1 2016 Occupational Projections. 2 General Methodology Forecast employment for 855 Industry/Region combinations Evaluate industry forecasts Use staffing.

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Presentation transcript:

Occupational Projections

2 General Methodology Forecast employment for 855 Industry/Region combinations Evaluate industry forecasts Use staffing patterns to convert to occupational forecasts

3 Industry Forecasts Preliminary Forecasts started in July 2007 –Using the Micro Matrix System developed by the State of Utah Secondary review in May/June 2009 –Adds 2007 and 2008 data –Incorporates latest Louisiana developments –Incorporates comments of business and civic leaders –Led to 177 modifications of 855 forecasts

4 Negative Trend, Population overestimated, one fewer riverboat RLMA 1 Amusement, Gambling and Recreation

5 Lower Population Effect RLMA 1 Nursing and Residential Care Facilities

6 Reduction in Force at General Motors. RLMA 7 Transportation Equipment Manufacturing

7 Over Estimated Go Zone Effect RLMA 2 Professional, Scientific and Technical Services

8 Union Tank Car RLMA 6 Transportation Equipment Manufacturing

9 New Shaw Nuclear Reactor Parts Manufacturing RLMA 5 Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing

10 RLMA#RLMA Name2006Preliminary%Final%Change 1New Orleans439,291579, %552, %(26,624) 2Baton Rouge405,750482, %477, %(5,652) 3Houma95,252119, %121, %1,628 4Lafayette264,385315, %307, %(7,327) 5Lake Charles113,080131, %133, %1,171 6Alexandria107,311121, %127, %5,403 7Shreveport234,762266, %266, %(68) 8Monroe113,919124,8859.6%124,8249.6%(61) 0State1,772,5742,142, %2,119, %(23,492) 2016 Industry Projections

11 Industry Staffing Patterns Telecommunications Industry Retail Salespersons 9.3% All Other Sales Reps 5.2% Line Installers & Repairers 7.9% Office & Administrative Managers 5.6% Equipment Installers & Repairers 7.7% Other (not listed) 37.1% Customer Service Representatives 27.2%