New Australian Government Old Global Warming Paradigm, Complete with Tricks Dr Jennifer Marohasy Adjunct Research Fellow Central Queensland University.

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Presentation transcript:

New Australian Government Old Global Warming Paradigm, Complete with Tricks Dr Jennifer Marohasy Adjunct Research Fellow Central Queensland University Australia

From Richard S. Lindzen Science in the Public Square: Global Climate Alarmism and Historical Precedents. J. American Physicians and Surgeons, Volume 18, Number 3.

Fig. 1. Amberley 1941 to 2013 Max. temperature series Min. temperature series

Fig. 2. Difference Between ACORN-SAT and Unhomogenized Annual Mean Minimum Temperature for Amberley 1941 to 2013

Fig. 3. Amberley Minimum Temperature Series 1941 to 2013 Green is unhomogenized, cooling by 1 degree per century Red is the official record, warming by 2.5 degree per century

Fig. 4. Mean Temperature Amberley After Homogenization by NASA’s GISS Creating an official record that shows a warming in accordance with AGW

A reliance on computer models over the last 30 years as well as the infusion of values, has produced a preference for virtual over observational data. Prof Aynsley Kellow, 2007 Science and Public Policy: The virtuous corruption of virtual environmental science. Edward Elgar, pp. 218

I would like to acknowledge the collaboration of Ken Stewart & assistance of Dr Gavin Schmidt in understanding the process of homogenization. Thank you.

Homogenization in China “The discontinuous points statistically detected for Tmin in 1991 and for Tmax in 1974 and 2000 cannot be validated by the station historical records (for Huairou station) and have been kept as they are.” Zhang et al. 2014

Lei Zang et al Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Volume 115, Pages Theoretical basis Weather station moves to city outskirts Discontinuity evident in data Attributed to urban heat island (UHI) effect Adjust down temperature series

Theoretical basis From K.J. McAneney et al Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Volume 49, Pages And temperature-adjustments-dont-work/ 1 degree C increase in temp with 10 m hedge Cut hedge, discontinuity detected, adjust temperature down Issue: Algorithm reduces entire previous temp. series every time ‘hedge is cut’

From Australian Bureau of Meteorology website