ExperimentExperimental Outcome (Possibilities) Toss a CoinHead, Tail Select a part for inspectionDefective, Non-Defective Conduct a SalesPurchase, No Purchase.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Experimental Probability.
Advertisements

Probability How likely is an event to occur?
Probability How likely is an event to occur?
Probability What are your Chances?
Clear your desk for your quiz. Unit 2 Day 8 Expected Value Average expectation per game if the game is played many times Can be used to evaluate and.
Introduction to Probability Experiments Counting Rules Combinations Permutations Assigning Probabilities.
Introduction to Probability
Take out a coin! You win 4 dollars for heads, and lose 2 dollars for tails.
AP Biology Laws of Probability Probability & Genetics.
11-2: Probability Warm-Up: Move your desks into groups. 1. Describe a situation in which the number of outcomes is given by 8 C How can we change.
Introduction to Probability Uncertainty, Probability, Tree Diagrams, Combinations and Permutations Chapter 4 BA 201.
Sherlock Holmes once observed that men are insoluble puzzles except in the aggregate, where they become mathematical certainties.
Probability What are your Chances? Overview Probability is the study of random events. The probability, or chance, that an event will happen can be described.
Multiplication Rules for Probability Independent Events Two events are independent if the fact that A occurs does not affect the probability of B occuring.
Probability By Laura Farrington 8GT. What is Probability? Probability is about the chance of something happening. When we talk about how probable something.
Why do we need the standard deviation? 1- The standard deviation reflects dispersion of data values, so that the dispersion of different distributions.
The Poisson Probability Distribution
CHAPTER 8_A PROBABILITY MODELS BERNOULLI TRIAL
1. What’s the probability that the spinner will land on blue? 2. Samuel has a bowl of fruit containing 3 apples, 2 oranges and 5 pears. If he randomly.
What are the chances of that happening?. What is probability? The mathematical expression of the chances that a particular event or outcome will happen.
Learning Target: I can… Find the probability of simple events.
© 2016 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license.
PROBABILITY! Let’s learn about probability and chance!
Probability of Simple Events
Theoretical and Experimental Probability Today you will learn to: calculate the theoretical and experimental probabilities of an event. M07.D-S.3.1.1:
Level34567 Probability Skills I can use the probability words impossible, certain and even chance to describe the probability of an event occurring. I.
Probability. Probability is the chance that something will occur or happen. Probabilities are written as fractions, decimals, or percents. Probability.
Quiz Time! Clear your desk except for a pencil & calculator!
Dependent and Independent Events. Events are said to be independent if the occurrence of one event has no effect on the occurrence of another. For example,
Sec 4.4 The multiplication Rule and conditional probability.
Chapter 4.3 Multiplication Rules.
1 1 Slide © 2016 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Probability is a numerical measure of the likelihood Probability is a numerical measure of the.
Chance Experiments. Review! MondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFriday ChocolateBlueberryPoppy SeedCranberryChocolate SpiceChocolate Chip BananaBlueberryPoppy.
Sample Space and Tree Diagrams Unit 1: Probability, Topic 1.
1.4 Equally Likely Outcomes. The outcomes of a sample space are called equally likely if all of them have the same chance of occurrence. It is very difficult.
Copyright © 2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Slide 7-1.
Probability How likely is an event to occur? What are the chances of that happening??!!
Eng. Khaled seif.
Unit 7A Fundamentals of Probability. BASIC TERMINOLOGY IN PROBABILITY Outcomes are the most basic possible results of observations or experiments. An.
Fair and Unfair Games Laura Smiley. What makes a game… FairUnfair.
Probability of Simple Events
Theoretical Probability. Turn to textbook page 239 to play Never a Six. (See handout for game board.)
BIA 2610 – Statistical Methods
Probability VOCAB!. What is probability? The probability of an event is a measure of the likelihood that the event will occur. When all outcomes are equally.
MTH 232 Section 14.1 The Basics of Probability. Overview Probability is the mathematics of uncertainty, in which the likelihood that a chance event occurs.
Probability and Simulation The Study of Randomness.
Chapter 7 Sets & Probability Section 7.3 Introduction to Probability.
2 pt 3 pt 4 pt 5pt 1 pt 2 pt 3 pt 4 pt 5 pt 1 pt 2pt 3 pt 4pt 5 pt 1pt 2pt 3 pt 4 pt 5 pt 1 pt 2 pt 3 pt 4pt 5 pt 1pt Vocabulary More VocabSpinners Possible.
Probability Events: In the language of probability, something that could or has happened is called an event. The following are all events: 2. Getting.
How likely is something to happen..  When a coin is tossed, there are two possible outcomes: heads (H) or tails (T) We say the probability of a coin.
Mrs. Hubbard 6 th Grade.  What is the chance that a particular event will happen? - It will rain tomorrow. - We will have school tomorrow. - We will.
Probability What are your Chances? Warm Up Write each fraction in simplest form
Sample Spaces and Probability Addition Rules Multiplication Rules and Conditional Probability Counting Rules Probability and Counting Rules
Warm-Up In a class of 18 girls and 12 boys, what is the probability that a student raising his or her hand to answer a question is a girl?
 Page 568: Insurance Rates  Probability theory  Chance or likelihood of an event happening  Probability  Each even is assigned a number between.
4-3 The Multiplication Rules Conditional Probability
In-Class Exercise: Bayes’ Theorem
PROBABILITY The probability of an event is a value that describes the chance or likelihood that the event will happen or that the event will end with.
Probability What are your Chances?
Probability.
PROBABILITY.
-NAPLAN TESTING -Intro to Probability
Probability Probability measures the likelihood of an event occurring.
Expected Value.
Random Variable Random Variable – Numerical Result Determined by the Outcome of a Probability Experiment. Ex1: Roll a Die X = # of Spots X | 1.
Probability.
Chapter 4 Section 1 Probability Theory.
Expected Value.
Probability.
Section 11.2 – Probability Objective: Find the probability of an event through theoretical or experimental methods.
Presentation transcript:

ExperimentExperimental Outcome (Possibilities) Toss a CoinHead, Tail Select a part for inspectionDefective, Non-Defective Conduct a SalesPurchase, No Purchase Roll a die1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 Play a football gameWin, Lose, Tie

Example: PIZZA The probability that a customer selects a pizza with mushrooms or pepperoni is 0.43 and customer selects pizza only mushrooms is If the probability that s/he selects only pepperoni is 0.17, find the probability of customer selecting both items.

Example: WIC The worldwide Insurance Company (WIC) found that 53% of the residents had homeowners’ insurance (H) with WIC. Of these clients 27% also had automobile insurance (A). If a resident is selected at random, what is the probability that resident has both H and A?

Probability – the chance that an uncertain event will occur (always between 0 and 1) Impossible Event – an event that has no chance of occurring (probability = 0) Certain Event – an event that is sure to occur (probability = 1)