What of the future? Gabriel Martinez, Ph.D. Ave Maria University August 2007 14,000 3.4% 0.6%

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

National Economic Conditions John Weinberg August 11, 2010.

Advertisements

CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE Billions of 2005 Dollars Real Gross Domestic Product Gross Domestic Product (GDP): The total market value of goods and services.

National Economic Indicators Ray Owens May 20, 2014.

Emerging Growth: Mid- Decade Economic Trends University of North Texas Center for Economic Development and Research December 2014.

Measuring the US Economy Economic Indicators. Understanding the Lingo Annualized Rates Example: GDP Q3 (Final) = $11,814.9B (5.5%) Q2: GDP = $2,

Copyright © 2007 Global Insight, Inc. The U.S. Economic Outlook: How Much Fallout from The Housing Meltdown? Nariman Behravesh Chief Economist NAHB April.

Economic Assessment William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Not So Silent Partners: Libraries and Local Economic.

Economic Outlook William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Multi-Chamber Economic Outlook Luncheon Downers.

IT’S THE ECONOMY STUPID By John P. Bott, II 1. Full service Houston-based brokerage firm founded in 1986 Fixed income specialists Success is built upon.

Tracking the Recovery December 12, Real Gross Domestic Product Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis via Haver Analytics.

U.S. Economic Outlook A Relatively Fast Manufacturing Growth Pace Amid Modest Gains In The Overall Economy Presented by: Daniel J. Meckstroth, Ph.D. Vice.

Economic Outlook for Consumers William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago University of Illinois Center for.

Microeconomics and Macroeconomics FCS 3450 Spring 2015 Unit 4.

Emerging Growth: Mid- Decade Economic Trends University of North Texas Center for Economic Development and Research April 2015.

Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics

Economic Indicators. Concepts  Variables that provide information about the state of the economy.  Every economic indicator has a story to tell.  Need.

Macroeconomic and Industry Analysis

BOE Advisory Council July 25, 2013 The Economic Outlook Joe Fitz Chief of Research and Statistics Board of Equalization.

Economic Outlook William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Spring Manufacturers Institute Orlando, FL April.

ECONOMIC INDICATORS. Understanding Economic Indicators  Background Economic Theme: Recognize the stage of the business cycle.

Investments, 8 th edition Bodie, Kane and Marcus Slides by Susan Hine McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights.

Brett Hammond, Ph.D. Managing Director and Chief Investment Strategist, TIAA-CREF ARE WE THERE YET? THE “NEW NORMAL” ECONOMY AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR INVESTORS.

Warmup  What is unemployment?. Unit 5 Measuring Economic Performance GDP, Business Cycle, Inflation, Unemployment.

Economic Outlook March 2012 Economic Policy Division.

V. Finkelshteyn Economics Personal Finance #3

The Economy and External Environment 10th Annual Georgia Idea Institute August 19, 2015 Bill Hampel, Chief Policy Officer Credit Union National Association.

GDP/GNP Measuring the Economy. economic indicator  A statistic about the economy.  Allows analysis of economic performance and predictions of future.

Bernard L. Weinstein, Ph.D. Presentation to ISM-Dallas January 10, 2008 A Falling Dollar, $100 Oil, and the Sub-Prime Mess: Is a Recession Inevitable?

Economic Indicators Bodie, Kane, and Marcus Chapter 12.

Fundamental Analysis Approach to Fundamental Analysis: –Domestic and global economic analysis –Industry analysis –Company analysis Why use the top-down.

CHAPTER 17 Investments Macroeconomic and Industry Analysis Slides by Richard D. Johnson Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights.

economic indicator  A statistic about the economy.  Allows analysis of economic performance and predictions of future performance.  Include various.

Economic Indicators Lauren Rudd January 9, Same store sales 01/9/20142.

West Alabama Real Estate Summit Tuscaloosa, AlabamaAugust 24, 2012 Ahmad Ijaz Center for Business and Economic Research Culverhouse College of Commerce.

UNIT C ECONOMIC FOUNDATIONS AND FINANCING 5.02 Explain the relationship between economic measurements and economic growth.

Essential Standard 1.00 Understand the role of business in the global economy. 1.

Chapter 2 Economic Activity. Objectives Describe Gross Domestic Product Describe Gross Domestic Product Identify and describe economic measures of labor.

Economics Call November 2, Case Shiller home price index was up for the 3 rd straight month New Home Sales were down in September –This industry.

Real GDP 3-5% Unemployment Rate 5% Further it goes under this Rate, the higher the inflation rate Inflation Rates- 0-2% CPI and PPI- 0-2%

2-1Measuring Economic Activity 2-2Economic Conditions Change 2-3Other Measure of Business Activity.

PPR 2008: Figure 1. Repo rate with uncertainty bonds Per cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank.

Economic Outlook for 2011 and 2012 William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Electronics Representatives Association.

Financial Market and Economic Outlook Richard Kaglic April 15, 2010.

Inflation Report February Demand Chart 2.1 Consumer spending (a) (a) Chained volume measure.

McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2007 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Macroeconomic and Industry Analysis CHAPTER 11.

Business Outlook PMI was registered at 50.8 percent indicating that manufacturing economy is generally expanding. However, compared to October’s 50.9.

ECONOMIC OUTLOOK AND MONETARY POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS November 2, 2012 New York, NY.

William F. Fox, Director Center for Business and Economic Research The University of Tennessee, Knoxville November 17, 2015 The 2016 Economy Looks Like.

Economic Outlook December 2014 Economic Policy Division.

Introduction to the UK Economy. What are the key objectives of macroeconomic policy? Price Stability (CPI Inflation of 2%) Growth of Real GDP (National.

Inflation Report November Demand Chart 2.1 Contributions to quarterly household consumption growth(a) (a) Chained volume measures.

Objective 1.02 Understand economic conditions 1 Understand the role of business in the global economy.

CHAPTER 2 Economic Activity. MEASURING ECONOMIC ACTIVITY  Economic growth is the steady increase in the production of goods and services in an economic.

Creating a Forecast Charles Steindel January 21, 2010 All views expressed are those of the author only and not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve.

National Economic Conditions

Economic Trends.

U.S. Economic Performance

Business Outlook PMI was registered at 50.8 percent indicating that manufacturing economy is generally expanding. However, compared to October’s.

Economic Policy Division

Economic Update MLGMA Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Paul Traub

U.S. Economic Performance

Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond

MEASURING ECONOMIC ACTIVITY

Introduction to the UK Economy

Economic Assessment The Transformer Association William Strauss

Macroeconomic and Industry Analysis

Economic Outlook Lake County Chamber of Commerce William Strauss

Economic Trends.

Analysis of the Financial System and the Economy

Economic Outlook EconoSummit 2019 William Strauss Las Vegas, NV

Presentation transcript:

What of the future? Gabriel Martinez, Ph.D. Ave Maria University August , % 0.6%

Dow Jones Industrial Average

Volatility Index

Value of the Dollar % Increase

Current Account / Real GNP % Increase

Real Gross Domestic Product % Growth

Interest Rates

Global Growth Projections

Implied probability SEPTEMBER FOMC MEETING OUTCOMES 4.25% 5.00% 5.25% 5.50% 4.75% 4.50% (Advance) Durable goods report, New home sales Existing home sales

Implied probability OCTOBER FOMC MEETING OUTCOMES 4.25% 5.00% 5.25% 5.50% 4.75% 4.50% (Advance) Durable goods report, New home sales Existing home sales

Implied probability DECEMBER FOMC MEETING OUTCOMES 5.00% 5.25% 5.50% 4.75% 4.25% 4.50% 4.00% (Advance) Durable goods report, New home sales Existing home sales

Consumption % Growth

Growth in Retail and Food Sales % Growth

Consumer Credit Outstanding % Growth

Household Debt Service and Financial Obligations % of Personal Income after Taxes

Consumer Sentiment Index

Light Weight Vehicle Sales: Autos & Light Trucks % Growth (4-month average)

Average Hourly Earnings % Growth

Unemployment Rate

Duration of Unemployment in Months

Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance

Aggregate Weekly Hours Index % Growth

Total Nonfarm Payrolls: All Employees % Growth

Investment

Corporate Profits after Tax % Growth

Manufacturers' New Orders: Durable Goods % Growth

Manufacturers' New Orders: Nondefense Capital Goods Excluding Aircraft % Growth

Industrial Production % Growth

Inventory to Sales Ratio % Growth

ISM Manufacturing: PMI Composite Index A PMI reading above 50 percent indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding; below 50 percent that it is generally declining.

Total Capacity Utilization

Private Nonresidential Fixed Investment

National Home Builder’s Housing Market Index

Housing Starts Thousands of Units

Building Permits Thousands of Units

Existing Home Sales Home sales in millions of homes

Month’s Supply of Homes Home sales in millions of homes

Median Home Prices Home sales in millions of homes % Growth

Mortgage Rate Home sales in millions of homes

Los precios no volverán a resurgir hasta que las ventas vuelvan a su tendencia y a su pico de 7,250,000.

Actual and Predicted Home Prices

Actual and Predicted Family Income

Actual and Predicted Mortgage Rate Percentage Points

Demand (NAHB HMI) and Supply (Housing Starts), Paralized supply, falling demand

Affordability Index Stable prices, higher mortgage rates, and slower income growth keep “affordability” from rising

Consumer Inflation

Expectations of Inflation

Producer Inflation

Cost of Labor % Growth

Oil Price