Presentation to the Annual Conference of the National Housing Federation 23rd September 2009

2 Large-scale immigration is a new phenomenon Net migration into England ‘000’s Source: ONS – Parliamentary written answer WA and ONS International Migration Statistics November 2007

3 …and is a matter of public concern Source: MORI Political Monitor: What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today (spontaneous)? What do you see as other important issues facing Britain today (spontaneous)? Percentage saying Race relations/immigrants/immigration. (Figures mainly at April except for 74,77, 78 and 82 and Mar 05)

4 Population projections (millions) - UK Source: Natural Change, High migration and Principal Projection from GAD (2006-based). Balanced migration projection derived from GAD principal and low migration projections

5

6 Household formation reasons 38% 19% 17% 25% Net migration is the single largest reason for additional household formation. Source : Estimated from GAD 2006-based population projections and DCLG New Projections of households for England and the Regions to 2026.

7

8

9 Source:

10

11 Source: ONS TIM Series

12 DCLG Guidance July 2009 “In some areas this guidance will mean giving more priority to people who have been on the waiting list for a long time or more priority for people with strong local connections”.

13

14 Most immigrants come from outside the EU

15 GAD net immigration assumptions – and reality …….the scale of future migration has been consistently underestimated.