BC Electoral Experiments & Reform Initiatives and Impulses Weekend 2 : Session 3.

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Presentation transcript:

BC Electoral Experiments & Reform Initiatives and Impulses Weekend 2 : Session 3

BC Electoral Experiments An electoral system is more than just an electoral formula The franchise (who is eligible to vote) The franchise (who is eligible to vote) The way the list of voters is compiled The way the list of voters is compiled The way electoral district boundaries are drawn The way electoral district boundaries are drawn The design of the ballot paper The design of the ballot paper The regulation of campaigning The regulation of campaigning

BC Electoral Experiments Two experiments are of interest to the Citizens’ Assembly The use of multimember districts from 1871 until the general election in 1991 The use of multimember districts from 1871 until the general election in 1991 The use of the alternative vote (AV) for the general elections of 1952 and 1953 The use of the alternative vote (AV) for the general elections of 1952 and 1953

Multimember districts The BC Legislative Assembly has always had single member districts but, from 1871 until the 1991 general election they were supplemented with a variety of 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 member districts The BC Legislative Assembly has always had single member districts but, from 1871 until the 1991 general election they were supplemented with a variety of 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 member districts The multimember districts with the most members were used for Vancouver and Victoria The multimember districts with the most members were used for Vancouver and Victoria

The alternative vote (AV) (AV will be discussed in detail at next weekend’s meeting) Requires a preferential ballot Requires a preferential ballot Voters must rank candidates Voters must rank candidates Where no candidate gains a majority of first preferences, the least successful candidate is eliminated and his/her second preferences are transferred Where no candidate gains a majority of first preferences, the least successful candidate is eliminated and his/her second preferences are transferred

Diagram of the ballot used for the AV electoral system for the BC general elections of 1952 and 1953

An example of electoral engineering? Yes but, depending on one’s view, it backfired on the parties which introduced it Social Credit formed a minority government after the 1952 election Social Credit formed a minority government after the 1952 election Once Social Credit had won a majority government at the 1953 general election, it reintroduced plurality voting Once Social Credit had won a majority government at the 1953 general election, it reintroduced plurality voting

Alberta Alberta has been the most adventurous province in adopting electoral systems. From 1926 until 1955, general elections used preferential voting AV in single member districts outside Calgary and Edmonton AV in single member districts outside Calgary and Edmonton PR-STV for multimember districts in Calgary and Edmonton PR-STV for multimember districts in Calgary and Edmonton

Political rather than electoral change There have been only few electoral changes in BC, but there has been a lot of political change The electoral system shapes the way political change is reflected in the Legislative Assembly

Reform Initiatives & Impulses Equal Votes Equal Votes Artificial Majorities Artificial Majorities Wrong Winners Wrong Winners Oversized Governments Oversized Governments Under-representation Under-representation Reform Initiatives Reform Initiatives

Equal Votes: (Mal)Apportionment District# votersWinner (Party) Winner’s vote Loser’s vote Atlin 4,195 Al Passarell (NDP) 1,5871,208 Surrey (2) 56,576 (103,152) Rita Johnston (SC) 38,08134,082

Equal Votes ?? 1983Atlin : Surrey Atlin : Surrey Peace River S : Saanich & Islands Peace River S : Saanich & Islands What difference is acceptable? What difference is acceptable?

Artificial Majorities

Few Governments ever win the majority of the votes of the population Few Governments ever win the majority of the votes of the population PROArtificial majorities produce stable 1-party governments we would not otherwise have PROArtificial majorities produce stable 1-party governments we would not otherwise have CONGovernments have false legitimacy to impose policies that do not have majority support CONGovernments have false legitimacy to impose policies that do not have majority support

Wrong Winners DistrictNDPLIBNDPLIB Burrard X Fraserview X Hastings X Kensington X Kingsway X Langara X Little Mountain X Mount Pleasant X Point Grey X Quilchena X ALL

Wrong Winners Newfoundland 1989 Newfoundland 1989 Nova Scotia1970 Nova Scotia1970 New Brunswick1974 New Brunswick1974 Quebec1966, 1998 Quebec1966, 1998 Ontario1985 Ontario1985 Manitoba1945 Manitoba1945 Saskatchewan1986, 1999 Saskatchewan1986, 1999 British Columbia1996 British Columbia1996 CANADA1957, 1979 CANADA1957, 1979

Oversized Governments : Weak Oppositions

Under-representation of Women

Women in National Legislatures Japan India Italy Ireland USA Israel UK CANADA Mexico Australia NZ Spain Germany Austria Norway Holland Finland Denmark Sweden %

electoral system % women in national legislature Plurality / Majority 16.9 Mixed: constituency- proportional 19.4 Proportional Representation (list) 29.5

Reform Initiatives PEI – Judge recommends change and BC-style citizens’ assembly! NB – Traditional commission with mandate for proportionality and local representation PQ – Government to introduce Bill ON – Planning ‘citizen juries’ and possibly a referendum YUK – Watching us

Some questions 1. What lessons should we take from BC’s electoral history? 2. Is vote equality an issue? How equal is equal? 3. Are artificial majorities really bad? 4. If a party wins the most districts are they really wrong winners? 5. Is the under representation of women, or other groups, an issue if members all vote the party line once elected? 6. Should there be proportional representation for social groups? If so which ones?