Cognitive ability affects connectivity in metapopulation: A simulation approach Séverine Vuilleumier The University of Queensland.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Analysis and modelling of landscape ecological changes due to dynamic surface movements caused by mining activities Christian Fischer, Heidrun Matejka,
Advertisements

Space is ecologically meaningful: about the spatial component of the ecological niche, with the help of spectral analysis François Munoz *, Pierre-Olivier.
Agent-based Modeling: A Brief Introduction Louis J. Gross The Institute for Environmental Modeling Departments of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology and.
Modeling Malware Spreading Dynamics Michele Garetto (Politecnico di Torino – Italy) Weibo Gong (University of Massachusetts – Amherst – MA) Don Towsley.
Playback delay in p2p streaming systems with random packet forwarding Viktoria Fodor and Ilias Chatzidrossos Laboratory for Communication Networks School.
Center for Modeling & Simulation.  A Map is the most effective shorthand to show locations of objects with attributes, which can be physical or cultural.
Populations continued I.Metapopulation Theory A.What is a metapopulation? B.Assumptions of the metapopulation theory II.Stochastic Perturbations & MVPs.
61BL3313 Population and Community Ecology Lecture 06 Metapopulations Spring 2013 Dr Ed Harris.
Galapagos Islands.
Landscape Ecology. I.A Landscape Perspective A. Integrating Communities and Ecosystems forest field.
Landscape Ecology Large-scale Spatial Patterns and Ecological Processes.
ECOSYSTEM SERVICES / BIOSECURITY FLAGSHIP Brendan Trewin | PhD Candidate Developing Spatially Explicit Network Models for the Management of Disease Vectors.
Spatial Structure & Metapopulations. Clematis fremontii Erickson 1945.
Ch. 12 Metapopulations Several local populations interacting Models: assume no immigration and emigration Many species show metapopulation structure Subpopulations.
10 Population Dynamics. 10 Population Dynamics Case Study: A Sea in Trouble Patterns of Population Growth Delayed Density Dependence Population Extinction.
A metapopulation simulation including spatial heterogeneity, among and between patch heterogeneity Travis J. Lawrence Department of Biological Science,
Weighted networks: analysis, modeling A. Barrat, LPT, Université Paris-Sud, France M. Barthélemy (CEA, France) R. Pastor-Satorras (Barcelona, Spain) A.
Evolution of traits related to population density in a heterogeneous metapopulation: an application of the "cornucopia principle" to changes in human political.
Identifying Patterns in Road Networks Topographic Data and Maps Henri Lahtinen Arto Majoinen.
Meta From Greek –among, with, after Current: –occurring later than or in succession to –change : transformation –used with the name of a discipline to.
Habitat Reserves 1.What are they? 2.Why do we need them? 3.How do we design them?
Applied Geostatistics Geostatistical techniques are designed to evaluate the spatial structure of a variable, or the relationship between a value measured.
Improvements in the Spatial and Temporal representation of the Model Owen Woodberry Bachelor of Computer Science, Honours.
Salit Kark The Biodiversity Research Group Department of Evolution, Systematics and Ecology The Silberman Institute of Life Sciences The Hebrew University.
Habitat Fragmentation in the Temperate Zone D.S. Wilcove, C.H. McLellan and A.P. Dobson Reviewed by Jeff Bowes and Lauren Beal Originally published in.
Habitat Reserves 1.What are they? 2.Why do we need them? 3.How do we design them?
Populations A population is made up of the individuals of a species within a particular area: –each population lives in patches of suitable habitat Habitats.
Ecology Lecture 12. Landscape Ecology Ecological system aare made up of mosaics of patches containing different ecologies Landscape ecology studies how.
MASS: From Social Science to Environmental Modelling Hazel Parry
Spreading of Epidemic Based on Human and Animal Mobility Pattern
Spatial Statistics Applied to point data.
Plant Ecology - Chapter 16
The importance of enzymes and their occurrences: from the perspective of a network W.C. Liu 1, W.H. Lin 1, S.T. Yang 1, F. Jordan 2 and A.J. Davis 3, M.J.
EEES4760/6760 Landscape Ecology Jiquan chen Feb. 25, Fragmentation 2.Island Biogeographic Theory (IBT)
Slide 1 of 40 Copyright Pearson Prentice Hall 16-2 Evolution as Genetic Change.
Introduction – Landscape Ecology
Spatial ABM H-E Interactions, Lecture 4 Dawn Parker, George Mason University Agrarian models, frontier models, markets, “Spatial Agent-based Models of.
Source-Sink Dynamics. Remember, all landscapes are heterogeneous at some scale Consequently, patch quality is heterogeneous All else being equal, individuals.
A Decision Making Tool for Sustainable Forestry: Harvest Patterns and Biodiversity Risk J.M. Reed 1, D.W. DesRochers 1, and S.H. Levine 2 1 Biology Dept,
Spatial ecology I: metapopulations Bio 415/615. Questions 1. How can spatially isolated populations be ‘connected’? 2. What question does the Levins metapopulation.
Modelling complex migration Michael Bode. Migration in metapopulations Metapopulation dynamics are defined by the balance between local extinction and.
FW364 Ecological Problem Solving Class 17: Spatial Structure October 30, 2013.
Defining Landscapes Forman and Godron (1986): A
1.Define a landscape. What is the focus of Landscape Ecology. Notes 2. Discuss the role of spatial and temporal scale in affecting landscape composition,
Why use landscape models?  Models allow us to generate and test hypotheses on systems Collect data, construct model based on assumptions, observe behavior.
The Landscape Ecology of Invasive Spread Question: How is spatial pattern expected to affect invasive spread? Premise: Habitat loss and fragmentation leads.
End Show Slide 1 of 40 Copyright Pearson Prentice Hall 16-2 Evolution as Genetic Change.
Urban Traffic Simulated From A Dual Perspective Hu Mao-Bin University of Science and Technology of China Hefei, P.R. China
Julia Touza-Montero and Charles Perrings Environment Department, University of York Policies for the management of landscape diversity and collectively.
OUTLINE FOR THIS WEEK Lec 11 – 13 METAPOPULATIONS concept --> simple model Spatially realistic metapopulation models Design and Implementation Pluses/minuses.
Love those SDP2 projects!. Objectives Conservation approaches: populations/species entire habitats Conservation biology relates to landscape ecology Habitat.
© 2015 Pearson Education, Inc. POPULATION STRUCTURE AND DYNAMICS.
Ch. 7 Extinction Processes
Population Ecology ZLY 101 Dr. Wasantha Weliange.
Eng UK © TYRÉNS 2016 ROAD ECOLOGY Mårten Karlson Tyréns AB
Name : Mamatha J M Seminar guide: Mr. Kemparaju. GRID COMPUTING.
-1/16- Maximum Battery Life Routing to Support Ubiquitous Mobile Computing in Wireless Ad Hoc Networks C.-K. Toh, Georgia Institute of Technology IEEE.
Communities and the Landscape Lecture 15 April 7, 2005
Flexibility versus Specialization
The Matching Hypothesis
In fact, suitable habitat forms a network of patches, and be enough to support local breeding populations.
FW364 Ecological Problem Solving Class 18: Spatial Structure
AP Environmental Chapter 6
Large-scale Ecology Interacting ecosystems
Introduction to Population Genetics
Characteristics of Populations
Characteristics of Populations
Landscape Connectivity and Permeability
Look familiar?. Hume City Council / Brimbank City Council Northwest Ecological Connectivity Investigation.
Unit 4: Principles of Ecology
Presentation transcript:

Cognitive ability affects connectivity in metapopulation: A simulation approach Séverine Vuilleumier The University of Queensland

Pop 2 Pop 1 Patch1 Patch 2 C 12 C 21 Context: spatially-explicit metapopulation model Fragmented landscape e2e2 e1e1 Landscape heterogeneities and structures / animal behavior travel path and cost

What is the influence of cognitive abilities on the connectivity in metapopulation ? Question

What is the influence of cognitive abilities on the connectivity in metapopulation ? Question

Simulation of interactions between individuals and landscape features during dispersal ? Therefore, the model must contain …. the dispersal abilities and the behavioral traits of the animal landscape representation with its properties according to animal dispersal (visibility, attractiveness, cost, etc.) Landscape model Animal model

Assumptions Species are moving on the ground An individual moves across an unfamiliar landscape Searching behaviour is driven by finding a new habitat patch Animals are constrained by time, energy and mobility Animals use their environment to direct searching

The landscape : an irregular grid in shape and dimension Landscape model Cell Frontier Nodes Cell  Allows all spatial representations, roads, habitat patches, etc.

Landscape model: Illustration

(1)Blind Strategy (B) : no knowledge of the environment (2)Near-Sighted Strategy (N) : use of the neighbouring environment to direct their movements (3)Far-Sighted Strategy (F) : use of the neighbouring environment and visual scanning of the environment to find a new habitat patch Animal cognitive abilities Animal Model

While the individual has enough energy and has not reached a habitat patch, it goes on and chooses with the help of a pseudorandom number a new cell depending on : Movement strategy algorithms Animal Model (i)the possibility to cross the frontier and the cell, (ii)a probability (computed dynamically)

Blind: depends on the frontier length. Near-sighted: depends on the attractiveness of neighboring cells and frontiers. Far-sighted: depends on the attractiveness of cells and frontiers and on the shortest way to a habitat patch that is in the perceptual range Probabilities

What is the influence of cognitive abilities on the connectivity in metapopulation ? Question

1.The colonization probability from patch i to patch j (P ij, P ij <>P ji ) 2.The overall exchange of individuals between two patches i and j, (P ij +P ji ) 3.The balance at a given patch is the difference between flows in and out (Sum P ij – Sum P ji ). 4.The ecological distance (The median value and standard deviation) Measure of connectivity

Each cell and frontier is characterized by:  the possibility to go through (barrier).  an ecological cost (in terms of distance),  an attractiveness Simulations of Dispersal Landscape model Test area: Rural area in Switzerland 13 habitat patches From each habitat patches 50’000 individuals are dispersed for each strategy The starting ecological energy level is “equal to 50 km”

Results: Effect of cognitive strategies on connectivity 1.The colonization probability from patch i to patch j (P ij, P ij <>P ji ) 2.The overall exchange of individuals between two patches i and j, (P ij +P ji ) 3.The balance at a given patch is the difference between flows in and out (Sum P ij – Sum P ji ). 4.The ecological distance (The median value and standard deviation)

In gray, values are between 0% and 1%, and in black, values are larger than 1%. Blind strategy Near-sighted strategy Far-sighted strategy Overall exchange of individuals: Average number of connections by patch: B: 10,6 (89%) N: 4.1 (33%) F: 5 (42%) Average of colonization probability: B: 37.1% N: 18.7% F: 38%

Results: Effect of cognitive strategies on connectivity 1.The colonization probability from patch i to patch j (P ij, P ij <>P ji ) 2.The overall exchange of individuals between two patches i and j, (P ij +P ji ) 3.The balance at a given patch is the difference between flows in and out (Sum P ij – Sum P ji ). 4.The ecological distance (The median value and standard deviation)

Balance at each patch

Results: Effect of cognitive strategies on connectivity 1.The colonization probability from patch i to patch j (P ij, P ij <>P ji ) 2.The overall exchange of individuals between two patches i and j, (P ij +P ji ) 3.The balance at a given patch is the difference between flows in and out (Sum P ij – Sum P ji ). 4.The ecological distance (The median value and standard deviation)

Results: Density probability of ecological distance (medians) Blind Strategy Near-sighted Strategy Far-sighted Strategy Median of ecological distances

Results r 2 : Spearman r 2 = 0.828r 2 = 0.408r 2 = BlindNearFar Colonization probability - Median of ecological distances Blind strategy : the smaller the value of ecological distance, the higher the chance to join them Near and far-sighted strategy: high colonization probability can occur at large ecological distances High probability of colonization is not related to shortest distance! Colonization probability Ecological distance

Results Colonization probability - Standard deviation r 2 = 0.773r 2 = r 2 = BlindNearFar Blind strategy: high values of colonization probability are related to large variability of ecological distances - number of connections. Near and Far-sighted strategies: High colonization probability can be found for any ecological distances – number of connections Numerous connections do not mean high colonization success! Colonization probability Standard deviation

Discussion  Cognitive abilities seem to act on the spatial structure of populations lead to the genetic sub-structure of populations lead to the extinction of marginal populations  Benefits of individual strategy are not linked with benefits for population  It seems not possible to generalize, or even forecast responses of an individual to landscape heterogeneity and fragmentation

Institute of Environmental Science and Technology Swiss Federal Institute of Technology of Lausanne Dept. Ecology & Evolution, University of Lausanne Switzerland Many thanks to

The metapopulation capacity of a fragmented landscape w k (Hanski & Ovaskainen, 2000) Measure at metapopulation level w k : The leading eigenvalue of the matrix K, which measures the impact of landscape structure for long-term persistence of a species.

(b) the assigned dispersal distances Simulated colonization probability curve related to (a) the number of dispersers

Blind Local Frequency of cells being crossed Near

Density probability RandomNearLocal Median value of the distribution of ecological cost grouped by strategies Density probability Random strategy: the highest values of ecological distance Random and Local strategy: single peak distribution of the median This value defines the minimum distance that an individual has to cover in order to join other habitat patches  quantification of a landscape to support population. Local strategy: colonisation can appear at any level of ecological distance.

Density probability RandomNearLocal Minimum value of the distribution of ecological cost grouped by strategies All strategies behave the same when patches are close. when the patches are spatially further, the minimum values of ecological cost depends on the strategy. Density probability

Metapopulation capacity of a fragmented landscape ( Hanski & Ovaskainen, 2000) The leading eigenvalue of the matrix K is the metapopulation capacity of a fragmented landscape that measures the impact of landscape structure for long-term persistence of a species. Equation 1 We modify the colonisation probability by

Pop 2 Pop 1 Patch1 Patch 2 C 12 C 21 Context: spatially-explicit metapopulation model Fragmented landscape E2E2 E1E1 ColonizationExtinction Hanski and Gyllenberg (1997) « Connectivity »

Colonization Extinction Hanski’s spatially explicit metapopulation model Metapopulation capacity of a fragmented landscape ( Hanski & Ovaskainen, 2000) The leading eigenvalue of the matrix K is the metapopulation capacity of a fragmented landscape that measures the impact of landscape structure for long-term persistence of a species.

both local and global aspects of dispersal allows the simulation of various dispersal strategies, landscape uses, and dispersal cues, quantification of colonisation probability and ecological distances, spatial identification of paths, contributes to a better understanding of factors that may have implications in dispersal processes offers assistance to planners for management decisions. The dispersal model  metapopulation assumptions  specific movement strategy and cues  the temporal scale  data  the dependency of the results on expert judgment. General conclusions

Choosing procedure Random P1 P2 P3Pn F3 Fn F2 F1 P1P1 P2P2 PnPn 0 1 Additive probability FnFn F2F2 F1F1 P: Probability F: Associated frontier ? Cell 2 Cell 1 Cell 3 Cell n

Habitat patch Transition loop Dispersal model Landscape model Topological properties Typology …. Landscape model Topological properties Typology …. Animal model Movement type Choosing procedure Dispersal abilities ….. Animal model Movement type Choosing procedure Dispersal abilities ….. Dispersal model Landscape model Topological properties Typology …. Landscape model Topological properties Typology …. Animal model Movement type Choosing procedure Dispersal abilities ….. Animal model Movement type Choosing procedure Dispersal abilities …..

Habitat patch Active entities Active entities Start Path Recorder [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [ Spatial entity] 1 [Spatial entity] 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [ Spatial entity] 1 [Spatial entity] 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i i+1 Path Recorder [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [ Spatial entity] 1 [Spatial entity] 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [ Spatial entity] 1 [Spatial entity] 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i i+1 For i=1 add 1 Transition loop Dispersal model Landscape model Topological properties Typology …. Landscape model Topological properties Typology …. Animal model Movement type Choosing procedure Dispersal abilities ….. Animal model Movement type Choosing procedure Dispersal abilities …..

Habitat patch List of suitable entities List of suitable entities Active entities Active entities Start Path Recorder [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [ Spatial entity] 1 [Spatial entity] 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [ Spatial entity] 1 [Spatial entity] 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i i+1 Path Recorder [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [ Spatial entity] 1 [Spatial entity] 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [ Spatial entity] 1 [Spatial entity] 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i i+1 For i=1 Transition loops Topological Relations add 1 2 Transition loop Dispersal model Landscape model Topological properties Typology …. Landscape model Topological properties Typology …. Animal model Movement type Choosing procedure Dispersal abilities ….. Animal model Movement type Choosing procedure Dispersal abilities …..

Dispersal model Landscape model Topological properties Typology …. Landscape model Topological properties Typology …. Animal model Movement type Choosing procedure Dispersal abilities ….. Animal model Movement type Choosing procedure Dispersal abilities ….. Habitat patch List of suitable entities List of suitable entities Entitie Active entities Active entities Start Path Recorder [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [ Spatial entity] 1 [Spatial entity] 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [ Spatial entity] 1 [Spatial entity] 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i i+1 Path Recorder [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [ Spatial entity] 1 [Spatial entity] 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [ Spatial entity] 1 [Spatial entity] 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i i+1 For i=1 Transition loops Choosing procedure Topopogical Relations add Transition loop

Dispersal model Landscape model Topological properties Typology …. Landscape model Topological properties Typology …. Animal model Movement type Choosing procedure Dispersal abilities ….. Animal model Movement type Choosing procedure Dispersal abilities ….. Habitat patch List of suitable entities List of suitable entities Entitie End Active entities Active entities Start Path Recorder [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [ Spatial entity] 1 [Spatial entity] 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [ Spatial entity] 1 [Spatial entity] 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i i+1 Path Recorder [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [ Spatial entity] 1 [Spatial entity] 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [ Spatial entity] 1 [Spatial entity] 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i [Spatial entity] i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i i+1 [Spatial entity] 1 2 ….. [Spatial entity] i i+1 For i=1 Transition loops Choosing procedure Limitations tests Topological Relations add Transition loop

t1 t2 t4 t3 t6 t5 t7 t10 t8 t9 t1 t2 t4 t3 t6 t5 t7 t10 t8 t9 t11 t12 Test: Distance écologique entre les patches

A B

Patch1 Patch 2 C 12 C 21 E2E2 E1E1

Pn P1 P2 P3 F3 Fn F2 F1 Cell 2 Cell 1 Cell 3 Cell n ? …

: Virtual frontier Hydrological network Road network Hedge Forest Inhabited area Active cell Cell 4 Cell 3 Cell 1 Cell 2 Linear features ?