UNCLASSIFIED MPAT TEMPEST EXPRESS 26 (TE-26) Working Group Scenarios Overview April

UNCLASSIFIED TE-26 Group 1 Scenario 2 Humanitarian Assistance / Disaster Response (HA/DR): Cyclone Sophia generates near Tuvalu, builds strength as it turns south. Cyclone passes over Vanuatu and Port Vila causing extensive damage. Cyclone passes over New Caledonia causing minor damage. Vanuatu consents to international assistance; damage to New Caledonia does not require international assistance. MPAT Nations convene in Nouméa to prepare course of action for military support to the disaster response. Group 1 plans a French-led military portion of international disaster response operation in support of Vanuatu government. Port Vila Nouméa

UNCLASSIFIED TE-26 Group 2 Scenario 3 Regional Pandemic Response Fijian UN Peacekeepers return to Viti Levu from PKO Mission in Africa, asymptomatic with Ebola. Peacekeepers disperse home on leave. Some Peacekeepers beginning to show symptoms, locals exposed. Fijian health care system overwhelmed, asks for assistance. Concern that exposed individuals will travel, spreading the virus within the region. MPAT Nations convene in Nouméa to plan support to response in Fiji. Group 2 plans military portion of pandemic response to support treatment of patients, quarantine / security in Fiji and stop the spread of disease in the region.

UNCLASSIFIED TE-26 Groups 3-5 Scenarios 4 Common Background for Scenarios 3, 4, 5 Isla del Sol (IDS) is a newly independent nation in the South Pacific. Sons of Isla del Sol (SIS) is an insurgent terrorist group in IDS. SIS attacks IDS government officials and civilians, and engages in piracy in IDS waters. IDS government unable to stop insurgency, protect civilians & commerce. Violence reaches level requiring international action to restore stability and rule of law, protect civilians and end piracy. UNSC Resolutions 2275 and 2282 authorize Multinational Force Isla del Sol (MNF IDS). MNF IDS has 3 CTF components: Non-combatant Evacuation Operation; Stability Operation; and Maritime Security / Counter-Piracy Operation. France offers Nouméa as regional location for MNF IDS planning.

UNCLASSIFIED MNF IDS 5 MULTINATIONAL FORCE ISLA DEL SOL NEO CTF-200 (GROUP 3) MS-CP CTF-202 (GROUP 5) STABOPS CTF-201 (GROUP 4)

UNCLASSIFIED TE-26 Group 3 Scenario 6 Non-combatant Evacuation Operations (NEO): SIS insurgents / terrorists intentionally targeting foreign civilians and businesses within IDS. IDS government unable to provide effective security for foreign civilians. A non-combatant evacuation operation of foreign civilians is required. France offers Nouméa as operations staging / reception area for multinational non-combatant evacuation operation. Evacuees either evacuated directly home or transit through Nouméa. As part of MNF IDS, Group 3 plans coordinated, multinational, non- combatant evacuation operations from Isla del Sol using a CTF structure.

UNCLASSIFIED TE-26 Group 4 Scenario 7 Stability Operations SIS insurgents engage in terrorist acts against IDS and foreign nationals and businesses. IDS government unable to stop insurgency, protect civilians and businesses. Violence reaches level requiring regional and international action to restore stability and rule of law. UNSC Resolution 2275 authorizes, as part of MNF IDS, a STABOPS CTF for stability operations to restore stability and rule of law, and protect civilians in IDS. France offers Nouméa as regional location for multinational stability operations planning. As part of MNF IDS, Group 4 plans multinational stability operations in IDS to end violence, restore law and order, and protect civilians.

UNCLASSIFIED TE-26 Group 5 Scenario 8 Maritime Security / Counter Piracy SIS terrorists engage in piracy in and near IDS waters to fund their insurgency in IDS. SIS attacks against IDS and foreign flagged vessels. IDS Gendarmerie and Coast Guard unable to stop piracy. UNSC Resolution 2282 authorizes, as part of MNF IDS, a CTF to end piracy, protect global commerce in and around IDS waters. France offers Nouméa as regional location for multinational maritime security / counter-piracy operations planning. As part of MNF IDS, Group 5 plans multinational maritime security / counter- piracy operations to end piracy, arrest perpetrators, protect shipping and restore freedom of navigation.