Marie Savina-Rolland, Roland Pitcher, Beth Fulton, Rebecca Gorton, Ian McLeod, Scott Condie WEALTH FROM OCEANS Implementing the end-to-end ecosystem model.

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Presentation transcript:

Marie Savina-Rolland, Roland Pitcher, Beth Fulton, Rebecca Gorton, Ian McLeod, Scott Condie WEALTH FROM OCEANS Implementing the end-to-end ecosystem model Atlantis on the Great Barrier Reef.

ICRS conference Cairns| 09/07/ | The Great Barrier Reef Largest coral reef ecosystem Biodiversity/ Habitats/ Species of interest National significance International significance

ICRS conference Cairns| 09/07/ | The Great Barrier Reef Threats Land use Increasing sediment input High inputs of nutrients Pesticides Uses Commercial marine tourism Fishing Ports and shipping Defence Recreation... Climate change sea level rise potential changes in cyclone activity increase in sea water temperature increase in ocean acidity

ICRS conference Cairns| 09/07/ | Atlantis

ICRS conference Cairns| 09/07/ | Atlantis System understanding sensitivity analysis model complexity What-if scenarios river flows fisheries protected areas...

ICRS conference Cairns| 09/07/ | Atlantis Sampling and monitoring strategies Assessments

ICRS conference Cairns| 09/07/ | Atlantis First stage

ICRS conference Cairns| 09/07/ | The Atlantis GBR 108 boxes (9 boundary boxes) Bathymetry Benthic assemblages (Pitcher et al, 2007) IMCRA 4.0 provincial bioregions Up to 6 vertical layers

ICRS conference Cairns| 09/07/ | The Atlantis GBR from Pitcher et al, 2007

ICRS conference Cairns| 09/07/ | The Atlantis GBR Forcings transport 4km SHOC GBR model (CMAR/AIMS) 9 boundary boxes: Tº, S, nutrients, plankton 35 rivers: TSS, NH3, NO3, DON, Tº Irradiance

ICRS conference Cairns| 09/07/ | The Atlantis GBR From the GBR outlook report 2009 Deterministic N currency Age structured groups (N and W– reproduction) Biomass pools Processes: Consumption Production Waste production Migration and other mvts Predation Reproduction Habitat dependency Fishing and other mortalities Modularity

ICRS conference Cairns| 09/07/ | The Atlantis GBR

ICRS conference Cairns| 09/07/ | Perspectives  Functional groups  New functionalities (coral reefs – depth subscaling)  Parameterisation  Calibration

CSIRO MARINE AND ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH Thank you CMAR Marie Savina-Rolland t