Operational Intelligence Preparation of the Environment (OIPE) Brief Philippines Briefing for MPAT TE-27 IPC, 10-12 March 2015 in Manila, PHL. 23-31 July 2015 Manila, Philippines

Agenda What is OIPE? OIPE for the Philippines: Geography; Weather, Threats and Hazards; Political, Military, Economic, Social, Information, Infrastructure, Physical and Time (PMESII-PT); Actor and Stakeholder Analysis; Troop Contributing Country Military Resources; Humanitarian Situation. Agenda.

What is OIPE? OIPE: A continuous activity that assists Commander’s Appreciation Process during all phases of planning and execution of multinational operations. OIPE provides foundation for Commander’s Situational Assessment A key CTF planning principle is: “Before any problem solutions can be identified the problem must first be clearly understood. Understanding the problem(s) preventing attainment of the assigned military end states is essential for the CCTF to accurately understand the situation. OIPE is a modification of the Joint Intelligence Preparation of the Operational Environment (JIPOE) which includes: Baseline analysis of the traditional intelligence concerns of enemy, weather, terrain; Added considerations that political, military, economic, social, infrastructure, and information dynamics have on the operational environment. What is Operational Intelligence Preparation of the Environment – OIPE: A continuous activity that assists Commander’s Appreciation Process during all phases of planning and execution of multinational operations. OIPE provides foundation for Commander’s Situational Assessment A key multinational planning principle is: “Before any problem solutions can be identified the problem must first be clearly understood. Understanding the problem(s) preventing attainment of the assigned military end states is essential for the CMNF to accurately understand the situation. OIPE is a modification of the Joint Intelligence Preparation of the Operational Environment (JIPOE) which includes: Baseline analysis of the traditional intelligence concerns of enemy, weather, terrain; Added considerations that political, military, economic, social, infrastructure, and information dynamics have on the operational environment.

What is OIPE? This briefing will provide an overview of the OIPE for this workshop. A complete OIPE study is located in digital form on each laptop in your planning groups. This briefing will provide an overview of the OIPE for this workshop. A complete OIPE study is located in digital form on each laptop in your planning groups.

Philippines Agenda.

Philippines within the Region Agenda.

Philippines Geography & Demographics Mountainous, island archipelago 7,107 islands Elevation: Sea level to 2,954m (Mt. Apo, 9,692 ft.) Area: Total area: 300,000 km2 (115,831 sq. mi.) Slightly smaller than Malaysia; Slightly larger than New Zealand Land area: 298,170 km2 (115,124 sq. mi.) Population: 107,668,231 (July 2014 est.) 48.8% urbanization Largest city: Manila at 11.45 million Agenda.

Philippines Weather and Hazards Tropical marine: northeast monsoon (Nov to April); southwest monsoon (May to Oct). Temperatures: 21º C to 32º C (70º F to 90º F). Rainfall: 96 to 406 cm (38 to 160 in.) / year Hazards Typhoons (June – November) – on average struck by 5 to 6 per year Landslides Active volcanoes Earthquakes Tsunamis Agenda.

Philippines PMESII-PT Political Constitutional republic Capital: Manila 80 provinces and 39 chartered cities Executive: President Benigno Aquino III Legislative: Bicameral Congress (Kongreso) Senate (Senado) – 24 seats House of Representatives (Kapulungan Ng Nga Kinatawan) – 287 seats Judicial Courts: Supreme Court Court of Appeals Lower courts Legal system: Mixed system of civil, common, Islamic and customary law. National disaster management authority: National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) Agenda. UNCLASSIFIED

Philippines PMESII-PT Armed Forces of the Philippines Philippine Army Philippine Navy Philippine Marine Corps Philippine Air Force Philippine Coast Guard Philippine National Police Agenda.

Philippines PMESII-PT Economic: Multi-sectoral economy: Agriculture – 11.2% (Sugarcane, coconuts, rice, corn, bananas, cassavas, pineapples, mangoes, pork, eggs, beef, fish) Industry – 31.6% (Electronics assembly, garments, footwear, pharmaceuticals, chemicals, wood products, food processing, petroleum) Services – 57.2% Annual gross domestic product (GDP): US$ 454.3 billion (2013 est.) Annual GDP per capita: US$ 4,700 (2013 est.) GDP real growth rate: + 6.8% (2013 est.) Agenda.

Philippines PMESII-PT Social Population: 107,668,231 (2014 est.) Age structure: 0-14 yrs: 33.7% 15-24 yrs: 19.0% 25-54 yrs: 37.0% 55-64 yrs: 4.5% 65 + yrs: 4.4% Ethnicity: Tagalog 28.1% Cebuano 13.1% Ilocano 9.0% Bisaya/Binisaya 7.6% Hiligaynon Ilonggo 7.5% Bikol 6.0% Waray 3.4% Other 25.3% Religion: Catholic 82.9% Muslim 5.0% Evangelical 2.8% Other Christian 4.5% Iglesia ni Kristo 2.3% Other 1.8% Unspecified 0.6% None 01.% Languages: Filipino and English (official) 8 major dialects: Tagalog, Cebuano, Ilocano, Hiligaynon or Ilonggo, Bicol, Waray, Pampango and Pangasinan Agenda.

Philippines PMESII-PT Information Literacy rate: 95% Television: 4 major TV networks (1 govt. owned) 350+ television stations Radio: approx. 1,200 radio stations Telephones: Main lines in use: 3.94 million Mobile cellular: 103 million Internet Hosts: 425,812 (2012) Users: 8.28 million (2009) Agenda.

Philippines PMESII-PT Airports 247 Paved runways 89 Over 3,047 m 4 2,438 to 3,047 m 8 1,524 to 2,437 m 33 914 to 1,523 m 34 Under 914 m 10 Unpaved runways 158 1,524 to 2,437 m 3 914 to 1,523 m 56 Under 914 m 99 Heliports 2 Major seaports: Batangas Cagayan de Oro Cebu Davao, Liman Manila Container ports (TEUs): Manila (3,342,200) Roadways 213,151 km Paved 54,481 km Unpaved 158,670 km Agenda.

Philippines PMESII-PT Physical: Distances from Manila to: Sydney, AUS 6,249 km Dhaka, BGD 3,363 km Berlin, DEU 9,880 km Jakarta, IDN 2,779 km Tokyo, JPN 2998 km Kuala Lumpur, MYS 2470 km Auckland, NZL 8,010 km Bangkok, THA 2,215 km Honolulu, USA 8,537 km Los Angeles, USA 11,756 km Time: Philippine Time Zone (PHT) + 8 hrs UTC Same as AWST, MYT, SGT & WITA. Agenda.

Group 3 Scenario: Visayas Typhoon Response Typhoon Molave (Kabayan) 19 JUL 2015, tropical depression east of Philippines become Typhoon Molave, grows to a Category 5 Super Typhoon. 20 JUL 2015, 20:00 PHT, enters Philippines AOR, PAGASA labels typhoon “Kabayan.” 22 JUL 2015, 04:40, Kabayan makes landfall at Guiuan, Eastern Samar. 1-minute sustained wind speeds of 315 km/h (194 mph). 22 JUL 2015, TY Kabayan makes landfall at: 07:00 PHT – Tolosa, Leyte; 12:00 PHT – Concepcion, Iloilo; and 09:40 PHT – Daanbantayan, Cebu; 20:00 PHT – Busuanga, Palawan. 10:40 PHT – Bantayan island, Cebu; 23 JUL 2015: Government of the Philippines requests international assistance. 15:30 PHT, TY Kabayan departs PHL Area of Responsibility, heading west. 24 JUL 2015, MPAT Nations’ Officers meet with AFP Officers to prepare course of action to support Govt. of Philippines response. All MPAT Nations’ Officers are senior military representatives for their respective nations.

Philippines OIPE Brief – Questions? Agenda.