STEP-CHANGE Sustainable Transport Evidence & Modelling Paradigms: Cohort Household Analysis to Support New Goals in Engineering Design ‘an empirically.

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STEP-CHANGE Sustainable Transport Evidence & Modelling Paradigms: Cohort Household Analysis to Support New Goals in Engineering Design ‘an empirically grounded frame for the modelling of transformational futures’ Institute for Transport Studies

Context Policy need to promote step-change towards more sustainable futures, especially in transport/travel. Limited evidence of what brings about long-term behavioural change in travel/transport. Existing transport surveys focus on marginal trade- offs, not major qualitative change. Existing mathematical models for city transport planning focus on stable situations/slow change. Challenge: Need for new evidence and models.

Vision To achieve a deep, fundamental integration of social scientific and engineering methodologies: –State-of-the-art, qualitative, longitudinal survey instruments & analytical methods for eliciting and understanding behavioural change. –‘Vision’- based planning paradigms for designing resilient urban futures for –Develop innovative mathematical modelling theories and methods. –To produce as outputs both planning methods and an evidence-base, for future exploitation by the research community and practitioners.

Interconnecting Research Strands 1.Qualitative, Longitudinal Cohort Study 2.Historical Information on Step Changes 3.Integrating Diverse Knowledge Sources 4.Planning for Urban Resilience in Development of New Transport Modelling Paradigms

Project Structure

Methodological Innovation innovative nature of the panel importance of qualitative research in a mixed-methods frame focusing on the structures, relationships and contingencies of everyday life for understanding behavioural contexts and processes innovation is in the mix

Multi-/Inter-/Trans-Disciplinary Approach Research Process (developed from: Julie Thompson Klein

Project Team A strong interdisciplinary collaboration between two internationally leading research centres: –Institute for Transport Studies (ITS), a major EPSRC- supported centre for studying transport sustainability & modelling, and with extensive end-user engagement. –Centre for Research on Socio-Cultural Change (CRESC) a major ESRC research centre focusing on temporal, behavioural change in qualitative and quantitative data. Momentum for this project from –CRESC’s ESRC Qualitative Research Laboratory –ITS’s EPSRC Transport Modelling Platform Grant –ITS/CRESC collaboration in ITS-led EPSRC project “Visions of the role of walking & cycling in 2030”

Collaborations Academic Visitors  Prof Forsyth (Cornell, USA): planning paradigms  Dr Woodcock (LSHTM): impacts & evidence Academic Project Partners  Prof Neale: link to ESRC Timescapes data/study  Dr Bishop (ESDS Qualidata): existing qualitative sources  Prof Elliot (Centre for Longitudinal Studies): analysis Non-Academic Project Partners  Leeds & Manchester LAs: eg assistance with surveys  Wider local authority involvement, eg York support  Department for Transport, CABE: steering group

STEP-CHANGE Sustainable Transport Evidence & modelling Paradigms: Cohort Household Analysis to support New Goals in Engineering design ‘an empirically grounded frame for the modelling of transformational futures’ Institute for Transport Studies

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