Approach 1 The Present Value of the Terminal Value is then added to the PV of the free cash flows in the projection period to arrive at an implied Enterprise Value

Terminal value (finance) - Comparison of Methodologies 1 Such analytics result in a terminal value based on operating statistics present in a proven market for similar transactions

Terminal value (finance) - Comparison of Methodologies 1 In practice, academics tend to use the Perpetuity Growth Model, while investment bankers favor the Exit Multiple approach. Ultimately, these methods are two different ways of saying the same thing. For both terminal value approaches, it is essential to use a range of appropriate discount rates, exit multiples and perpetuity growth rates in order to establish a functional valuation range.

Residual income valuation - Valuation formula 1 Then, assuming long-run, constant, growth g from year m, the terminal value is

Residual income valuation - Comparison with other valuation methods 1 Further, value is recognized earlier under the RI approach, since a large part of the stock's intrinsic value is recognized immediately - current book value per share - and residual income valuations are thus less sensitive to terminal value

Adjusted present value - APV formula 1 APV = Unlevered NPV of Free Cash Flows and assumed Terminal Value + NPV of Interest Tax Shield and assumed Terminal Value

Adjusted present value - APV formula 1 + PV of terminal value

Camera Link - Transmission protocol 1 the data counter has reached its terminal value.

Perpetuities 1 The concept is closely linked to Terminal value (finance)|terminal value and terminal growth rate in Valuation (finance)|valuation.

Time-weighted return - Internal Rate of Return 1 One of these methods is the internal rate of return. Like the true time-weighted return method, the internal rate of return is also based on a compounding principle. It is the discount rate that will set the net present value of all external flows and the terminal value equal to the value of the initial investment. However, solving the equation to find an estimate of the internal rate of return generally requires an iterative numerical method.

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