GENERAL STAFF OF BULGARIAN ARMED FORCES октомври 2006 г. THE BULGARIAN DECISION ABOUT MANAGEMENT OF THE RISK IN THE DEFENCE AREA СЕСИЯ IV AFCEA / TECHNET Conference of the Armed Forces Communications and Electronics Association – AFCEA International October 2006 Vice Admiral Еmil Lyutskanov First Deputy Chief of the General Staff Of the Bulgarian Armed Forces

GENERAL STAFF OF BULGARIAN ARMED FORCES октомври 2006 г. THE BULGARIAN DECISION ABOUT MANAGEMENT OF THE RISK IN THE DEFENCE AREA СЕСИЯ IV AFCEA / TECHNET DEFENCE AND SECURITY AREA PUBLIC SIGNIFICANCE LARGE SCALE PLANS AND PROJECTS SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL AND MATERIAL RESOURCES RISK MANAGEMENT ACHIEVEMENT OF THE ASSIGNED GOALS RISKS

GENERAL STAFF OF BULGARIAN ARMED FORCES октомври 2006 г. THE BULGARIAN DECISION ABOUT MANAGEMENT OF THE RISK IN THE DEFENCE AREA СЕСИЯ IV AFCEA / TECHNET RISK MANAGEMENT DIRECT ACTIVITIES OF THE MOD AND BAFs EXTERNAL FACTORS  legislative  economic  interdepartmental  social RISKS IN THE DEFENCE AND SECURITY AREA strategies and approaches analysis definition identification

GENERAL STAFF OF BULGARIAN ARMED FORCES октомври 2006 г. THE BULGARIAN DECISION ABOUT MANAGEMENT OF THE RISK IN THE DEFENCE AREA СЕСИЯ IV AFCEA / TECHNET RISK MANAGEMENT IN THE DEFENCE AREA INTEGRATED MANAGEMENT OF THE STRATEGIC RISK In the defence activities Activities of other bodies and institutions identification analysis observation control counteraction During implementation During emergence

GENERAL STAFF OF BULGARIAN ARMED FORCES октомври 2006 г. THE BULGARIAN DECISION ABOUT MANAGEMENT OF THE RISK IN THE DEFENCE AREA СЕСИЯ IV AFCEA / TECHNET RISKS MANAGED BY THE MOD, GS AND OPERATIONAL STAFFS Failure of operation Defence resource management Reliability of the information system Challenges of the military hierarchy and functioning of the chain of command conservativeness Critical risk Investment decisions bad In inappropriate time Ineffective business decisions During operations During force generation General management work Limited access to the strategic plans

GENERAL STAFF OF BULGARIAN ARMED FORCES октомври 2006 г. THE BULGARIAN DECISION ABOUT MANAGEMENT OF THE RISK IN THE DEFENCE AREA СЕСИЯ IV AFCEA / TECHNET “EXTERNAL” MANAGEMENT OF THE RISK GOVERNMENTAL POLICY INTERNAL ENVIRONMENT DEMOGRAPHIC RISK SHARED RISKS Change of priorities Effect on the strategic plans With other ministries and institutions With the allies =

GENERAL STAFF OF BULGARIAN ARMED FORCES октомври 2006 г. THE BULGARIAN DECISION ABOUT MANAGEMENT OF THE RISK IN THE DEFENCE AREA СЕСИЯ IV AFCEA / TECHNET Implementation of the defence programmes of the MoD and the BAFs RISK MANAGEMENT IN THE DEFENCE AREA Organizational structure and personnel of the armed forces modernization Allied and coalition engagements PPBS functional problems External influence AREАSAREАS

GENERAL STAFF OF BULGARIAN ARMED FORCES октомври 2006 г. THE BULGARIAN DECISION ABOUT MANAGEMENT OF THE RISK IN THE DEFENCE AREA СЕСИЯ IV AFCEA / TECHNET Involvement of foreign financial assistance Functioning of the DRMIS, ROCS and DAS Implementation of the modernization projects RISK EVENTS Implementation of Plan 2015 Achievement of the FGs Implementation of the changes in the national legislation Guaranteeing the size of the defence expenditures REDUCTION TO ACCEPTABLE LEVELS RISK MANAGEMENT PLAN

GENERAL STAFF OF BULGARIAN ARMED FORCES октомври 2006 г. THE BULGARIAN DECISION ABOUT MANAGEMENT OF THE RISK IN THE DEFENCE AREA СЕСИЯ IV AFCEA / TECHNET RISK? THERE IS ALWAYS A SOLUTION!

GENERAL STAFF OF BULGARIAN ARMED FORCES октомври 2006 г. THE BULGARIAN DECISION ABOUT MANAGEMENT OF THE RISK IN THE DEFENCE AREA СЕСИЯ IV AFCEA / TECHNET