UH Environmental Law Institute Sept 11, 2015 Charles McConnell, Executive Director Energy and Environment Initiative

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Electricity Makes the Difference: Korea South Korean preschool children average 3 inches taller and 7 pounds heavier than North Korean Children The Infant Mortality Rate in North Korea is 12 times higher than South Korea South Korea ranks 32 nd in GDP/capita. North Korea ranks 156th WHY THE DISPARITY? Only 20% of North Koreans have access to electric power. South Korean access approaches 100%

55 The Coming Wave of Rising Expectations Millions under age 15

The ASEAN Has Turned to Coal Too Terawatt Hours (TWh) of Generation TWh Through 2035 Coal Gas Other Hydro Source: IEA, Southeast Asia Energy Outlook, pg. 37, 2013 Over 600 million people live in the ASEAN countries –almost twice as many as live in the United States.

7 So, Global Coal Grows People dependent on coal for at least 40% of electricity 2.3 Billion Billion Billion 2030 IEA Current Policies Scenario 7

And the Role of the U.S. in Global Electricity Market Drops Rest of World 13,184 Increase in Billion Kilowatt Hours (2006 – 2030) USA 1,090 Billion Kilowatt Hours

9 9 As Does the Impact of U.S. CO2 Emissions ( )

Global Electricity Growth is Likely Underestimated 1. While having the potential to increase on-site efficiency, the Cloud consumes dramatically more electricity than traditional PC/Wired infrastructure. Three Things About the Cloud that Shape Global Demand for Electricity

How Much Electricity Does it Take to Run the Cloud? Source: Mills, Big Data. = 1 Year 1 Hour/Week/Year “…using [a phone or tablet] to watch an hour of video weekly consumes annually more electricity in the remote networks than two new refrigerators use in a year.” In Terms We All Understand

Three Things to Know About Cloud (cont…)2. The Cloud’s Growth is Exponential: 2014 Hourly Internet traffic > 2000 Annual traffic Last year, the Cloud consumed more power than global lighting in 1985 (3X all the Wind+Solar in the World) Next Year, the Cloud Will Consume More Electricity than Any Nation (Except U.S. & China)

Three Things to Know About Cloud (cont…) 3. The Cloud’s Power Needs Are Highest in Developing World Due to Dependence on Wireless Infrastructure

We Possess Tremendous Domestic Energy Resources  Technically Recoverable Resources –120 years of Nat Gas –206 Years of Oil –464 years of Coal  In-place Resources –586 years of Nat Gas –536 years of oil –9,844 years of coal Institute for Energy Research Analysis of U.S. Government Data

Facts v. Myths Re: The Clean Power Plan WHAT IT IS: 1.A Federally mandated RPS requiring states to construct and deploy unprecedented amounts of wind and solar power. 2.An attack on the most productive states/regions in the U.S. (7 states carry 40% of the national burden). 3.An illegal regulatory over-reach that undermines state sovereignty over grids. WHAT IT IS NOT 1.Scientifically relevant to abating global climate change. 2. Flexible. 3.Good for ratepayers. 4.Good for employment. 5.Leadership.