Individual patient data-based meta- analysis assessing the interest of pre- operative chemotherapy in resectable oesophageal carcinoma Abstract: 4512 Thirion P., Michiels S., Le Maître A., Tierney J. The Meta ‑ Analysis of Chemotherapy in Esophagus Cancer Collaborative Group
Rational & Background Improvement of survival of patients with locally advanced resectable oesophageal cancer is warranted Pre-operative strategies: Pre-operative radiotherapy IPD-Meta-analysis (Arnott et al., 1998) Pre-operative chemotherapy Literature-based Review (Cochrane, 2005) Pre-operative Chemo-radiotherapy Literature-based Review (Gebski et al., 2007)
Methods Objectives Primary end-point: OS: Overall Survival Secondary end-point: DFS : Disease-Free Survival, using a 6-month landmark method RO Complete Resection rate (UICC-AJCC definition) Post-operative mortality rate Statistical analyses IPD updated / centrally collected, checked & re-analysed Intention-to-treat analyses Odds Ratio (OR), Hazard ratio (HR) & Logrank test - stratified by trial Kaplan-Meier survival curves Heterogeneity and interaction tests Planned Sub-group analyses for OS and DFS: Age, gender, initial Performance Status (PS) & histological type
Materials 12 eligible trials identified - 2,290 patients 9 available trials (10 comparisons) - 2,102 patients (92%) Median follow up across trials: 5.3 years (range: )
Population Characteristics Patient population characteristics Age > 60 : 54% Male: 79% Initial PS 0-1: 71% (not available in 3 trials, 533 pts) Squamous Cell Carcinoma: 54% Tumour location: Middle and lower 3 rd : 67% GE junction: 11% Available outcome variables OS: 9 trials - 2,102 patients DFS: 7 trials - 1,849 patients R0 Complete Resection rate: 7 trials - 1,887 patients Post-operative mortality rate: 7 trials - 1,849 patients
Primary End-point: Overall Survival
HR = 0.87 [0.79;0.95], p= %20.4%16.1%5 years 5.1%37.5%32.4%2 years Absolute benefit Chemo pre-op Control Patients at risk Control Chemo pre-op Survival Time (years)
Secondary End-point: DFS
HR = 0.82 [0.74;0.91], p= %11.8%7.4%5 years 7.0%30.1%23.1%2 years Absolute benefit Chemo pre-op Control Patients at risk Control Chemo pre-op Disease free survival Time (years)
Secondary End-point: R0 Resection Rate Intention-to-treat Analysis Queen Mary48/7439/ Italy37/4835/484.5 MRC EO-02233/400215/ RTOG /233138/ MD Anderson13/1716/ Scandinavia 223/5616/ Scandinavia 2R28/5320/ Oeso-235/5840/ Total561/939519/ Study Chemo preop No. Events / No. Entered Control O-EVariance Odds ratioOR (95% CI) Chemo preop effect with p = 0.02 Test for heterogeneity: p = [ ] Chemo preop better|Control better
Secondary End-point: Post-operative Mortality Rate Queen Mary1/745/ Italy1/482/ Songkla3/240/ MRC EO-0236/40040/ RTOG 89118/2335/ Oeso-29/587/ Rotterdam4/853/ Total62/92262/ Study Chemo preop No. Events / No. Entered Control O-EVariance Odds ratioOR (95% CI) No preop Chemo effect p = 0.94 NS Test for heterogeneity: p = [ ] Chemo preop better|Control better
Sub-group Analyses The overall survival and disease-free survival benefit of the addition of pre-operative chemotherapy was seen across: Age (50 60) Gender Initial PS Histological Type Adenocarcinoma282/385315/ Squamous cell450/564471/ Category Chemo preop No. Events / No. Entered Control O-EVarHazard ratioHR [95% CI] Test for interaction:p = 0.21 Chemo preop better|Control better
Conclusions For patients with resectable oesophageal cancer, pre-operative chemotherapy: Improves significantly Overall Survival and Disease Free Survival, regardless of age, gender, PS & histological type. Increases R0 resection rate, without increasing post-operative mortality rate
Acknowledgments Writing/Steering Committee: Thirion P., Piedbois Y., Tierney J., Stenning S., Pignon J.P., Buyse M., Piedbois P., Bosset J.F. Secretariat: Thirion P., Michiels S., Pignon J.P., Piedbois P., Le Maître A. Collaborators (Investigators & Statisticians): Ancona E., Apinop C., Bancewicz J., Clark P., De Vathaire F., Giuli R., Hansen H.S., Kelsen D., Kok T.C., Kullathorn T., Law S., Maipang T., Nygaard K., Parmar M., Roth J., Ruol A., Steinberg S., Tierney J, Tilanus H.W., Van der Gaast A., Winter K., Wong J. Supported by French Cancer Ligue And the patients.