Strengthening the air quality management community in Asia Developing Fuel Quality Road Maps in Asia Sustainable Urban Mobility in Asia A CAI-Asia Program Kong Ha Chairperson CAI-Asia Workshop on Developing Fuel Quality Roadmaps for Conventional Fuels in Asia May 2006 Manila, Philippines

Strengthening the air quality management community in Asia Fuel Quality Roadmaps for Asia Rationale: Support the development of roadmaps for Cleaner Fuels and Vehicles in Asia

Strengthening the air quality management community in Asia Integrated Approach Fuels and vehicles are part of an overall, wider, air quality context AQM efforts will usually also include activities aimed at reducing emissions from stationary sources and area sources Emission reduction from mobile sources will also have to include I/M and transport demand oriented measures The absence of detailed emission inventories and source apportionment studies should not prevent Asian countries from developing cleaner fuel roadmaps Fuels and Vehicles are an integrated system

Strengthening the air quality management community in Asia Build on existing plans and strategies Certain individual countries have already decided on their future fuel specifications: –Thailand, Euro 4 equivalent fuels by 2010 –Korea, Singapore, Taipei,China and Hong Kong already have Euro 4 Fuels or will have them shortly ASEAN- Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (Japan) Economic and Industrial Cooperation Committee (AMEICC) Working Group on Cleaner Fuels has called for non binding commitment for Euro 2 in 2006 and Euro 4 in Partnership for Cleaner Fuels and Vehicles (PCFV) has adopted an objective of 50 ppm for sulfur levels in gasoline and diesel by 2010 for Asian countries Individual refiners have started the production of cleaner fuels or are planning for it, such as Reliance in India and Petron in the Philippines

Strengthening the air quality management community in Asia Fuel Specifications (1) Fuel quality does not only influence emissions but also drivability, engine wear and fuel efficiency Supportive research for fuel specifications has been well established and generally there is no need for Asian countries to replicate such research Asian countries should implement all fuel parameters as defined in fuel specifications linked to European emission specifications Asian countries with warm climate can apply variation in RVP In some cases the adoption of a comprehensive set of fuel properties will delay the introduction of cleaner fuels substantially. In such cases the option to reduce sulfur first may be considered

Strengthening the air quality management community in Asia Fuel specifications (2) Leapfrog from Euro 2 to Euro 4 emission standards makes good technical and financial sense Some Asian countries where air pollution from transport is severe should consider Euro 5 standards Asian countries with large domestic refining capacity can consider applying US flexibility principle. Importing countries should not do so. Fuel quality monitoring is essential, especially where different fuel standards exist in the same country

Strengthening the air quality management community in Asia Timing of Introduction of Cleaner Fuels Technology for fuel improvement is well established and can be applied in Asia on a no- risk basis Euro 4 Vehicle technology well established in Asia Maximum lead time to move to Euro 4 or stricter is 4-6 years but in many cases can be shorter Import of Euro 4 fuels can be considered pending the construction or modification of refineries to shorten the lead time for introduction of cleaner standards Refinery expansion in Asia should be based on Euro 4 or stricter standards

Strengthening the air quality management community in Asia Cleaner Fuels and In-use vehicles Main driver for cleaner fuels are new vehicles, there is an impact on in-use vehicles as well but more research required on the impact of cleaner fuels on in-use vehicles Cleaner fuels, especially with less than 50 ppm sulfur allow for retrofit of gross polluting diesel vehicles: –Technology is established now and pilot projects have demonstrated impact –Current cost levels justify focus on retrofit of high use fleet vehicles Alternative approach of dealing with gross polluting vehicles remains phase out.

Strengthening the air quality management community in Asia Introduction Scenarios Uniform introduction across country: –Advantages in terms of AQ impact provided specifications are strict enough –High short term costs to refining sector –Avoids misfueling –Flexibility provision for special markets (off-road and stationary) Prioritized introduction in selected cities: –Can be considered for large countries, e.g. India and China –Requires availability segregated fuel marketing and distribution system –Price differential whereby cleaner fuel should be cheaper –Fuel quality monitoring important to ensure misfueling Harmonized standards across Asia: –Security of availability of cleaner fuels –Reduction in complexity for the vehicle industry

Strengthening the air quality management community in Asia Facilitation of Introduction of Cleaner Fuels Fuel Quality regulations, combined with emission standards should be the backbone of any policy or strategy on cleaner fuels Government policy to accelerate production or uptake of cleaner fuels: –Public outreach and consensus building –Combination of tax and pricing policies –Temporary incentives can be used to speed up acceleration of market uptake of cleaner fuels Cost for producing cleaner fuels needs to be passed on to consumer: –Controlled pricing, still prevalent in some Asian markets precludes the opportunity to pass on costs –Increasing Asian markets are being deregulated opening up the possibility to pass on costs

Strengthening the air quality management community in Asia Role of the International Development Community Many countries in Asia have a limited administrative and monitoring capacity, this has hampered the introduction and implementation of cleaner fuel standards. Development organizations can and should consider assistance for: –Further awareness raising on importance of cleaner fuels as part of an integrated AQM strategy –Capacity building for regulators to formulate, implement and monitor fuel quality improvement strategies and legislation –Financing of refinery upgrading or new construction through loans or partial guarantees

Strengthening the air quality management community in Asia Next steps Results of discussions in the workshop and the comments received will be integrated in the report Final conclusions and recommendations will be presented to the First Governmental Meeting on Urban Air Quality, September in Indonesia Final consensus will form the basis for policy dialogue on cleaner fuels and vehicles by CAI- Asia and its local networks. See for full text of the report: _paper.pdf. Please submit your comments before 5 Junehttp:// _paper.pdf