Monitoring and Modelling in the Malé Declaration Kevin Hicks Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI), UK Bangkok, March 2008 Malé Declaration 6 th Monitoring.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Russian experience within the UNECE LRTAP Convention: Bridging policy with science for effective mitigation of transboundary air pollution Mrs. Kristina.
Advertisements

Climate Change and Forest Mitigation and Adaptation in a Polluted Environment Swedish Monitoring and Research Activities Per Erik Karlsson IVL Swedish.
The inclusion of near-term radiative forcing into a multi-pollutant/multi-effect framework Markus Amann Centre for Integrated Assessment Modelling (CIAM)
Better Air Quality in Asian and Pacific Rim Cities (BAQ 2002) December 2002, Hong Kong SAR The Trend of Acid Rain in China W. Wang 1,3, T. Wang 2,
LINKAGES AND SYNERGIES OF REGIONAL AND GLOBAL EMISSION CONTROL Workshop of the UN/ECE Task Force on Integrated Assessment Modelling January 27-29, 2003.
EUROPEAN TOPIC CENTRE ON AIR AND CLIMATE CHANGE N:\adm\arkiv\overhead\stl \etc-acc\geneve.ppt 1 Air Quality in Europe 1999 Steinar Larssen, Kevin J. Barrett,
COWI PowerPoint design manual# Communication & Design Workshop to Promote Ratification of CLRTAP Protocols Project Air Quality Governance in.
Initiatives on Regional Air Pollution in Asia
The use of the GAINS_Italy Model for Impact Assessment T. Pignatelli, G. Vialetto ENEA – Technical Unit for Environmental Technologies (UTTAMB) Atmospheric.
Application of IIASA GAINS Model for Integrated Assessment of Air Pollution in Europe Janusz Cofala International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
Strengthening Global Co-operation on Atmospheric Pollution Issues Kevin Hicks, Johan Kuylenstierna, Richard Mills and Jeff Clark Global.
Impact Studies: Malé Declaration Achievements Ms. Adelaida B. Roman Head, Network Support Component Air and Atmospheric Pollution RRCAP, Thailand.
Air Quality Control Asia-Europe Meeting (ASEM) Seminar on Capacity Building on Air Pollution Prevention and Control October 2013 Beijing, China Young-woo.
The development and implementation of The Global Atmospheric Pollution Forum Air Pollutant Emissions Inventory Manual Harry Vallack, Stockholm Environment.
GLOBAL CO-OPERATION FOR AIR POLLUTION SCIENCE AND POLICY Richard Mills Director General, International Union of Air Pollution Prevention Associations And.
Transboundary Air Pollution and related Integrated Assessment Modelling Tiziano Pignatelli Enea – Atmospheric Pollution Unit
Developing an Integrated Assessment Model for South Asia IAMs have proved useful in Europe for developing regional agreements on air pollution control.
By: Ms. Adelaida B. Roman Head, Network Support Component Regional Resource Centre for Asia and the Pacific Thailand.
Male’ Declaration Report on the progress since the Seventh Session of the Intergovernmental Meeting by Secretariat UNEP RRC.AP.
Malé Declaration of on Control and Prevention of Air Pollution And Its Likely Transboundary Effects for South Asia Presentation on the Bangladesh National.
Male’ Declaration by Secretariat UNEP Progress in 2007.
Intercontinental scale transport of air pollution John Murlis Department of Geography University College London Based on a presentation by Henning Rodhe.
Modelling of Acid deposition in South Asia Magnuz Engardt Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) Introduction to Acid deposition.
Malé Declaration of on Control and Prevention of Air Pollution And Its Likely Transboundary Effects for South Asia Presentation on the Bangladesh National.
Progress in the Implementation of the RAPIDC Programme Johan Kuylenstierna, SEI.
Male’ Declaration Male’ Declaration Phase IV Implementation over the next 3 years by Secretariat AIT/UNEP RRC.AP.
Project Atmospheric Brown Clouds (ABC).  Haze at 5km; up to 3km high  Size of continental US  Covering Indian Ocean, South Asia, Southeast Asia and.
Aspects covered: Air Pollution in Europe: problems and responses The role and aims of the RAPIDC Programme Impacts of air pollution at different scales.
Malé Declaration IIAS Integrated Information and Assessment System Training Session, January 2008 Pwint: programming the system Johan Kuylenstierna: structure.
Aim and objective of the parallel activity on emissions inventories Aim: each Malé Declaration country to compile (during Phase III) air pollutant emission.
Progress in the Implementation of the RAPIDC Programme Kevin Hicks and Johan Kuylenstierna SEI, University of York UK IG11, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Plan for Phase V of the Malé Declaration ( ) The Secretariat.
1 MULTILATERAL NEGOTIATIONS ON AIR POLLUTION LARS NORDBERG ScandEnvironment, Stockholm Adviser
Male’ Declaration Male’ Declaration Review of Progress in Phase III by Secretariat UNEP.
Stakeholders’ Meeting of the Malé Declaration 14 th October 2005, Delhi Compilation of emissions inventories using the Malé Declaration Emission inventory.
Implementing Projects in Phase III of the Malé Declaration Further details of activities and Terms of Reference for their implementation.
An Introduction to the Regional Air Pollution in Developing Countries (RAPIDC) Programme Frank Murray, Murdoch University, Perth, Australia Malé Declaration:
Malé Declaration 1 ST emissions inventory workshop AIT, Bangkok, 3rd – 5th July 2006 Part 1 – The air pollution problem and the need for emissions inventories.
International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development Kathmandu, Nepal Emission Inventory of Nepal for the Year 2005.
Male’ Declaration Work Plan in 2007/08 by Secretariat UNEP.
Malé Declaration Report on the Progress of. Malé Declaration: Phase IV Objectives Malé Declaration/IG11/2/1 1. Strengthen Regional Cooperation for addressing.
Planning Phase III of the Male Declaration Further details of potential activities and requirements for their implementation.
Pilot Projects on Strengthening Inventory Development and Risk Management-Decision Making for Mercury: A Contribution to the Global Mercury Partnership.
Male’ Declaration by Secretariat UNEP. CONTENTS Air Pollution Male’ Declaration Implementation of Male’ Declaration Existing Regional Cooperation.
Potential Risk of Acidification in South Asia Kevin Hicks and Johan Kuylenstierna SEI
Establishment of Sustainable Financing Mechanism 11 th Session of the Intergovernmental Meeting Jan 20-21, Dhaka Male’ Declaration Male’ Declaration.
The links to global problems Presentation at the 25 th anniversary special event of the Convention on Long-range Transboundary Air Pollution “Past successes.
Aspects covered: The aims and structure of the RAPIDC Programme Progress The Future (this will be saved for the CORNET meeting) An overview of the RAPIDC.
1 Aspects covered: The aims and structure of the RAPIDC Programme Progress in PIII The Future Progress in the Implementation of the RAPIDC.
Male’ Declaration Male’ Declaration Work Programme for 2010 by Secretariat UNEP.
Male’ Declaration Male’ Declaration Review of Progress in Phase III by Secretariat UNEP.
The Male’ Declaration Proposal for Phase 4 Implementation.
Krzysztof OLENDRZYŃSKI Secretariat of the LRTAP Convention UNECE CONVENTION ON LONG-RANGE TRANSBOUNDARY AIR POLLUTION (LRTAP) UNITED NATIONS ECONOMIC COMMISSION.
The Male’ Declaration Progress Since Network Meeting 2005.
TF HTAP, TF IAM, Vienna, February HTAP-GAINS scenario analysis: preliminary exploration of emission scenarios with regard to the benefits of global.
Senate department for urban development Unit IX D: air pollution and noise control, M. Lutz Integrating particulate matter Integrating particulate matter:
The Male’ Declaration Proposal for Phase III. Looking back to think ahead Policy Dialogue Background Materials Ministerial agreement Capacity building.
11 September 2007 How do the dispersion calculations in the IIAS work? Magnuz Engardt Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute January 2008.
Aspects covered: The role and aims of the RAPIDC Programme Planned activities in support of the Malé Declaration Goals of these projects PROGRESS IN THE.
2 nd National Stakeholder Workshop : 2008 Overview of National Level Implementation of Male Declaration.
CHARGE QUESTIONS: ENDPOINTS  anthropogenic emissions   air pollution   climate OK, but can we be more specific?  Intercontinental transport of.
Hemispheric transport – Why is EMEP interested? Peringe Grennfelt, Jurgen Schneider.
Breakout Session 1 Air Quality Jack Fishman, Randy Kawa August 18.
Objectives of the workshop in the context of RAPIDC.
The application of Models-3 in national policy Samantha Baker Air and Environment Quality Division, Defra.
Malé Declaration IIAS Integrated Information and Assessment System Training Session, February 2007 Pwint: programming the system Johan Kuylenstierna: structure.
SLCP Benefits Toolkit:
Harald Dovland, Ministry of Environment, Norway
ICP waters; use of data from EMEP …and some results Brit Lisa Skjelkvåle and Heleen de Wit Norwegian Institute for Water Research.
Clean Air for Europe and Research Needs
Presentation transcript:

Monitoring and Modelling in the Malé Declaration Kevin Hicks Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI), UK Bangkok, March 2008 Malé Declaration 6 th Monitoring Training Course

Aims Introduce the concept of atmospheric transport and integrated assessment models and what they can be used for; Show how Malé monitoring results compare with modelled values to date and highlight the usefulness of such comparisons; Introduce the use of trajectory analysis Demonstrate the importance of site selection and impact studies

Health impacts caused by gases, particulates and heavy metals Economic loss (crop yields, corrosion of materials, lost work days) Environmental effects (acidification, eutrophication, global climate change, ecosystem and material damage)

Prevention and Control of Air Pollution -The European experience was one of controlling air pollution once it had happened - South Asia is now experiencing impacts of air pollution - But, there is an opportunity to prevent air pollution reaching levels where it causes widespread impacts As emissions in Asia are increasing rapidly the Malé Monitoring network is essential to demonstrate the increasing concentrations of air pollution

Producing Information for Policy Makers The Malé Declaration is developing an Integrated Information and Assessment System (IIAS): - A way to integrate the different Malé Declaration activities and data and provide additional information for policy makers; - A tool to investigate the linkages between emissions, concentrations and deposition of major pollutants and compare to monitoring values; - A tool to look at the risks of the regional background air pollution to different receptors; - A tool to investigate the implications of scenarios including different policy interventions.

Emission inventory Pollutant Emissions Atmospheric transport Pollutant deposition or concentration Monitoring Impacts on health, crops, materials and ecosystems Driving forces and scenarios Policies for pollutant prevention and control Scientific knowledge to underpin the policy process INTEGRATED INFORMATION AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM

EDGAR emissions of sulphur in S Asia

Emission Regions in IIAS

Emission inventory Pollutant Emissions Atmospheric transport Pollutant deposition or concentration Monitoring Impacts on health, crops, materials and ecosystems Driving forces and scenarios Policies for pollutant prevention and control Scientific knowledge to underpin the policy process INTEGRATED INFORMATION AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM

Atmospheric transport models Simulate the transport and chemical transformation of pollutants from emission to deposition. Transport direction and duration is determined by meteorology. Atmospheric chemistry is important as the chemical form of a pollutant will determine how far it can travel before deposition e.g. small particles travel further

Use of atmospheric transport models Atmospheric trajectories: Can be used to find out where pollutants are going Can be used to investigate the cause of an episode Can be used to classify air arriving at a site from different “sectors”

MATCH model run for emission region ‘India south-central’ (Andhra Pradesh + Karnataka + Goa)

Deposition of sulphur in S Asia using the MATCH model

Bangladesh

Bhutan

India

The Maldives

Nepal

Sri Lanka

Advantages of using models -Regional maps of air pollution deposition can be produced which would not be possible with monitoring efforts alone; - Modelled deposition maps can be validated with monitoring data – site selection is therefore very important; - The emission inventory fields can be changed to show what may happen in the future.

Understanding pollution events at your sites In order to interpret the data collected at the Malé monitoring stations: You can calculate 5-day, back-trajectories to the monitoring station in your respective country; The trajectories will tell you something about the history of the air arriving at your station; Remember that the “life-time” of many pollutants that we are concerned with (NO X, SO X, NH X, O 3, PM2.5, etc.) is on the order of 3-5 days.

Use the NOAA HYSPLIT web-page ( and calculate on- line trajectories

Emission inventory Pollutant Emissions Atmospheric transport Pollutant deposition or concentration Monitoring Impacts on health, crops, materials and ecosystems Driving forces and scenarios Policies for pollutant prevention and control Scientific knowledge to underpin the policy process INTEGRATED INFORMATION AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM

Terrestrial Ecosystem Sensitivity to Acidic Deposition in South Asia Source: Kuylenstierna et al. 2001

EDGAR emissions by region MATCH atmospheric transport model (at SMHI) Ecosystem sensitivity (SEI) Risk areas S, N Deposition (by grid) PHASE I: determining risk from available maps Base Cation Deposition (by grid)

Estimated Risk of acidification

EDGAR emissions by region RegionEmission%changeNew emission Country 1 x+201.2x Country 2 y+301.3y ………………. MATCH atmospheric transport model (at SMHI) Transfer coefficient (region-to-grid) Ecosystem sensitivity (SEI) Risk areas New Deposition S, N Deposition (by grid) PHASE I: Investigating simple scenarios Simple Scenario

Emission workbook Emission Manual Ecosystem sensitivity (nat.) Risk areas Emission inventory Prevention Controloptions Policy instruments Energy, transport and industry scenarios Emissions by 1 o x1 o grid New Deposition Transfer coefficient (region-to-grid) S, N Deposition (by grid) MATCH atmospheric transport model (at SMHI/ UNEP etc.) PHASE II: Investigating national scenarios

Emission workbook Emission Manual Ecosystem sensitivity (nat.) Risk areas Simple Scenario Emission inventory Prevention Controloptions Policy instruments Energy, transport and industry scenarios Emissions by 1 o x1 o grid New Deposition Transfer coefficient (region-to-grid) S, N Deposition (by grid) MATCH atmospheric transport model (at SMHI/ UNEP etc.) Health impacts OzonePM 2.5 Crop yield losses PHASE III: Other pollutants and impacts

Summary Modelling results will improve when the Malé emission inventory replaces the use of international data. It is important that modelling and monitoring efforts develop together and that new Malé sites can also assist with model validation; Individual countries can use trajectory analysis to assess where pollution is coming from. Impact studies are now required to investigate potential for impacts with present deposition levels in South Asia

Thank you Let’s get our heads together for cleaner air!