Georgia Drought Conditions Joel O. Paz The University of Georgia Dept. of Biological and Agricultural Engineering Griffin, GA.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Fred Schmude StormWatch Manager ImpactWeather, Inc. Fred specializes in hurricane forecasting, severe thunderstorms, winter.
Advertisements

AgClimate Outlooks: Delivering climate-based information to stakeholders in agriculture Joel O. Paz, Clyde W. Fraisse, Norman E. Breuer, John G. Bellow.
Update on the Drought of 2011 TWCA Mid Year Conference June 16, 2011 Bob Rose, Meteorologist LCRA.
Drought Update; What’s in Store for 2012 LCRA Firm Water Customer Meeting January 26, 2011 Bob Rose, LCRA Chief Meteorologist.
AG OUTLOOK LA NIÑA WINTER 2010 Clyde Fraisse Agricultural and Biological Engineering University of Florida November 18, 2010 Albany, GA.
Agricultural Outlook Forum Crystal Gateway Marriott Hotel February 24, 2012 Brad Rippey Agricultural Meteorologist USDA/OCE/WAOB Washington, D.C.
Summer Dust Storms In Phoenix Updated Station Climatology and Pattern Classifications Craig Shoemaker NWS WFO Tucson Jeffrey T. Davis NWS WFO Tucson.
El Nino, La Nina, and their Affects in Oklahoma. El Nino Conditions Warming of central and eastern equatorial Pacific waters Trade wind differences –
Jim Noel Service Coordination Hydrologist March 2, 2012
Johan van den Berg Santam Agriculture Climate outlook for 2014/15 October 2014.
Climate Variability and Irrigation Water Use Joel O. Paz Extension Agrometeorologist Biological and Agricultural Engineering Department The University.
Matt Masek NWS Meteorologist, WFO North Platte, NE May 25, 2011.
Historical Texas Drought Update TAIA El Campo Meeting October 18, 2011 Bob Rose, LCRA Meteorologist.
December Briefing. Outline Current Conditions Primary Factors – 2 nd Year La Nina – Drought Region / Feedback – Role of AO/NAO Streamflow Outlook – Historical.
2015 Hurricane Season Outlook Briefing National Weather Service Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu, HI.
Climate recap and outlook Philip Mote, PhD University of Washington Center for Science in the Earth System - Climate Impacts Group Boise, ID October 17,
El Paso County Cooperative Extension Meeting Nolan J. Doesken, State Climatologist Colorado Climate Center Presented to El Paso County Ranchers, August.
1 Climate recap and outlook Nate Mantua, PhD University of Washington Center for Science in the Earth System - Climate Impacts Group Kelso, WA October.
El Nino and La Nina An important atmospheric variation that has an average period of three to seven years. Goes between El Nino, Neutral, and La Nina (ENSO.
Chapter 7 Ocean Circulation: El Niño
Weather: The state of the atmosphere at a given time and place, with respect to variables such as temperature, moisture, wind velocity and direction,
Using Climate Forecasts in Agriculture State Agricultural Response Team2.
2013 Spring Weather Outlook MARAC Region V Meeting April 24, 2013 Cindy Bean Meteorologist National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office San Joaquin.
AgClimate: Web-based Climate Information & Decision Aid Tools Clyde W. Fraisse Climate Extension Specialist Agric. & Biol. Engineering – IFAS University.
2015 Monsoon Season Outlook Daniel Henz Meteorologist Flood Warning Branch Flood Warning Users Workshop June 24, 2015 Phoenix, Arizona Monsoon t-storm.
Drought in California How Did We Get Here and What Can We Expect This Year? November 7th 2014 APWA Sacramento Chapter Meeting Alan Haynes Service Coordination.
Jay Grymes WAFB Chief Meteorologist LSU AgCenter Climatologist LSU AgOutlook January 2010 Changing Climate... Linkages to LA Agriculture.
Do Now; Are there weather patterns that influence places thousands of miles away?
The La Niña Influence on Central Alabama Rainfall Patterns.
Ocean Circulation: El Niño
Ryan Boyles State Climatologist North Carolina State University Ryan Boyles State Climatologist North Carolina State University
Chapter 3 Physical Geography: Climate and Vegetation
U. S. Drought 2012+World Allen Motew Director QT Weather QT Information Systems, Inc. Chicago Board of Trade Weather.
July 25, 2001 presents “Past, Present, and Future” Ed Kieser.
El Nino and La Nina opposite phases of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle. The ENSO cycle describes the changes in temperature between the ocean.
2012 Wildfire Season Outlook. “Recent” Wildfire History Winter – VERY DRY followed by the Summer 2002 – Colorado Hayman Fire Coal Seam Fire.
WOW THIS IS FUN!  THE SUN : CLIMATE IS DIRECTLY LINKED TO THE SUN. SOME AREAS RECEIVE MORE OF THE SUN’S HEAT ENERGY THAN OTHERS.  WINDS : MOVEMENT.
Oceanic Influences on Climate. Ocean currents redistribute heat Large scale currents are called gyres.
Seasonal Outlook Long Range Forecast
Exploring management options for more resilient and efficient systems Southern Region Extension Climate Academy (SRECA) September 3-5, 2014 Athens, GA.
By Matt Masek March 22, Outline Review of 2011 – 2012 Winter Role of La Niña and Arctic Oscillation Spring Outlook One month (April) outlook Three.
EFCC Weather Outlook 5 June 2012 Fire Season Key Elements From NWCC Below normal snowpack Early snowmelt Early snowmelt Long term drought Long term drought.
Pressure Systems Low pressure: an area where the atmospheric pressure is lower than the surrounding area Air rises then it cools and condenses Weather:
Weather Outlook El Nino effects: Jet Stream shifts southward and across southern California Alex Tardy – NWS San Diego – November 16, 2015.
Drought Monitoring, Prediction and Response - A View From Georgia - David Emory Stooksbury, Ph.D. State Climatologist and Associate Professor Engineering.
NATIONALLY AND ACROSS OHIO GETTY IMAGES. DROUGHTOF 2012 DROUGHT OF 2012 PRE EXISTING CONDITIONS PRE EXISTING CONDITIONS COMPARISONS TO THE LAST DROUGHT.
El Nino: What’s It All About?
Western Australia Annual Preparedness Briefing Mike Bergin, Regional Director 7 September 2015.
Winter/Spring Outlook Derrick Weitlich National Weather Service Melbourne Central Florida Prescribed Fire Council Annual Meeting September 25,
El Nino 101 and Impacts from Recent El Nino Events Chip Konrad Director of the NOAA Southeast Regional Climate Center University of North Carolina at Chapel.
Lecture 9: Air-Sea Interactions EarthsClimate_Web_Chapter.pdfEarthsClimate_Web_Chapter.pdf, p ; Ch. 16, p ; Ch. 17, p
2 Where we are at Year Year Precipitation Summary.
User-driven Climate Forecasts in the Southeast U.S. David F. Zierden Assistant State Climatologist Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies The.
Ag Talk 30 Jan What the Weather Will Bring or Agricultural Weather in Wisconsin Wisconsin Agri-Service Association 9 th Annual Trade Show 30 January.
 El Nino is an abnormal warming of surface ocean waters in the Pacific Ocean  This occurs every 3-5 years  Part of what's called the Southern Oscillation.
2016 LATE SPRING/SUMMER FIRE POTENTIAL OUTLOOK EASTERN AREA PREDICTIVE SERVICES.
John Lewis, Senior Forecaster National Weather Service
John Lewis, Senior Forecaster National Weather Service
El Nino.
Daylength Local Mesoscale Winds Chinook Winds (Foehn) Loma, MT: January 15, 1972, the temperature rose from -54 to 49°F (-48 to 9°C), a 103°F (58°C)
Southern Company Winter Outlook
Southern Company Winter Outlook
El Niño and La Niña.
El Nino and La Nina An important atmospheric variation that has an average period of three to seven years. Goes between El Nino, Neutral, and La Nina (ENSO.
How is the Ocean affecting our Weather Today?
Southern Company Summer 2018 Outlook & Winter Review
Explain air pressure’s role in wind formation.
El Nino.
EQ: What is the impact of climate on Georgia’s growth and development?
Winter/Spring Outlook:
Presentation transcript:

Georgia Drought Conditions Joel O. Paz The University of Georgia Dept. of Biological and Agricultural Engineering Griffin, GA

Vegetation Index Map (05/24/07) Source: NASA

Rainfall Deficit Map January 1- July 17,

Rainfall Deficits Station 2007 Jan 1-July 17 Normal Deficit (in) Dublin Midville Statesboro Savannah

Rainfall (Statesboro) Tropical storm ‘Barry’ July 2006 July

Soil Moisture (Statesboro) July 2006 July

July 14, 2007

Summertime Thunderstorms

Tropical Weather Outlook  From the National Hurricane Center: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the next 48 hours.

Climate Outlook  Little to no skill during the summer  La Niña developing? El Niño : Warm phase La Niña : Cold phase

Climate Outlook  Little to no skill during the summer  La Niña developing? IRI

Climate Outlook  Little to no skill during the summer  La Niña developing?

ENSO Effects on Precipitation Seasonal climate variations in the Southeast are largely driven by El Niño and La Niña

Summary  In terms of rainfall deficit, East Central is slightly better than other districts in Georgia.  Summertime convective thunderstorms  Possible development of La Niña may impact conditions in the fall & winter >> dry conditions?

Links  UGA Weather Network:  AgClimate web site:  Georgia Drought web site:  NWS Southern Region HQ:

Questions? For more information, please contact: Dr. Joel Paz Extension Agrometeorologist UGA Griffin Campus