Where next? Gordon Shearer BWEA Board Member for Offshore Wind

4 Where are we now? 4 MW existing 18 developments Each MW 70% success rate Construction MW by 2006

Moving forward? D.T.I. Crown Estate North PoleSouth Pole

Industry Wish List To be awarded additional sites To spread development risks To select partners with complementary skills To optimise site locations To co-operate as an industry in reducing unit costs

The Issues New sites must not adversely affect existing proposals There is a need for an overview of developments The award of sites must be fair and equitable The awarded sites should be economically efficient The Renewables’ Obligation creates an imperative for action

The Possibilities (Wind)

The Possibilities (Grid) Copyright NGC

A Vision? Round 1 =1000MW A 3000MW wind farm Off Lincolnshire/ Norfolk Site only 30km by 10km 20 participating companies? Radar impact – MOD/NATs Substantial grid reinforcement HVDC line to Walpole Less than 20m waterdepth 20 km offshore No portfolio spread

The Probable? Round 1 >500MW 3 or 4 company JV Within 30 kms to shore Less than 25m waterdepth HVDC or AC line to grid transmission system Characteristics <200MW Single company, small JV Within 15kms to shore Less than 20m waterdepth 33/132kV to distribution network

A Timescale MW construction 2005 Contract negotiations & procurement 2004 Contract tendering 2002 NowOct Site security Contract preparations month wind data Seismic acquisition Site investigation Conceptual design Public consultation Preparation of EIA 2004 ES submission and determination

The Target 4000 MW by million people, 1.4 million households An early start A manageable process