Efficiency Energy for the Future Modeling Energy and Sustainable Growth: Lessons from California April 22, 2005 City Club of Berkeley Arthur H. Rosenfeld,

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
1 Energy Efficiency and Iowa Utilities Presentation to the Energy Policy Advisory Forum, convened by Governor-Elect Chet Culver January 4, 2007 Presented.
Advertisements

NREL is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, operated by the Alliance for Sustainable.
Gene Rodrigues Director of Customer Energy Efficiency & Solar Southern California Edison Less is More: SEE Action and the Power of Efficiency NARUC February.
Energy Efficiency and Arizona’s Energy Future Jeff Schlegel Southwest Energy Efficiency Project (SWEEP) April
Connecticut’s Energy Future Removing Barriers to Promote Energy Sustainability: Public Policy and Financing December 2, 2004 Legislative Office Building.
How Energy Efficiency and Demand Response can Help Air Quality Presentation to the California Electricity and Air Quality Conference October 3, 2006 Mary.
Energy Conservation A Major Part of the Solution to Energy Generation and Global Warming Dennis Silverman U. C. Irvine Physics and Astronomy.
Katrina Pielli U.S. Environmental Protection Agency CHP Partnership
China’s Sustainable Energy Policy
Power Utilities in the Telecom Business in the USA: Past Failures and Future Trends Mike Oldak Vice President & General Counsel Utilities Telecom Council.
Greening The Grid Through Community Choice Aggregation US EPA Webinar March 6, 2012.
Energy Efficiency: The first and most profitable way to delay Climate Change UCLA Institute of the Environment Oppenheim Lecture February 25, 2008 Arthur.
Conservation & Demand Management July 2004 – September 2007 Joyce McLean Director, Strategic Issues Toronto Hydro
Michael Eckhart Managing Director Global Head of Environmental Finance Corporate & Investment Banking Citigroup Capital Markets, Inc.
ORECA Director Education Conference June 2, 2015 Jeff Beaman, Member Services Director Central Electric Cooperative The Road to Community Solar.
Scaling Up Energy Efficiency in India: Opportunities in the Electricity Sector Dr. Jayant Sathaye, Dr. Amol Phadke and Ranjit Bharvirkar Energy Analysis.
World Energy Perspectives and Consequences for Europe
Partnering with Our Customers in Demand Side Management Mark Wallenrod Director DSM Program Operations Southern California Edison Southern California Energy.
LESSON 6 How Business Angel and Venture Capital evaluate investments
Agenda Why we exist History & Achievements Triple bottom line impacts Programs/Services Discussion & Questions.
The Australian Wind Energy Association Clean Power. Clean Air. Australian Wind Energy Market Update Andrew Richards President, Auswind EWEC 06 Athens.
Selling Residential Solar—A Market Based Approach Presented by: Gerald Bernstein, Stanford Transportation Group and Claire Starry, TDS Economics Presented.
Developing and Integrated Energy Conservation and Renewable Strategy Renewable Energy Leadership Summit June 7, 2005 Lenox, MA.
How the State of California Can Play A Greater Role in Addressing Global Warming Leonard Robinson – Chief Deputy Director California Department of Toxic.
Center for Renewable Energy Research and Environmental Stewardship CRERES November 6, 2009.
The NEED Project National Energy Education Development.
LONG TERM ELECTRICAL SUPPLY PLAN STAFF RESPONSE TO QUESTIONS, ISSUES, AND RECOMMENDATIONS MADE IN NOVEMBER 2004 Presentation to the Gainesville City Commission.
POTENTIAL AND STRATEGIES FOR DEMAND SIDE MANAGEMENT Dr. Ajay Mathur Director General, Bureau of Energy Efficiency.
A Year’s Progress and Promise for the Future. State Leadership Center for Climate Strategies.
US Experience with Incentives for Energy- Efficient and “Fortified” New Buildings:-- Some Possible Lessons for Turkey GYODer, Istanbul 2 May, 2006 Arthur.
Demand-Side Management Models & Practices in California Innovating for Sustainable Results: Integrated Approaches for Energy, Climate, and the Environment.
Technology Opportunities from California 1. Smart Grid and Demand Response 2. Cool Roofs: from Cool Cities to a Cooler World Arthur H. Rosenfeld, Commissioner.
Power Assoc. of Northern California Climate Change (and energy bills) The Problems are the US and China A Partial Solution is California Arthur H. Rosenfeld,
Arthur Rosenfeld, California Energy Commission Gregory Rosenquist, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory C. Keith Rice, Oak Ridge National Laboratory ARI.
Energy Efficiency Action Plan Kathleen Hogan Director, Climate Protection Partnerships Division U.S. Environmental Protection Agency NARUC Winter Meetings.
The Economics of Climate Change Policy By: Dr. Margo Thorning, Ph.D. Senior Vice President and Chief Economist American Council for Capital Formation Washington,
New York State System Benefits Charge (SBC) – NGA Center for Best Practices April 29, 2004 Bob Callender Vice President for Programs NYSERDA.
C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Energy Efficient Buildings In California by Randel R. Riedel Residential Buildings & Appliances Office.
Efficiency Energy for the Future Sustainable Development, Step 1 Reduce Worldwide Energy Intensity by 2% Per Year Talk at Global Energy International Prize.
Energy Efficiency: The first and most profitable way to delay Climate Change Law Seminars International ENERGY IN CALIFORNIA Sept. 22, 2008 Arthur H. Rosenfeld,
Improving Energy Efficiency U.S. and West Coast Joint Commissions Energy Efficiency Workshops December 1, 2006 Arthur H. Rosenfeld, Commissioner California.
DR issues in California discussed last year in March Historical DR in California: some background issues –Twenty years of programs/tariffs I/C and AC cycling.
Successes of Energy Efficiency: The United States and California National Environmental Trust May 2, 2007 Arthur H. Rosenfeld, Commissioner California.
Efficiency Energy for the Future Energy Future of the West: (1) Demand Response and Dynamic Pricing; (2) Energy Use and Sustainable Growth Utility Energy.
KEEPING CALIFORNIA GOLDEN THROUGH CLEAN, AFFORDABLE TRANSPORTATION March 17, 2015 Senate Transportation and Housing Committee Environmental Quality Committee.
CALIFORNIA ENERGY COMMISSION Comments on Air Pollution and Electricity Generation and Use Terry Surles California Energy Commission April 26, 2002.
Efficiency Energy for the Future From the Lab to the Marketplace: The Role of California’s Energy Policies California Lighting and Technology Center 2.
11/29/00 – 12/01/00 NSF Workshop on Sustainable Energy Technologies Solar-Electric Power: Road to a Clean, Secure Energy Future James Gee 1 and Roland.
California’s Public Interest Energy Research Program Vice Chair David A. Rohy, Ph.D. California Energy Commission February 1, 1999.
Government’s Evolving Role in Resource Planning and Environmental Protection Arthur H. Rosenfeld, Commissioner California Energy Commission April 19, 2002.
The Economics of Climate Change Policy Prepared for: CEO Climate Change Task Force Meeting American Public Power Association Washington, D.C. December.
From the Lab to the Market to Standards The Role of California Energy Policy California Lighting Technology Center 1 Nov ===================================
Finding Our Voice with Shareholders © 2011San Diego Gas & Electric Company. All copyright and trademark rights reserved. Caroline Winn VP Customer Services.
ACEEE ’ s 4 th National Conference Energy Efficiency as a Resource September 30 - October 2, 2007 Berkeley Arthur H. Rosenfeld, Commissioner California.
Efficiency Energy for the Future Sustainable Development Reducing Energy Intensity by 2% Per Year Energy PMP International Seminar on Planetary Emergencies.
0 Dr. Peter Frey │ SOLARVALLEY MITTELDEUTSCHLAND │ Paris, 14. April 2011 PV production in Germany - threats & opportunities Dr. Peter Frey, CEO Solar Valley.
Empowering Land Conservation With Solar Energy Welcome!
BGE Smart Grid Initiative Stakeholder Meeting September 17, 2009 Wayne Harbaugh, Vice President, Pricing and Regulatory Services.
Mickey Oros Altergy Systems Sr. Vice President – Business Development Chairman, Industry Advisory Panel National Hydrogen Association Keynote Session 2:
Heavy Industry Program Lockheed Martin BPS/EES Industrial Sector Energy Efficiency Programs Presented By Patrick McCarthy at the MD-PSC Maryland Energy.
Energy Efficiency in California— Why We Should All Be Proud of What We Do Otherwise what we in the energy business call the “Rosenfield slides” October.
Solar in NYC – Pratt SOLAR ENERGY SYSTEMS David Buckner President
The first fuel to combat climate change. Energy efficiency www
16th Renewable Energy Summit
The Opportunity for CHP in the United States
Distributed Solar Energy California´s Experience
State Allocation Board Hearing Solar Energy and Energy Efficiency Project Options for California Schools Mark Johnson, Energy Solutions Manager - Schools.
Energy Efficiency as a Resource for the Electric Utility Industry
REVIEW OF KENYA ENERGY MIX FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
New England Economic Partnership James Daly Vice President Energy Supply Energy Market Perspectives Reliable Energy, Competitive Prices and.
Presentation transcript:

Efficiency Energy for the Future Modeling Energy and Sustainable Growth: Lessons from California April 22, 2005 City Club of Berkeley Arthur H. Rosenfeld, Commissioner California Energy Commission (916)

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 2 California Peak Power Demand:Planned in 1974, and Actual to 1984 Goldstein and Rosenfeld, at Calif. Energy Commission, Dec. 1975

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 3 0

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 4 Californians have a net savings of $1,000/family

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 5

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 6

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 7 Source: David Goldstein 1 st Federal Stds ‘92

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 8 Source: David Goldstein

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 9 The Value of Energy Saved and Produced and $/kWh) Billion $ per year Energy Saved from 150 M Refrig/Freezers at 2001 efficiency Nuclear Conventional Hydro Existing Renewables Btu/kWh 100 Million Rooftop PV 1kW

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 10 Impact of Standards on Efficiency of 3 Appliances Source: S. Nadel, ACEEE, in ECEEE 2003 Summer Study, 75% 60% 25%

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 11

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page GW 200 GW 100 GW of U.S. Nuclear Power Stations

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 13 Costs and Pollution Saved by Avoiding a 50% expansion of California Electric System. uAvoids 18 Million tons/year of Carbon uEquivalent to getting 12 million cars off the road, –along with their NOx, CO, and particulate emissions. uCalifornia has ~25 million motor vehicles, –avoided 50% more equivalent pollution. uThe Pavley bill, starting in model year ’09, should start to reduce another 30%. uCalifornia annual electric bill in 2004 ~ $30 Billion uAvoided ~$16 Billion of bills, but net saving is only ~$12Billion/year, i.e. $1000/family.

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 14 Public Interest Energy Strategies –CEC # F GWh Impacts from Programs Begun Prior to ,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40, GWH Utility Programs: at a cost of ~1% of Electric Bill Building Standards Appliance Standards ~ 14% of Annual Use in California

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 15 United States Refrigerator Use (Actual) and Estimated Household Standby Use v. Time Average Energy Use per Unit Sold (kWh per year) Refrigerator Use per Unit 1978 Cal Standard 1990 Federal Standard 1987 Cal Standard 1980 Cal Standard 1993 Federal Standard 2001 Federal Standard Estimated Standby Power (per house)

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 16

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 17 United States

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 18 or $6000/family

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 19 Annual Rate of Change in Energy/GDP for the United States International Energy Agency (IEA) and EIA (Energy Information Agency) -6% -5% -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% IEA dataEIA data - 2.7% Average = - 0.7% - 3.4%

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 20 Annual Rate of Change in Energy/Gross State Product for California (Sources: EIA and California Department of Finance) -7.0% -6.0% -5.0% -4.0% -3.0% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% Average = -1.0% -4.5% -3.9%

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page year annual growth was 1.7%

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 22 Source: Stabilization Wedges: Pacala and Socolow, Science Vol 305, page 968 Growth = 1.5%/yr

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 23

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 24 Demand Response and Interval Electricity Meters uCurrently large customers have interval meters, mandatory time-of-use pricing, and limited participation in interruptible programs uStarting Summer 2006, these customers expected to be put on default Critical Peak Pricing (CPP) tariffs in IOU areas uAlso in 2006, PG&E and SDG&E expect to begin installation of interval meters for electricity customers and will relay gas use and will offer CPP to customers will meters uInstallation to take several years during which time SCE plans to follow suit uCEC will define communicating thermostats which can be programmed to response to CPP and for grid protection

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 25 Time dependent valuation (TDV) prices vary over the year uAlthough TDV prices in some hours exceed 50 ¢/kWh, annual average TDV price equals ~15 ¢/kWh

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 26 Cost of Conserved Energy (CEE) can also be used to evaluate designs CEE = Cost of Conserved Energy Δ$ AC = Consumer price increase due to hot/dry AC design CRR = Capital recovery rate; set at 10% per year ΔkWh per year = Annual energy savings due to hot/dry AC design

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 27 The California Clean Energy Fund (CalCEF) –Non-profit, public benefit, evergreen fund –Established as a result of the Settlement Agreement between PG&E and the California Public Utilities Commission –Mission is create an investment vehicle that serves as a catalyst to advance California’s clean energy agenda –Board of Directors blends public policy makers, investment professionals, and science and technology experts A new $30 million fund formed to make equity investments in clean energy technology companies in California

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 28 Board of Directors uMichael R. Peevey (Chairman) –President, California Public Utilities Commission. uRalph Cavanagh –Co-Director, Natural Resource Defense Council (NRDC) energy program. Member U.S. Secretary of Energy Advisory Board, uJonathan Foster –General Counsel/VP Corporate Development, Atempo. Former deputy director of White House Office of Science and Technology Policy. uTom Jacoby –Founder/President Columbia Consulting Company; Director, Homeland Energy Resources Development Corp., Director, Environmental Entrepreneurs. uMark Levine –Director, Environmental Energy Technologies Division (EETD), LBNL uNancy E. Pfund –Managing Director, JPMorgan. Co-head JPMorgan’s $75M Bay Area Equity Fund. uArthur Rosenfeld, PhD –Commissioner, California Energy Commission; Emeritus Professor of Physics, UC Berkeley uMason Willrich –Board of Governors, Cal-ISO, Former Nth Power partner; director of Evergreen Solar, founder and chairman of EnergyWorks LLC. uJohn Woolard –Vice President of Strategy and Business Development of Itron, Inc. Co-founded and former CEO of Silicon Energy.

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 29 Experienced Investment Managers uVantagePoint Venture Partners Active multi-stage investor with more than $2.8 billion in capital under management uDraper Fisher Jurvetson* Early stage venture capital firm pursuing clean energy investment strategy uNth Power* Dedicated exclusively to high potential investments resulting from the restructuring of the global energy industry *Investment manager matching turns $30 million into $50 million

Efficiency Energy for the Future Arthur Rosenfeld, page 30 Broad Future Objectives –Grow Fund. Raise additional equity in current fund. Add strategic partners. –Earliest Stage Investment Catalyst. Find creative mechanisms for supporting high risk but promising clean energy investments. Partner with universities to create an environment of excellence. –Use Convening Power. Promote leadership in clean energy technology. Attract additional investment to California. –Project Finance. Create new solutions and new partnerships to address clean energy project finance.