Using Recursion in Models and Decision Making MAMDM4a-b

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Presentation transcript:

Using Recursion in Models and Decision Making MAMDM4a-b January 8 and 9

What is Recursion? Recursion (A.K.A. Iteration): the determination of a succession of elements (as numbers or functions) by operation on one or more preceding elements according to a rule or formula involving a finite number of steps Example : Given the rule Add 5 then multiply by 2 find the first 6 terms. Note first term =1 1,12,,34,78,166,342

Math 1 and 2 Sequence Review Arithmetic Geometric Recursive: an=an-1+d Explicit an=a1+d(n-1) or an=dn+a0 Recursive: gn=r·gn-1 Explicit gn=g1·r(n-1)

What is a Scatterplot? A scatterplot is a graph of plotted points that show the relationship between two sets of data.

Scatter plots show association or correlation and strength Positive As x goes up y goes up As x goes down y goes down Weak Positive Strong Positive

Negative As x goes up y goes down As x goes down y goes up Strong Negative Weak Negative

No Correlation

Correlation does not imply causation Correlation: the relationship between two variables Causation: the relationship of cause to effect. Is there is a causation then one variable causes the other to occur. In an observational study, good evidence of causation requires: a strong association that appears consistently in several studies, a clear explanation for the claimed causal link, and a careful examination of possible lurking variables. Just because there is a correlation it does not mean that one variable causes the other to occur. It means there needs to be further study to determine causation.

Most scatterplots you are used to are linear.

Lets look at some Non linear Scatter plots Exponential Growth Decay

Non linear Scatter plots Logistic Levels off Sinusodal Up and down like sea waves

When analyzing bivariate statistics, consider Form: Linear or NonLinear Pattern Direction: Positive, Negative or no relationship Relative Strength: data points tightly clustered together along line or curve (strong) or scattered (weak)